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Undervalued Consistent Players: WR (Fantasy Football)

by Bob Lung
Aug 25, 2016

Eric Decker

Eric Decker was more consistent than any other player in 2015

Bob Lung breaks down consistent WRs that are going undervalued in fantasy football.

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Every year as fantasy owners head into their drafts, they are always looking for the “sleepers” or undervalued players. The Clutch Games system identifies undervalued players that most systems can’t. These are the players who are consistent week after week but don’t normally have huge games. These players slip down and can be drafted at great value.

I’m going to break these players into three different sections based on their ADP. The sections will consist of Early Picks (Rounds 1-to-4), Middle Picks (Rounds 5-to-9) and Late Picks (Rounds 10 and higher). I will identify those picks who are undervalued based on their current ADP. This way if you want to pick a player early, you can and still get good value based on what round you draft them. Or you can wait until the middle or late rounds and get great value just as easily. It’s your call!

We’ve examined quarterbacks and running backs. Let’s now take a look at wide receivers.

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Early Round Picks (Rounds 1 – 4)

T.Y. Hilton (IND)
It’s difficult to find outstanding value in the first rounds at wide receiver, but Hilton provides good value based on his current ADP of WR16/pick 27. Hilton was in the Top 12 in both consistency and total points in 2014. Last season’s injury to Andrew Luck destroyed most of the fantasy value of the Colts’ receiver, but particularly Hilton’s. If you grab a top running back and a WR1 in the first two rounds, then getting Hilton in the third round will be very good. He could easily get back in the top 10 of receivers in 2016.

Randall Cobb (GB)
Another team who’s passing game was decimated by injuries was the Packers. They lost Jordy Nelson in the preseason and also had minor injuries to Randall Cobb as well. Aaron Rodgers just never got into a flow in the regular season and Cobb’s fantasy numbers were way below average. Just like Hilton, Cobb had an outstanding year in 2014 when he was top 8 in both total points and consistency. With all of the Packers back to health, I would expect Cobb to be right back in the top 10. His current ADP is WR20/pick 32. He will be a great value if you can get him in the third round.

Middle Round Picks (Rounds 5 – 9)

Eric Decker (NYJ)
Just in case you missed everything written about Decker, he was the only perfectly consistent player in the NFL last season! With Ryan Fitzpatrick back as the quarterback for the Jets quarterback in 2016, Decker should remain as consistent as last season.  However, his current ADP is WR30/pick 60. So, you can draft Decker as a WR3 with potential to earn WR2 numbers or even WR1 numbers. Either way is good value.

Michael Crabtree (OAK)
Crabtree broke out last season as a member of the Raiders. He ended the year ranked 17th in total points and tied for 20th in consistency with a 69% Clutch Rating. He also ended last season with six Clutch Games over his last seven games played. His current ADP is WR35/pick 76, which a little surprising to me. He’s certainly worth drafting as your WR3 or WR4 who should earn you WR2 or WR3 points and consistency.

Late Round Picks (Rounds 10 +)

Kamar Aiken (BAL)
Nothing could have been as quiet as Aiken’s 2015 Fantasy season. He played all 16 games filling in for injuries to Steve Smith and Breshad Perriman. He finished the season ranked 27th in total points but more importantly was ranked 15th in consistency. With Perriman hurt again and Steve Smith is an aging veteran, Aiken could earn WR2 numbers again in 2016. This is very impressive when you realize that his current ADP is WR58/pick 155. Draft him as a late round receiver and smile all the way to the playoffs.

Jamison Crowder (WAS)
Just like Aiken, Crowder filled in for the injured receivers on the Redskins team during the 2015. He didn’t put up the same numbers as Aiken but he did show some flashes of brilliance. His ADP is so high that it doesn’t matter what he does. I’m listing him here just like I did for Andre Ellington. Crowder’s current ADP is WR86/pick 240. He probably won’t get drafted and he can be picked off the waiver wire. However, if you can stash him on your bench, grab him late in your drafts.

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