Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes II
Who Should I Start? - Week 3
Can't Decide? Leave it up to the Fantasy Gods
The Fantasy Gods have spoken. Start {{ state.players[state.winningPlayerIndex].player_name }}
Experts' Pick | |||
QB - ARI  vs. DET, Sun 4pm EDT |
QB - KC  at BAL, Mon 8pm EDT |
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Expert |
90% Recommended by 130 of 145 experts |
10% Recommended by 15 of 145 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 2 | # 5 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 2 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 5 | # 7 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. DET | at BAL | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 4 star matchup. QBs perform better than their average vs DET | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform worse than their average vs BAL | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 12.7 | 15.3 | |
| Pass Yds | 147.7 | 140.3 | |
| Pass TD | 1.7 | 0.7 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 60.4 | 47.9 | - |
| Avg Game | 30.2 | 24.0 | - |
| Avg Projection | 23.4 | 20.8 | - |
| Week 2 | 33.1 | 27.5 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | Indoor | 80 F, Humid and mostly cloudy throughout the day. | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Kyler Murray | Patrick Mahomes II | Add Player |
45 secs | #5 | #2 | - |
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QB - ARI | QB - KC | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at SF 26/40, 230 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int 13 rush, 91 yds, 1 td | vs. HOU 24/32, 211 pass yds, 3 td, 0 int |
| Week 2 | vs. WAS | at LAC 27/47, 302 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int 6 rush, 54 yds, 0 td |
| Week 3 | vs. DET | at BAL |
| Week 4 | at CAR | vs. NE |
| Week 5 | at NYJ | vs. LV |
| Week 6 | at DAL | at BUF |
| Week 7 | vs. SEA | at DEN |
| Week 8 | BYE WEEK | vs. NYJ |
| Week 9 | vs. MIA | vs. CAR |
| Week 10 | vs. BUF | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | at SEA | at LV |
| Week 12 | at NE | at TB |
| Week 13 | vs. LAR | vs. DEN |
| Week 14 | at NYG | at MIA |
| Week 15 | vs. PHI | at NO |
| Week 16 | vs. SF | vs. ATL |
| Week 17 | at LAR | vs. LAC |
QB - ARI vs. DET, Sun 4pm EDT |
QB - KC at BAL, Mon 8pm EDT |
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| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 36.5 | 37.4 |
| Pass Cmp | 23.6 | 24.0 |
| Pass Yards | 266.0 | 287.6 |
| Pass TDs | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Ints | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 7.9 | 3.9 |
| Rush Yards | 46.9 | 21.1 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 23.4 | 20.8 |
QB - ARI | QB - KC | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 27.3 | 20.4 |
| Week 2 | 33.1 | 27.5 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 4 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 5 | ‐ | ‐ |
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| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 60.4 | 47.9 |
| Average | 30.2 | 24.0 |
QB - ARI vs. DET, Sun 4pm EDT |
QB - KC at BAL, Mon 8pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | With the way that Murray is running the ball, there's no way that he can be viewed as anything less than a top-5 option at the QB position for fantasy football. Murray is currently ranked in the top-10 of the entire NFL (RBs included) for rushing yards. Not only that, but he's the Cardinals leading rusher as well. With the way that fantasy points are calculated, rushing production at the QB is king. Even if the QB is struggling to put up great numbers from a passing perspective, he can still be an elite option for fantasy if he's running as much as Murray is in Arizona. With that in mind, plus a matchup that should see points go up on the board, Murray has overall QB1 upside this week. | Mahomes is currently the QB8 on the season for fantasy football, but he gets a tough matchup here against the Ravens. The Ravens are currently only allowing an average of 13.3 fantasy points to opposing QBs, which indicates that Mahomes doesn't exactly have an enormous ceiling heading into this game. He's still a must-start option every single week, but it's important to recognize that the path for him to finish as the QB1 this week most likely isn't there. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | He took care of business last week, racking up 67 yards and two touchdowns on the ground, which now puts him on pace for 1,264 yards and 18 touchdowns. Not bad, eh? That's good because he's still averaging just 6.84 yards per attempt through the air. By comparison, Mitch Trubisky has averaged 6.69 yards per attempt through his career. But as long as Murray continues to grind out fantasy points with his legs, we should be happy. The Lions have actually done a solid job against mobile quarterbacks, limiting their ceiling under Matt Patricia. Going back to last year, they held Murray to 13 yards, Dak Prescott to 18 yards, and Daniel Jones to 13 yards on the ground. Where they've been demolished is through the air, as they've now allowed 13 of the last 18 quarterbacks they've played to throw for multiple touchdowns, including seven quarterbacks with three-plus touchdowns (Trubisky three times). Murray himself was one of just five quarterbacks who've failed to average at least 7.19 yards per attempt against them in that time, though it should be noted that it was his first NFL start. Given the fact that oddsmakers have set their team total at a ridiculous 30.0 points, Murray should be trusted as a high-end QB1 in a high-scoring game. | Over the last eight regular season games, Mahomes hasn't quite lived up to his No. 1 quarterback drafted price tag. During that time, he's averaged 19.5 fantasy points per game, which would rank 15th in 2020, and would've been No. 8 in 2019. I'm not suggesting he's not elite, but when you factor that in with his matchup against the Ravens this week, you don't get warm and fuzzy feelings. The Ravens have allowed exactly one quarterback to score more than 15.8 fantasy points against them since the start of 2019, a span of 18 games. That quarterback was Mahomes, when he completed 27-of-37 passes for 374 yards and three touchdowns in Week 3 of last year. The week is notable because the Ravens didn't have Marcus Peters on the roster at that point, but they did have Earl Thomas. Going back to 2018 against this John Harbaugh defense, Mahomes did throw the ball 53 times for 377 yards and two touchdowns, so it's clear this defense is not his kryptonite. Mahomes has always played well on a national stage, too. He's averaged 321.3 yards and 2.7 touchdowns in his three Monday night games. You're starting him every week, and despite the tough matchup, you shouldn't be scared to. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Murray has been fantastic out of the gate as a runner with 21 rushing attempts for 158 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2 games. He also has played against some tough Front 7s to start the season. This is his easiest matchup to date and he is an elite QB1 at home. | Mahomes torched the Ravens for 374 yards passing and 3 passing touchdowns last year. There just is not a defense capable of holding him down when he is on his A game. |
