Kyler Murray or Josh Allen
Who Should I Start? - Week 1
Looking for Draft Advice? Go to Who Should I Draft
Can't Decide? Leave it up to the Fantasy Gods
The Fantasy Gods have spoken. Start {{ state.players[state.winningPlayerIndex].player_name }}
Experts' Pick | |||
Josh Allen QB - BUF  Josh Allen QB - BUF vs. NYJ, Sun 1pm EDT |
Kyler Murray QB - ARI  Kyler Murray QB - ARI at SF, Sun 4pm EDT |
 | |
Expert |
86% Recommended by 160 of 186 experts |
14% Recommended by 26 of 186 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 8 | # 10 | - |
| Best Rank | # 4 | # 4 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 16 | # 19 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. NYJ | at SF | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs NYJ | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs SF | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 26.1 | 21.3 | |
| Pass Yds | 275.6 | 207.9 | |
| Pass TD | 2.1 | 1.6 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 432.5 | 390.7 | - |
| Avg Game | 25.4 | 24.4 | - |
| 2019 Average | 25.4 | 24.4 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
|
|
Josh Allen | Kyler Murray | Add Player |
09/29 | #10 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #6 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #4 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #10 | - |
08/10 | #10 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #13 | - |
09/09 | #9 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #8 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #8 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #16 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #13 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #9 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #13 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #5 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #7 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #11 | - |
09/12 | #5 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #15 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #11 | - |
09/12 | #8 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #9 | - |
09/08 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #5 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #7 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #5 | - |
09/09 | #9 | #11 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #11 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #8 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/11 | #6 | #7 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #11 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #8 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/11 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #6 | - |
09/12 | #9 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #9 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #13 | - |
09/07 | #7 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/12 | #9 | #8 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/09 | #12 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #8 | - |
09/12 | #9 | #14 | - |
09/09 | #11 | #7 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #15 | - |
09/10 | #4 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #13 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #8 | - |
09/08 | #11 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #7 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #11 | - |
09/09 | #4 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/07 | #10 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/09 | #4 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #11 | - |
09/11 | #6 | #12 | - |
09/12 | #5 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #7 | - |
09/12 | #11 | #8 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #11 | - |
09/12 | #12 | #6 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #8 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #18 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/04 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #7 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #8 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #9 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #11 | - |
09/01 | #16 | #10 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #8 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #9 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #8 | - |
09/08 | #6 | #14 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/11 | #10 | #12 | - |
09/11 | #7 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #13 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #11 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #14 | #19 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #6 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #11 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #12 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/08 | #7 | #10 | - |
09/08 | #11 | #5 | - |
09/07 | #10 | #13 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #9 | - |
Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. NYJ | at SF |
| Week 2 | at MIA | vs. WAS |
| Week 3 | vs. LAR | vs. DET |
| Week 4 | at LV | at CAR |
| Week 5 | at TEN | at NYJ |
| Week 6 | vs. KC | at DAL |
| Week 7 | at NYJ | vs. SEA |
| Week 8 | vs. NE | BYE WEEK |
| Week 9 | vs. SEA | vs. MIA |
| Week 10 | at ARI | vs. BUF |
| Week 11 | BYE WEEK | at SEA |
| Week 12 | vs. LAC | at NE |
| Week 13 | at SF | vs. LAR |
| Week 14 | vs. PIT | at NYG |
| Week 15 | at DEN | vs. PHI |
| Week 16 | at NE | vs. SF |
| Week 17 | vs. MIA | at LAR |
Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 28.2 | 27.3 |
| Week 2 | 34.5 | 33.1 |
| Week 3 | 32.2 | 24.7 |
| Week 4 | 25.4 | 23.1 |
| Week 5 | 18.3 | 27.3 |
| Week 6 | 16.1 | 28.9 |
| Week 7 | 16.4 | 38.1 |
| Week 8 | 13.5 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 36.0 | 37.9 |
| Week 10 | 28.4 | 30.9 |
| Week 11 | ‐ | 20.3 |
| Week 12 | 16.5 | 8.9 |
| Week 13 | 30.1 | 17.4 |
| Week 14 | 19.3 | 18.5 |
| Week 15 | 37.7 | 34.1 |
| Week 16 | 32.3 | 16.4 |
| Week 17 | 20.3 | 3.8 |
| Total | 432.5 | 390.7 |
| Average | 25.4 | 24.4 |
Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF vs. NYJ, Sun 1pm EDT |
Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI at SF, Sun 4pm EDT |
|
| Expert | ||
| Isaiah Sirois FantasyPros | Allen is a low-end QB1 this week. He scored 16 points against the Bills in Week 1 of last year, and he got some rest during their Week 17 matchup. That's not great, but he should easily beat that number this weekend. The Jets no longer have Jamal Adams in the secondary, and Allen will have Stefon Diggs to throw to as well. That said, if the Bills get out to too big of a lead, they'll probably end up running the ball with SIngletary and Moss. So while I'm comfortable playing Allen as a QB1 this week, I think that what should be a run-heavy game script limits his upside. | |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | There are some positive changes around Allen this year, as he's got himself a new stud wide receiver in Stefon Diggs, as well as another stable option at running back with rookie Zack Moss. We know regression will hit him on the ground, as he scored nine rushing touchdowns while rushing for 510 yards. By comparison, Lamar Jackson scored seven rushing touchdowns while rushing for 1,206 yards. At the same time, we have room for growth with Allen through the air, as he struggled to complete the deep ball in 2019. The Jets weren't a team that allowed many deep passes to be completed last year, but they've also lost the two centerpieces of their defense, as safety Jamal Adams is now with the Seahawks, and linebacker C.J. Mosley opted out. Their cornerback unit is one of the worst in football, too. So, when you look at Allen's stats against this team last year, they won't even make any sense because it's a different team. Knowing there were just two games Allen totaled less than 15.96 fantasy points last year, there should be no concern starting him here as a high-floor option, especially when you know he averaged 6.7 more fantasy points when the Bills won last year. The only concern for his ceiling is lack of competition on the other side of the ball. | It's hard to fully trust Murray after closing out the season on a low note, as he didn't top 16.36 fantasy points in each of the last five games), but Murray had two of his best games against the 49ers defense. Odd, right? In the two games against them, he completed 41-of-57 passes for 391 yards and four touchdowns, while rushing for 101 yards and a touchdown. And that was before he had DeAndre Hopkins added to his stable of receivers. The 49ers aren't the same team, either. We watched Richard Sherman wear down during the playoffs (32 years old now), and then they traded away interior lineman DeForest Buckner to the Colts. Don't get me wrong, they're still going to be a very good defense, but I don't think they're getting close to the miniscule 5.90 yards per attempt they allowed last year. It sounds crazy, but there were just two quarterbacks all season who averaged more than 7.4 yards per attempt against the 49ers. Where Murray can benefit (and likely will) is on the ground, as the 49ers allowed the third-most rushing yards and the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks on the ground. Knowing they've had a while to gameplan for this game, I'm guessing Kliff Kingsbury will have a few designed runs for the healthy Murray. It's not |
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | Allen finished as fantasy's QB6 last season after increasing his toucdowns and cleaning up his turnovers. Allen won't have a high volume of pass attempts, but he's got an enormous arm and can make big plays with his arm and his legs due to his tremendous rushing abilities. The Jets defense will have its hands full trying to contain Allen, who now has Stefon Diggs available out wide. | The Niners defense wasn't a world-beater in 2019 to opposing QBs, but the unit still ranked inside the top-10 in fewest points allowed to the position. Murray got off to an electric start as a rookie last season and got upgrades in DeAndre Hopkins and Kenyan Drake to help him succeed as a sophomore. He should be in for a big year, but it might be best to temper expectations a little in this tough spot. |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | Josh Allen is one of the most hotly debated quarterbacks in the NFL. Regardless of where you stand in the Allen camp, it's important to understand just how productive he's been for fantasy football. He's rushed for 500+ yards in each of his two seasons and while his passing has been inconsistent, he's never had weapons like this. Stefon Diggs joins John Brown and Cole Beasley in one of the best receiving trios in the NFL. The Jets' defense should be reeling in Week 1 after losing Jamal Adams and I expect Allen to take advantage on the ground as well as through the air. | Kyler Murray is one of my favorite quarterbacks in the NFL right now and I'm projecting a significant sophomore leap for him after the addition of DeAndre Hopkins. However, the 49ers are a brutal opening matchup as their defense allowed the fewest passing yards and 10th-fewest fantasy points to QBs. Murray's rushing will give him a solid baseline, but the offensive line is going to need some time to gel and the Niners still have one of the best front sevens in football. I expect a couple of turnovers for Murray this week and I would try to look elsewhere at the position. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | You most likely drafted Murray as the QB5/QB6 off the board, so you're forced into starting him week one against the 49ers defense. This unit lost DeForest Buckner this offseason, but replaced him with Javon Kinlaw in the first round. Murray should be under pressure essentially all game, which forces me to drop him down my rankings a bit. He's still a fine start, but you need to temper expectations. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Allen was not particularly strong against the Jets last year. In 2 games, he tallied 259 yards passing, 38 yards rushing, 1 passing TD, and 1 rushing TD. The Jets at home is a great matchup, but there is some risk given how average he was against the Jets last year. | For some reason, even though the 49ers were 10th against fantasy quarterbacks, the rookie had their number last year. Murray tallied 391 yards passing, 101 yards rushing, 4 passing TDs, and 1 rushing TD in 2 games against the 49ers. He should be a solid QB1 in Week 1, especially with DeAndre Hopkins now in the fold. |
