Skip to main content

PGA DFS: How Much Does Event and Course History Matter?

May 17, 2020

The PGA DFS industry has steadily gained momentum. Last July, PGA Tour and DraftKings announced a multi-year partnership. This was huge news for the DFS industry, as it will provide the Tour with another opportunity to engage fans and grow the game. We can expect bigger cash prizes and even various PGA Tour prizes down the road in DraftKings contests.

PGA DFS is the best bang for your buck. Unlike other sports, each DFS contest is spread out over four days. Your golfer is guaranteed at least two rounds, and the multi-day sweat is second to none. This is one advantage DFS golf has on its competitors. However, assembling that cash-winning lineup is no easy task. The first thing to look at before each event should be course history.

Try Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings now >>

Many sites, including Data Golf and Saber DFS, offer free course history databases for every single event on Tour. This is something to take advantage of prior to setting your DFS lineups each week. A golfer’s course history at a particular event often has a strong correlation with how they will play that certain week.

While the world’s highest-ranked golfers will usually turn in a strong showing, they too can have bad course histories at certain events. For example, Rickie Fowler, the world’s 27th-ranked golfer, really struggles at the Farmers Insurance Open. Despite Farmers Insurance being a sponsor of Fowler’s, he hasn’t finished better than 66th at the event in five years. The added pressure of being in the spotlight could factor into his struggles, or the course simply does not set up well for his eye.

Kevin Streelman’s success at Pebble Beach is another good example of why course history matters. Despite being 91st in the official world golf ranking, Streelman has five straight top-20 finishes at the ATT Pebble Beach event. What makes him set up so well for Pebble Beach? Well, for one, it’s one of the shortest courses on Tour. While Streelman is one of the shorter hitters on Tour, he is also one of the most accurate. He doesn’t lose any advantage off the tee and can attack the course with his elite irons (27th in strokes gained: approach, in 2019).

Having success at a certain course can give a golfer a huge mental edge heading into an event. For example, Andrew Landry, the winner of the American Express in 2020 (formerly known as the CareerBuilder Challenge), also had a runner-up finish at the course in 2018.  Landry had five missed cuts before his win this year. It goes to show that recent form isn’t everything, and golfers can feed off of their prior success at a particular course.

Course history can give you an edge on the competition. If you are having a hard time deciding between a couple of players, always pick the golfer with a better course history. DFS Golf is no easy task, and you need to do all the research you can to try to get that big GPP win someday.

Try Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings now >>

Nic Turner is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nic, check out his archive and follow him @sportzbandit.

What's your take? Leave a comment

1Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
2Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
3Michael Thomas (NO)WR
4Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
5Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
6Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
7Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
8Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
9Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
10Davante Adams (GB)WR
 View All Rankings 
11Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
12Julio Jones (ATL)WR
13Josh Jacobs (LV)RB
14DeAndre Hopkins (ARI)WR
15Chris Godwin (TB)WR
16Travis Kelce (KC)TE
17Kenny Golladay (DET)WR
18George Kittle (SF)TE
19Aaron Jones (GB)RB
20Mike Evans (TB)WR
21Kenyan Drake (ARI)RB
22Miles Sanders (PHI)RB
23Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
24Mark Andrews (BAL)TE
25Lamar Jackson (BAL)QB
26Patrick Mahomes (KC)QB
27Austin Ekeler (LAC)RB
28Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE)WR
29A.J. Brown (TEN)WR
30Todd Gurley (ATL)RB
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Mike Trout (LAA)CF
3Christian Yelich (MIL)LF,RF
4Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
5Mookie Betts (LAD)CF,RF
6Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
7Trevor Story (COL)SS
8Gerrit Cole (NYY)SP
9Trea Turner (WSH)SS
10Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
 View All Rankings 
11Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
12Juan Soto (WSH)LF
13Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
14Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
15Jose Ramirez (CLE)3B
16Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
17J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
18Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
19Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)SS
20Anthony Rendon (LAA)3B
21Rafael Devers (BOS)3B
22Bryce Harper (PHI)RF
23Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
24Starling Marte (ARI)CF
25Jack Flaherty (STL)SP
26Javier Baez (CHC)SS
27Stephen Strasburg (WSH)SP
28Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
29Shane Bieber (CLE)SP
30Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
 View All Rankings 
11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (CLE)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
Build winning DFS lineups

Use the FantasyPros Lineup Optimizer to build winning lineups based on expert projections.