David Montgomery for Derrick Henry (2026)

Should I Trade... ?

Summary
Game Log
Stats
Projections
Points
Targets
Notes

Player Summaries Comparison
	Derrick Henry RB - BAL Derrick Henry RB - BAL	David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU
Most Accurate Experts

Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts	See who the Most Accurate Experts would trade Upgrade Now

Rankings

Rest of Season	# 6	# 23	-
Draft	‐	‐	-

Matchup

Opponent	at IND	vs. BUF	-
Matchup Rating	This is a 2 star matchup. RBs perform a little worse than their average vs IND	This is a 4 star matchup. RBs perform a little better than their average vs BUF	-

Fantasy Points

Season Total	264.5	142.9	-
Avg Game	15.6	8.4	-
Avg Projection	255.1	161.5	-

Schedule

SOS Rank	14	11	-

Misc

Injury Alert	‐	‐	-

Expert Ranks
	Derrick Henry	David Montgomery	Add Player

Josh Norris J. Norris Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/26	#7	#21	-

Mike Bland M. Bland Points Over Expected Points Over Expected 07/26	#7	#19	-

Wolf Trelles-Heard W. Trelles-... FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/26	#6	#15	-

Doug Burrell D. Burrell Draft With Doug Draft With Doug 07/26	#6	#22	-

Huseyin Aksu H. Aksu Fantasy Couch Fantasy Couch 07/26	#7	#22	-

Ryan Weisse R. Weisse Club Fantasy FFL Club Fantasy FFL 07/25	#8	#23	-

Rich Piazza R. Piazza Fantasy Shed Fantasy Shed 07/25	#6	#20	-

Des Bieler D. Bieler The Washington Post The Washington Post 07/25	#8	#23	-

Seth Miller S. Miller Crossroads Fantasy Football Crossroads Fantasy... 07/24	#6	#26	-

Jeremy Shulman J. Shulman Fantasy Football Universe Fantasy Football U... 07/24	#10	#24	-

Joe Wiggans J. Wiggans IDP Guys IDP Guys 07/24	#5	#22	-

Kevin Roberts K. Roberts The DFS Build The DFS Build 07/24	#9	#26	-

Rudy Gamble R. Gamble Razzball Razzball 07/23	#6	#29	-

Andrew Scott A. Scott Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 07/23	#7	#24	-

Justin Weigal J. Weigal FantasySharks FantasySharks 07/23	#5	#17	-

Chris Welsh C. Welsh FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/23	#6	#20	-

Dalton Del Don D. Del Don The Deep Shot The Deep Shot 07/24	#7	#22	-

Mason M. Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 07/23	#11	#36	-

Joel Smyth J. Smyth Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/22	#6	#17	-

Scott Pianowski S. Pianowski Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/22	#6	#27	-

Justin Bauerle J. Bauerle FantasyNow+ FantasyNow+ 07/22	#6	#21	-

Joshua Kimmel J. Kimmel FantasyNow+ FantasyNow+ 07/22	#7	#38	-

Brad Beatson B. Beatson Bandit Fantasy Football Bandit Fantasy Foo... 07/25	#4	#17	-

Adrian Alpanseque A. Alpanseque Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy 07/22	#9	#26	-

Nate Marcum N. Marcum Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 07/21	#8	#19	-

Jamie Calandro J. Calandro RotoBaller RotoBaller 07/21	#5	#17	-

Hayden Winks H. Winks Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/20	#11	#18	-

Matthew Korn M. Korn DFS Dashboard DFS Dashboard 07/20	#6	#24	-

Jonathan Stone J. Stone Stone Cold Fantasy Stone Cold Fantasy 07/20	#5	#22	-

Ellis Johnson E. Johnson FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/19	#9	#23	-

James Emrick-Wilson J. Emrick-W... The Armchair Sports Corner The Armchair Sport... 07/19	#9	#18	-

Jacob Piccolo J. Piccolo TrueRGM TrueRGM 07/19	#10	#23	-

Matthew Hill M. Hill DataForce Fantasy Football DataForce Fantasy ... 07/19	#10	#23	-

Luke Renton L. Renton The Franchise Tag UK The Franchise Tag UK 07/24	#13	#23	-

Andrew Leduc A. Leduc That Sports Podcast Network That Sports Podcas... 07/18	#7	#17	-

Pete Nova P. Nova FF Faceoff FF Faceoff 07/18	#6	#26	-

David Heilman D. Heilman Dynasty Trade Calculator Dynasty Trade Calc... 07/17	#6	#25	-

Brady Auer B. Auer BA Sports Podcast BA Sports Podcast 07/17	#5	#22	-

Bart Wheeler B. Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football Hail to Fantasy Fo... 07/17	#6	#26	-

Michael Hauff M. Hauff FF Faceoff FF Faceoff 07/17	#11	#24	-

Matt Donnelly M. Donnelly Dynasty Vipers Dynasty Vipers 07/17	#6	#19	-

Dennis Sosic D. Sosic Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack 07/17	#6	#20	-

Justin Lampkin J. Lampkin Clock Management Fantasy Football Clock Management F... 07/16	#8	#26	-

Jorge B. Edwards J. B. Edwards Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 07/26	#7	#20	-

Muntradamus M. Beast Dome Beast Dome 07/15	#6	#24	-

Matt Harmon M. Harmon Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/15	#6	#20	-

Matt Okada M. Okada 4for4.com 4for4.com 07/15	#6	#27	-

Kelly Kirby K. Kirby FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/14	#6	#25	-

Kev Wheeler K. Wheeler Wheel Route FF Wheel Route FF 07/14	#8	#20	-

Elliot Berkovits E. Berkovits Packer Report Packer Report 07/14	#7	#26	-

Kev Mahserejian K. Mahserejian Razzball Razzball 07/13	#8	#24	-

Jason Willan J. Willan Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts 07/23	#6	#20	-

Pierre Camus P. Camus Fantasy Endgame Fantasy Endgame 07/13	#6	#24	-

David Biggs D. Biggs Drink Five Drink Five 07/12	#6	#20	-

The Tecmo Weave T. Tecmo Weave Lab 52 Lab 52 07/12	#10	#26	-

Adam Dove A. Dove The Fantasy Couriers The Fantasy Couriers 07/12	#6	#12	-

Brian Hartman B. Hartman QB List QB List 07/11	#6	#24	-

Lee Wehry L. Wehry FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/10	#5	#21	-

Daniel Mader D. Mader Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A... 07/14	#5	#24	-

Justin Fuhr J. Fuhr Pro Football Mania Pro Football Mania 07/25	#9	#25	-

Dr. Roto D. Roto FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy 07/08	#5	#19	-

Nick Raducanu N. Raducanu Dr. Roto Dr. Roto 07/07	#7	#25	-

Kyle Krajewski K. Krajewski First Seed Sports First Seed Sports 07/17	#6	#20	-

Steven Pintado S. Pintado QB List QB List 07/06	#6	#25	-

Kyle Yates K. Yates Yates Fantasy Football Yates Fantasy Foot... 07/17	#6	#21	-

Mike MacGregor M. MacGregor Draft Buddy Draft Buddy 07/05	#6	#23	-

Edward Gorelik E. Gorelik End of Football End of Football 07/25	#11	#22	-

Derek Brown D. Brown FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/17	#6	#16	-

Francisco (Chato) Romero F. (Chato) ... Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy 07/03	#6	#26	-

Mauricio Gutierrez M. Gutierrez Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy 07/01	#9	#23	-

Brandon Murchison B. Murchison RotoBaller RotoBaller 07/24	#5	#21	-

Ken Zalis K. Zalis Pressbox Pressbox 07/25	#6	#21	-

Benjamin Klotz B. Klotz Touchdown Squad Touchdown Squad 06/30	#8	#27	-

Judy Adabie J. Adabie Fan Girl Football Fan Girl Football 07/07	#15	#28	-

Alfredo Brown A. Brown Footballguys Footballguys 07/10	#7	#25	-

Mick Ciallela M. Ciallela Fantrax Fantrax 06/28	#5	#24	-

Ben Wasley B. Wasley Hashtag Football Hashtag Football 07/21	#6	#24	-

Drew DeLuca D. DeLuca Going For 2 Going For 2 06/28	#8	#25	-

Blake Fincher B. Fincher Fantasy Football Cafe Fantasy Football Cafe 06/26	#6	#23	-

Nick Zylak N. Zylak Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A... 06/25	#6	#24	-

Scott Bogman S. Bogman FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/13	#6	#20	-

Lou Brunson L. Brunson Optimus Fantasy Football Optimus Fantasy Fo... 06/19	#3	#42	-

Bradley Stalder B. Stalder Player Profiler Player Profiler 06/15	#6	#24	-

Matt De Lima M. De Lima Dr. Roto Dr. Roto 06/12	#8	#24	-

Nic Bodiford N. Bodiford NerdBall Fantay Football NerdBall Fantay Fo... 06/08	#5	#25	-

Pat Fitzmaurice P. Fitzmaurice FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/22	#11	#20	-

Andrew Erickson A. Erickson FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/21	#10	#22	-

Stacy Perez S. Perez Fan Girl Football Fan Girl Football 05/29	#5	#26	-

Seth Woolcock S. Woolcock FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/15	#9	#26	-

Ed Birdsall E. Birdsall Talking Points Sports Talking Points Sports 07/23	#6	#17	-

Kevin Steele K. Steele The Fantasy Authority The Fantasy Authority 06/04	#7	#22	-

Joe Orrico J. Orrico No Expert Fantasy Football No Expert Fantasy ... 05/21	#7	#21	-

Tom Strachan T. Strachan NFL Best Ball NFL Best Ball 07/25	#6	#23	-

Wyatt Bertolone W. Bertolone Player Profiler Player Profiler 07/01	#8	#19	-

Andy Behrens A. Behrens The Deep Shot The Deep Shot 07/26	#6	#17	-

Jacob Hubman J. Hubman The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli... 05/11	#8	#24	-

Richard Savill R. Savill Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack 05/09	#7	#27	-

Brandon Funston B. Funston The Athletic The Athletic 05/11	#6	#26	-

Site Rankings S. Rankings Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts 07/20	#9	#20	-

Elisha Twerski E. Twerski USA Today USA Today 04/28	#10	#25	-

Brad Evans B. Evans Bally Sports Bally Sports 04/27	#10	#23	-

Fantasy BR F. BR Fantasy BR Fantasy BR 04/27	#11	#24	-

Jacob Gibbs J. Gibbs SportsLine SportsLine 06/09	#10	#25	-

Kyle Soppe K. Soppe Pro Football Network Pro Football Network 05/20	#6	#25	-

Justin Sablich J. Sablich 5th Down Fantasy 5th Down Fantasy 04/20	#10	#24	-

Tera Roberts T. Roberts OddsChecker OddsChecker 07/09	#8	#25	-

Justin Jaksa J. Jaksa Dr. Roto Dr. Roto 03/24	#11	#24	-

Kyle August K. August Fantasy Football Smackdown Fantasy Football S... 03/09	#10	#27	-

Smitty S. TheFantasyFootballShow TheFantasyFootball... 01/07	#15	#33	-

Marc Shannep M. Shannep Fantasy Knockout Fantasy Knockout 07/15	#11	#35	-

Nick Vertucci N. Vertucci Sundays Are For Football Sundays Are For Fo... 01/07	#11	#34	-

Player Game Logs Comparison
	Derrick Henry RB - BAL Derrick Henry RB - BAL	David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU
2026 Schedule
Week 1	at IND	vs. BUF
Week 2	vs. NO	vs. CIN
Week 3	at DAL	at IND
Week 4	vs. TEN	vs. DAL
Week 5	at ATL	at TEN
Week 6	at CLE	at JAC
Week 7	vs. CIN	vs. NYG
Week 8	at BUF	BYE WEEK
Week 9	vs. JAC	at LAC
Week 10	vs. LAC	at CLE
Week 11	at CAR	vs. IND
Week 12	at HOU	vs. BAL
Week 13	BYE WEEK	at PIT
Week 14	vs. TB	at WAS
Week 15	at PIT	vs. JAC
Week 16	vs. CLE	at PHI
Week 17	at CIN	at GB
Week 18	vs. PIT	vs. TEN

Player Projections Comparison
	Derrick Henry RB - BAL Derrick Henry RB - BAL	David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU
Rushing

Rush Attempts	314.0	225.5
Rush Yards	1,568.1	936.6
Rush TDs	13.4	7.3

Receiving

Receptions	17.8	30.5
Rec Yards	172.1	226.4
Rec TDs	0.7	0.5

Points

Fantasy Points	255.1	161.5

Player Fantasy Points Comparison
	Derrick Henry RB - BAL Derrick Henry RB - BAL	David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU
2025 Points
Week 1	28.2	4.3
Week 2	2.3	12.1
Week 3	9.7	28.4
Week 4	5.8	1.2
Week 5	9.3	17.2
Week 6	13.0	6.1
Week 7	‐	3.9
Week 8	19.1	‐
Week 9	12.1	9.0
Week 10	8.4	9.1
Week 11	18.2	3.7
Week 12	20.8	3.7
Week 13	16.4	10.8
Week 14	10.2	13.3
Week 15	10.0	9.2
Week 16	22.8	1.4
Week 17	45.6	4.0
Week 18	12.6	5.5
Total	264.5	142.9
Average	15.6	8.4

Player Targets Comparison
	Derrick Henry RB - BAL Derrick Henry RB - BAL	David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU
2025 Targets
Week 1	1	4
Week 2	0	1
Week 3	1	1
Week 4	3	1
Week 5	1	1
Week 6	2	2
Week 7	‐	3
Week 8	1	‐
Week 9	1	4
Week 10	3	1
Week 11	2	1
Week 12	2	3
Week 13	1	2
Week 14	2	1
Week 15	0	1
Week 16	0	0
Week 17	0	2
Week 18	1	1

Notes for Player Combination
	Derrick Henry RB - BAL Derrick Henry RB - BAL	David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU
Expert
Derek Brown FantasyPros	Last year was another impressive year for Derrick Henry. He didn't show any signs of slowing down with 307 rushing attempts, 1.595 rushing yards, 16 total touchdowns, and an RB8 finish in fantasy points per game. Last year, among 49 qualifying backs, Henry ranked 16th in yards after contact per attempt and seventh in explosive run rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Henry won't contribute much in the passing game, but that's a given at this point. It doesn't crush his overall production, but it isn't there to help add to his weekly floor. Henry had five games last year as RB25 or lower in weekly fantasy scoring. I still want to invest in Henry as an RB1 again in 2026. If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.	David Montgomery now finds himself as the Texans' do it all workhorse for 2026. Last year, he was phased out of the Lions' offensive plans as the season moved along, which led to his RB32 finish in fantasy points per game. In Weeks 12-18, he was the RB43 in fantasy points per game with a 32.1% snap rate, 8.2 touches per game, and only 42.8 total yards per game. Montgomery still has the juice to produce as a workhorse this season. Last season, he ranked 30th in missed tackle rate, but he was 12th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). His receiving chops are also still alive and well, as he was also 22nd in yards per route run and 12th in first downs per route run. Many will worry that Montgomery will split Houston's backfield workload with Woody Marks this season, but I don't see that happening. Montgomery should absorb a workload close to what Joe Mixon saw in 2024. In 2024, Mixon ranked fifth in opportunity share, 14th in snap share, and 13th in carries among running backs, finishing with 281 touches. Last season, Montgomery bested Marks in explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, rushing success rate, yards after contact per attempt, and yards per route run. Legit, every per-touch metric that I care about. Montgomery is the superior back, even at this stage of his career, and he'll be a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production.