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Nick Chubb or Alvin Kamara

Who Should I Start? - Week 12

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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
at JAC, Sun 1pm EST
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO
at DEN, Sun 4pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Nov 27th, 2020
92%
Recommended by
132 of 144 experts
8%
Recommended by
12 of 144 experts
Add Player
Most Accurate Experts 
    
Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts See who the Most Accurate Experts would start
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 3# 7-
Best Rank# 1# 4-
Worst Rank# 8# 15-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at JAC at DEN-
Matchup RatingThis is a 5 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs JACThis is a 2 star matchup. RBs perform worse than their average vs DEN-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att2321.5
Rush Yds99.393.5
Rush TD10.8
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total87.2189.9-
Avg Game14.519.0-
Avg Projection14.014.4-
Week 1111.410.5-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather72 F, Possible light rain in the afternoon and evening.39 F, Clear throughout the day.-
    
Expert Ranks 
Nick ChubbAlvin KamaraAdd Player
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
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17 h
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17 h
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2 d
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3 d
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Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at BAL
10 rush, 60 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 6 yds, 0 td
vs. TB
12 rush, 16 yds, 1 td
8 tar, 5 rec, 51 yds, 1 td
Week 2 vs. CIN
22 rush, 124 yds, 2 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 9 yds, 0 td
at LV
13 rush, 79 yds, 2 td
9 tar, 9 rec, 95 yds, 0 td
Week 3 vs. WAS
19 rush, 108 yds, 2 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 2 yds, 0 td
vs. GB
6 rush, 58 yds, 0 td
14 tar, 13 rec, 139 yds, 2 td
Week 4 at DAL
6 rush, 43 yds, 0 td
at DET
19 rush, 83 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 36 yds, 0 td
Week 5 vs. IND
vs. LAC
11 rush, 45 yds, 0 td
10 tar, 8 rec, 74 yds, 0 td
Week 6 at PIT
BYE WEEK
Week 7 at CIN
vs. CAR
14 rush, 83 yds, 0 td
8 tar, 8 rec, 65 yds, 0 td
Week 8 vs. LV
at CHI
12 rush, 67 yds, 0 td
13 tar, 9 rec, 96 yds, 0 td
Week 9BYE WEEK at TB
9 rush, 40 yds, 1 td
6 tar, 5 rec, 9 yds, 0 td
Week 10 vs. HOU
19 rush, 126 yds, 1 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
vs. SF
8 rush, 15 yds, 2 td
8 tar, 7 rec, 83 yds, 1 td
Week 11 vs. PHI
20 rush, 114 yds, 0 td
vs. ATL
13 rush, 45 yds, 1 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
Week 12 at JAC at DEN
Week 13 at TEN at ATL
Week 14 vs. BAL at PHI
Week 15 at NYG vs. KC
Week 16 at NYJ vs. MIN
Week 17 vs. PIT at CAR
Player Projections Comparison
 
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
at JAC, Sun 1pm EST
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO
at DEN, Sun 4pm EST
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts17.313.3
Rush Yards87.360.5
Rush TDs0.70.6
   
Receiving
   
Receptions1.64.5
Rec Yards10.638.2
Rec TDs0.00.2
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points14.014.4
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO
2020 Points 
Week 14.618.7
Week 225.329.4
Week 323.031.7
Week 44.317.9
Week 511.9
Week 6
Week 714.8
Week 816.3
Week 910.9
Week 1018.627.8
Week 1111.410.5
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Total87.2189.9
Average14.519.0
Player Targets Comparison
 
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO
2020 Targets 
Week 118
Week 219
Week 3114
Week 404
Week 510
Week 6
Week 78
Week 813
Week 96
Week 1018
Week 1101
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Notes for Player Combination
 
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
at JAC, Sun 1pm EST
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO
at DEN, Sun 4pm EST
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Chubb has now played in six games this year. He's totaled 100-plus rushing yards in four of them. He's averaging a league-high 6.0 yards per carry, and it's not just the offense. According to NFL's NextGenStats, Chubb should be averaging just 4.4 yards per carry based on the number of defenders he's seen in the box and the yards before contact he's been given. The 1.61-yard difference is the most in the NFL, as no other running back has a gap larger than 1.32 yards. Now he gets to go against the Jaguars? It seems unfair. The Jaguars have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game overall to their opponents, and we know the Browns run-game makes up for most of the production. Where do all the fantasy points they've allowed come from? Well, they've allowed a massive 29.8 points per game to their opponents and the Browns team-implied total sits at 27.5 points, so we're likely to see multiple touchdowns out of the Browns backfield this week. The issue is this... Chubb has seen 34.2 percent of the Browns' carries this year, but has seen just 22.6 percent of their carries inside the red zone, so it's clear they trust Kareem Hunt quite a bit in that area of the field. Chubb has also seen just five targets on the season, which essentially means he's touchdown or bust. When I say bust, it's a relative term, as he's viewed as an RB1 in fantasy leagues. Knowing both Joe Mixon and D'Andre Swift were able to rack up 115-plus rushing yards and two touchdowns apiece against them, Chubb is going to be okay. Start him as a low-end RB1 who should score at least once. As for Hunt, he's still received 37 opportunities in the last two games with Chubb back, and though they were certainly aided by the weather, this game should be aided by the lack of competition. Running backs have faced an average of 29.7 running back touches per game, while the Browns running backs have averaged 30.9 running back touches per game. That's more than enough for both of these running backs to be viable, so feel free to start Hunt as a mid-tier RB2 this week.While doing research for this game, I came across something pretty hilarious on Kamara. He's seen a remarkable 24.5 percent of the Saints targets, which ranks 11th in the NFL, but has seen just 3.0 percent of their air yards. These are the little tidbits I find that keep me amused. That target share number was actually 26.0 percent before Taysom Hill took over, so should we be worried about Kamara? I'll be honest, it's not great, as Kamara has totaled more than 14 carries just once all season. That receiving work is what offered most of his value. We can't completely panic about one game, and who knows, maybe the Falcons cornerbacks were just so bad that Hill couldn't help himself and didn't want to dump it down. But yes, it's worrisome. The matchup this week should allow for a lot of production on the ground, as the Broncos just haven't been the same since losing Mike Purcell on the defensive line. After being one of the best run defenses in the league, they've struggled to slow down much of anyone over the last five games, as they've allowed 595 rushing yards on 129 carries (4.61 yards per carry) with six rushing touchdowns. They've also allowed 143 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown over their last four games to running backs, so they're clearly struggling with the position, and it's not like their competition has been stellar. On top of that, their offense is struggling to put points on the board most weeks, which has led to running backs averaging 28.4 touches per game against them. You probably don't want to spend up for Kamara in cash games until we see his targets get back up to par, but you're still playing him as an RB1 in season-long formats in a plus-matchup. This is the first plus-matchup for Murray's role in quite a few weeks, as they've played the Bears, Bucs, 49ers, and Falcons over the last four weeks. Not many realize that Murray has just 15 fewer carries than Kamara on the year, though he's been on the short end of the stick in the touchdown department (Kamara 8, Murray 2). Knowing Murray has received at least nine touches in 9-of-10 games this year, he's in the low-end RB3/high-end RB4 conversation who just might make an appearance into the end zone.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Jaguars are 27th against fantasy running backs, Chubb should be an elite RB1 on the road this week.The Broncos are 15th against fantasy running backs, Kamara is a solid RB1 on the road this week.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Chubb succeeded in a tough matchup last week, but there's reason to be "concerned" about him moving forward. Last week, Chubb rode the bench when the Browns were at the goal line. Hunt saw the majority of the touches in the key area of the field last week while Chubb watched from the sideline. Chubb's obviously a must-start option each week, especially in this matchup against the Jaguars, but he's not going to present immense upside if he's not getting that work.Kamara was able to find the end zone, which saved his fantasy day, but Kamara only saw one target with Hill at QB. Kamara has sustained top-tier fantasy value based on his involvement in the receiving game, which is concerning moving forward if Hill is going to push the ball further down the field. It's a situation worth monitoring this week against the Broncos, but Kamara absolutely still belongs in your lineup as a top-tier fantasy asset.