Skip to main content

Overvalued Draft Targets: WR (Fantasy Football)

by Eric Moody | @EricNMoody | Featured Writer
Feb 23, 2018

The NFL prefers to stay in the news cycle as much as possible in the offseason. The abundance of pre-draft events began in January with the Senior Bowl and the East-West Shrine game. The NFL Combine is nearly upon us as a number of young men continue their journey to become a professional football player. Which ones will be a good fit for your dynasty team? This article will share three wide receivers who are overvalued based on our consensus rookie rankings.

Mock draft all year round with our Mock Draft Simulator >>

OVERALL RANK ROOKIES POS
7 James Washington WR3
12 D.J. Moore WR5
30 Allen Lazard WR12

 
James Washington (OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS)

Did you know Washington is one of five players in school history with multiple 1,000 receiving yard seasons? He joins Justin Blackmon, Rashaun Woods, Hart Lee Dykes, and Adarius Bowman. Washington finished his collegiate career averaging 4.4 receptions, 87.7 receiving yards, and 0.76 touchdowns per game. You won’t believe what big takeaways I uncovered after watching game film on him.

Washington has very good quickness and change of direction with the play speed to attack defenses vertically. He also has very good hands. Washington has not displayed the ability to run many routes. The Cowboys ran a spread offense which took advantage of a number of weak defenses (and inflated Washington’s statistical production) in the Big 12. As a result, Washington could struggle with press coverage at the next level. He is better suited as a No. 2 WR in the NFL. Washington is not a player to reach for in fantasy rookie drafts. There are other players like Christian KirkEquanimeous St. Brown, or Calvin Ridley you should consider keeping on your radar around his average draft position (ADP).

D.J. Moore (MARYLAND TERRAPINS)

Moore made 35 straight starts dating back to 2015 and had a reception in 33 consecutive games which were the longest streak in the Big 10. He holds numerous school records. Moore ranks fifth in career receptions (146) and sixth in career receiving yards (2,027). He finished his collegiate career averaging 4.05 receptions, 56.3 receiving yards, and 0.47 touchdowns per game. But guess what I realized after watching game film? Moore has good agility and short-area burst to create yards after the catch with his adequate hands. He ran a very limited route tree and rarely attacked defenses vertically as evidenced by his 13.9 career yards per catch. Could Moore have an NFL future as a slot receiver? This is not the type of investment you want to make at his current ADP. A superior option would be WR Michael Gallup, Auden Tate, or Tre’Quan Smith.

Allen Lazard (IOWA STATE CYCLONES)

Lazard finished his collegiate career as the Cyclones career leader in receptions (241) and receiving yards (3,360). He averaged 5.02 receptions, 70 receiving yards, and 0.54 touchdowns per game. And then it hit me after breaking down the game film. Lazard has very good size, play strength, strong hands, mental toughness, and a willingness to run block. He lacks the explosiveness and agility needed to be successful against NFL-caliber corners. Lazard does not have the play speed to threaten defenses vertically. He has the profile of a possession receiver and has the skillset to make contested catches. Could Lazard’s NFL future be as a tight end?

CONCLUSION

It is important to play the piano with both hands by analyzing a WR’s statistical production and game film. The type of offensive scheme and competition the WR played against is also critical. What did you find most useful?


SubscribeiTunes | Google Play | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | TuneIn | RSS

Eric Moody is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Eric, check out his archive and follow him @EricNMoody.

What's your take? Leave a comment

1Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
2Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
3Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
4Michael Thomas (NO)WR
5Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
6Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
7Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
8Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
9DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
10Aaron Jones (GB)RB
 View All Rankings 
11Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
12Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
13Davante Adams (GB)WR
14Julio Jones (ATL)WR
15Chris Godwin (TB)WR
16Mike Evans (TB)WR
17George Kittle (SF)TE
18Travis Kelce (KC)TE
19Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
20Lamar Jackson (BAL)QB
21Josh Jacobs (OAK)RB
22Kenny Golladay (DET)WR
23Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
24D.J. Moore (CAR)WR
25Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
26Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE)WR
27Chris Carson (SEA)RB
28Allen Robinson (CHI)WR
29Miles Sanders (PHI)RB
30Mark Andrews (BAL)TE
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Mike Trout (LAA)CF
3Christian Yelich (MIL)LF,RF
4Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
5Mookie Betts (LAD)CF,RF
6Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
7Trevor Story (COL)SS
8Gerrit Cole (NYY)SP
9Trea Turner (WSH)SS
10Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
 View All Rankings 
11Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
12Juan Soto (WSH)LF
13Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
14Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
15Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
16Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
17Jose Ramirez (CLE)3B
18J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
19Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
20Anthony Rendon (LAA)3B
21Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)SS
22Rafael Devers (BOS)3B
23Bryce Harper (PHI)RF
24Aaron Judge (NYY)RF
25Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
26Stephen Strasburg (WSH)SP
27Starling Marte (ARI)CF
28Jack Flaherty (STL)SP
29Yordan Alvarez (HOU)LF,DH
30Javier Baez (CHC)SS
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
 View All Rankings 
11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (CLE)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
Follow the Pros!

Follow us on Twitter @FantasyPros for exclusive advice and contests