Kyler Murray or Russell Wilson
Who Should I Start? - Week 1
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Experts' Pick | |||
Russell Wilson QB - SEA  Russell Wilson QB - SEA at ATL, Sun 1pm EDT |
Kyler Murray QB - ARI  Kyler Murray QB - ARI at SF, Sun 4pm EDT |
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Expert |
99% Recommended by 184 of 186 experts |
1% Recommended by 2 of 186 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 4 | # 10 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 4 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 9 | # 19 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at ATL | at SF | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 4 star matchup. QBs perform a litter better than their average vs ATL | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs SF | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 26.6 | 21.3 | |
| Pass Yds | 293.6 | 207.9 | |
| Pass TD | 2.1 | 1.6 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 372.6 | 390.7 | - |
| Avg Game | 23.3 | 24.4 | - |
| 2019 Average | 23.3 | 24.4 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | Indoor | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Russell Wilson | Kyler Murray | Add Player |
09/29 | #3 | #9 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #14 | - |
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09/12 | #4 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #3 | #7 | - |
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09/09 | #3 | #9 | - |
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09/09 | #4 | #11 | - |
09/01 | #3 | #10 | - |
09/09 | #5 | #8 | - |
09/10 | #4 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #9 | - |
09/10 | #4 | #10 | - |
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09/10 | #3 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #4 | #19 | - |
09/10 | #2 | #6 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #11 | - |
09/10 | #4 | #12 | - |
09/09 | #4 | #10 | - |
09/09 | #4 | #10 | - |
09/08 | #6 | #10 | - |
09/08 | #4 | #5 | - |
09/07 | #3 | #13 | - |
09/10 | #4 | #9 | - |
Russell Wilson QB - SEA Russell Wilson QB - SEA | Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at ATL | at SF |
| Week 2 | vs. NE | vs. WAS |
| Week 3 | vs. DAL | vs. DET |
| Week 4 | at MIA | at CAR |
| Week 5 | vs. MIN | at NYJ |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | at DAL |
| Week 7 | at ARI | vs. SEA |
| Week 8 | vs. SF | BYE WEEK |
| Week 9 | at BUF | vs. MIA |
| Week 10 | at LAR | vs. BUF |
| Week 11 | vs. ARI | at SEA |
| Week 12 | at PHI | at NE |
| Week 13 | vs. NYG | vs. LAR |
| Week 14 | vs. NYJ | at NYG |
| Week 15 | at WAS | vs. PHI |
| Week 16 | vs. LAR | vs. SF |
| Week 17 | at SF | at LAR |
Russell Wilson QB - SEA Russell Wilson QB - SEA | Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 31.8 | 27.3 |
| Week 2 | 34.4 | 33.1 |
| Week 3 | 36.8 | 24.7 |
| Week 4 | 21.9 | 23.1 |
| Week 5 | 25.5 | 27.3 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 28.9 |
| Week 7 | 32.9 | 38.1 |
| Week 8 | 28.7 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 24.1 | 37.9 |
| Week 10 | 11.9 | 30.9 |
| Week 11 | 20.1 | 20.3 |
| Week 12 | 14.4 | 8.9 |
| Week 13 | 16.0 | 17.4 |
| Week 14 | 23.1 | 18.5 |
| Week 15 | 13.0 | 34.1 |
| Week 16 | 19.9 | 16.4 |
| Week 17 | 18.1 | 3.8 |
| Total | 372.6 | 390.7 |
| Average | 23.3 | 24.4 |
Russell Wilson QB - SEA Russell Wilson QB - SEA at ATL, Sun 1pm EDT |
Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI at SF, Sun 4pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | If you haven't heard of the hashtag #LetRussCook, you're missing out on the bevy of fantasy enthusiasts who understand what it would be like if Wilson threw the ball 550-plus times. To give you a hint: Wilson has a 6.0 percent career touchdown rate, which is tied with Aaron Rodgers for second-most all-time (minimum 1,000 pass attempts). His 7.87 yards per attempt ranks sixth on that list. Add in his rushing totals and you have yourself what would be an all-time great fantasy quarterback. Does that happen in 2020? The Falcons are a team that allowed eight different quarterbacks to post 8.38 or more yards per attempt against them in 2019, and they'll now be forced to start Isaiah Oliver, rookie A.J. Terrell, and Kendall Sheffield at cornerback. They also lost Adrian Clayborn in free agency, though they added Dante Fowler and Charles Harris to try and offset the loss. Wilson himself threw just 20 passes in their meeting last year, completing 14 of them for 182 yards and two touchdowns while Chris Carson/Rashaad Penny rushed for 145 yards and a touchdown. The final score was 27-20, though it was never that close. Why? Well, Matt Ryan didn't play in that game. It was Matt Schaub who was under center. The Seahawks are projected for roughly 25 points in this game, which seems like it could be low when you consider what happened on just 58 offensive snaps last year. Wilson could explode against this defense if they "let him cook." Given the turnover on the Seahawks defense and potency of the Falcons offense, it's possible he throws the ball 35-plus times here. Start him as a QB1 who offers tremendous upside in the dome. The reason to fade him in cash is due to his playcaller's tendency in positive gamescripts. Brian Schottenheimer has ranked 32nd and 30th in passing rates when his team is ahead. That could crush Wilson's floor, though I do see this game as a competitive one. | It's hard to fully trust Murray after closing out the season on a low note, as he didn't top 16.36 fantasy points in each of the last five games), but Murray had two of his best games against the 49ers defense. Odd, right? In the two games against them, he completed 41-of-57 passes for 391 yards and four touchdowns, while rushing for 101 yards and a touchdown. And that was before he had DeAndre Hopkins added to his stable of receivers. The 49ers aren't the same team, either. We watched Richard Sherman wear down during the playoffs (32 years old now), and then they traded away interior lineman DeForest Buckner to the Colts. Don't get me wrong, they're still going to be a very good defense, but I don't think they're getting close to the miniscule 5.90 yards per attempt they allowed last year. It sounds crazy, but there were just two quarterbacks all season who averaged more than 7.4 yards per attempt against the 49ers. Where Murray can benefit (and likely will) is on the ground, as the 49ers allowed the third-most rushing yards and the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks on the ground. Knowing they've had a while to gameplan for this game, I'm guessing Kliff Kingsbury will have a few designed runs for the healthy Murray. It's not |
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | The methodical Wilson continues to dominate opposing defenses despite playing for a run-heavy team that only lets him air out the ball if absolutely necessary. Still, he's averaged better than 4,200 total yards and 30 total touchdowns per season over his eight-year career, and that steady production shows no signs of slowing down. A Week 1 date with the generous Falcons defense should get him off to a good start for the new season. | The Niners defense wasn't a world-beater in 2019 to opposing QBs, but the unit still ranked inside the top-10 in fewest points allowed to the position. Murray got off to an electric start as a rookie last season and got upgrades in DeAndre Hopkins and Kenyan Drake to help him succeed as a sophomore. He should be in for a big year, but it might be best to temper expectations a little in this tough spot. |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | The Falcons have one of the most cloudy secondary situations in the NFL as they're slated to start rookie corner A.J. Terrell across from one of Isaiah Oliver or Darqueze Denard. Russell Wilson is going to take advantage of the weak coverage and get the ball to his dynamic wide receiver duo - Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf. Greg Olsen should also be a positive contribution to the passing game. The real concern for Wilson in this matchup is the game script - after adding Jamal Adams to a defense that featured Bobby Wagner, the Falcons may struggle to score early in this game. The Seahawks love to run the ball so the passing volume will always be a question, but Russ should be good for a couple of touchdowns in this one. | Kyler Murray is one of my favorite quarterbacks in the NFL right now and I'm projecting a significant sophomore leap for him after the addition of DeAndre Hopkins. However, the 49ers are a brutal opening matchup as their defense allowed the fewest passing yards and 10th-fewest fantasy points to QBs. Murray's rushing will give him a solid baseline, but the offensive line is going to need some time to gel and the Niners still have one of the best front sevens in football. I expect a couple of turnovers for Murray this week and I would try to look elsewhere at the position. |
| Steven Pintado The Fantasy Coaches | Must Start | |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | Russell Wilson should come out of the gates firing in week one against this Falcons defense. This game should be high scoring and it wouldn't surprise me at all to see it hit the "over". If that's the case, you're starting Russ and his top options. The Seahawks should still be a run heavy team this season, but Wilson's too good to sit in these types of matchups. | You most likely drafted Murray as the QB5/QB6 off the board, so you're forced into starting him week one against the 49ers defense. This unit lost DeForest Buckner this offseason, but replaced him with Javon Kinlaw in the first round. Murray should be under pressure essentially all game, which forces me to drop him down my rankings a bit. He's still a fine start, but you need to temper expectations. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Atlanta allowed the 10th most fantasy points to quarterbacks last year, Wilson should be a QB1 in a game that has a chance to become a shootout. | For some reason, even though the 49ers were 10th against fantasy quarterbacks, the rookie had their number last year. Murray tallied 391 yards passing, 101 yards rushing, 4 passing TDs, and 1 rushing TD in 2 games against the 49ers. He should be a solid QB1 in Week 1, especially with DeAndre Hopkins now in the fold. |
