It’s important to know who to target and who to pass on when it comes to your fantasy football draft. To get a better sense of players to avoid and others to reach for, use our Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and compare them to a player’s average draft position (ADP). Players that are going higher in ADP versus ECR are likely those that you want to reconsider at their current cost. On the flipside, players that experts are higher on versus ADP are those that could be worth reaching for, or at least targeting at their current ADP.
And you can use our expert accuracy rankings to help determine which experts to select when you are building your custom fantasy football draft cheat sheets.
Here’s a look at players the experts are targeting at their current ADP.
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50 Players to Target From The Most Accurate NFL Experts
RK | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | POS | ECR VS. ADP |
4 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | WR1 | 2 |
5 | Dalvin Cook | MIN | RB4 | 2 |
15 | Alvin Kamara | NO | RB9 | 4 |
30 | Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | WR13 | 6 |
32 | DJ Moore | CAR | WR14 | 12 |
33 | Breece Hall | NYJ | RB17 | 8 |
37 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | WR15 | 17 |
38 | Mike Williams | LAC | WR16 | 11 |
39 | Travis Etienne Jr. | JAC | RB19 | 6 |
44 | Brandin Cooks | HOU | WR19 | 14 |
47 | J.K. Dobbins | BAL | RB22 | 5 |
49 | Allen Robinson II | LAR | WR21 | 12 |
57 | Michael Thomas | NO | WR23 | 9 |
58 | Darnell Mooney | CHI | WR24 | 15 |
60 | Miles Sanders | PHI | RB27 | 11 |
61 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | KC | WR25 | 15 |
68 | Kareem Hunt | CLE | RB29 | 11 |
71 | Rashaad Penny | SEA | RB30 | 9 |
72 | Elijah Moore | NYJ | WR30 | 12 |
74 | Chase Edmonds | MIA | RB31 | 13 |
76 | Rashod Bateman | BAL | WR32 | 9 |
78 | Dameon Pierce | HOU | RB32 | 40 |
84 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR35 | 8 |
93 | Allen Lazard | GB | WR37 | 9 |
98 | Drake London | ATL | WR39 | 7 |
106 | Pat Freiermuth | PIT | TE11 | 14 |
107 | Darrell Henderson Jr. | LAR | RB40 | 8 |
110 | Cole Kmet | CHI | TE12 | 24 |
114 | Skyy Moore | KC | WR46 | 18 |
115 | Nyheim Hines | IND | RB42 | 9 |
116 | Tyler Allgeier | ATL | RB43 | 24 |
118 | Jakobi Meyers | NE | WR48 | 62 |
119 | Justin Fields | CHI | QB16 | 19 |
121 | Hunter Henry | NE | TE13 | 48 |
123 | Kenneth Gainwell | PHI | RB44 | 16 |
126 | Albert Okwuegbunam | DEN | TE14 | 11 |
129 | J.D. McKissic | WAS | RB47 | 16 |
130 | Jamaal Williams | DET | RB48 | 28 |
133 | Brian Robinson Jr. | WAS | RB49 | 27 |
134 | Irv Smith Jr. | MIN | TE16 | 27 |
137 | George Pickens | PIT | WR55 | 11 |
138 | Noah Fant | SEA | TE17 | 39 |
139 | Khalil Herbert | CHI | RB50 | 49 |
140 | Matt Ryan | IND | QB18 | 28 |
141 | Trevor Lawrence | JAC | QB19 | 21 |
144 | Tyler Higbee | LAR | TE18 | 78 |
149 | DJ Chark Jr. | DET | WR59 | 14 |
150 | Gerald Everett | LAC | TE19 | 48 |
151 | David Njoku | CLE | TE20 | 24 |
152 | Sony Michel | MIA | RB53 | 24 |
Player Notes
Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN)
Entering Year 3, it looked like Courtland Sutton was on the cusp of true elite fantasy WR1 production, but his 2020 season was lost due to a torn ACL in Week 2. It was unclear how productive Sutton would be returning from the devastating knee injury.
But to start the 2021 season, the Broncos wide receiver looked like his old self. He averaged 13.8 fantasy points per game (17th) and had a 27% target share in Weeks 2-7 during the regular season.
It wasn’t until Jerry Jeudy’s return from injury that Sutton – and the rest of the Broncos pass catchers – became obsolete in a crowded, run-heavy offense led by a combination of Lock/Teddy Bridgewater. Nevertheless, Sutton finished the season as the fantasy WR46.
However, even in the anemic offense, Sutton still finished seventh in air yards (1,756), cemented in between Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf, in 2021.
Sutton has a real chance to recapture his elite form another year removed from his ACL injury. It also helps substantially that he has received an ultra upgrade at the quarterback position with Denver’s trade for Russell Wilson.
Wilson has always been an elite downfield passer – he had the sixth-highest passer rating on throws of 20-plus air yards last season – which plays heavily into Sutton’s strengths as a vertical threat.
Mike Williams (WR – LAC)
Mike Williams had the opportunity to take his talents elsewhere this offseason in free agency but decided to stay in Los Angeles with quarterback Justin Herbert. Hard to argue with the choice to sign a three-year deal worth $60M attached to a young superstar quarterback, especially when that quarterback fueled a career year.
He stormed out the gate in 2021 as the WR2 in fantasy through the first five weeks of the season, averaging 94.2 receiving yards and 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game.
Big Mike finished the season as the WR23 in fantasy points per game despite cooling off considerably in the later weeks in addition to leaving a boatload of touchdown production on the table.
He finished sixth in end-zone targets (16) but caught only five for touchdowns.
With positive TD regression on his side, Williams looks like a sneaky candidate to repeat his WR12 overall finish in the half-point scoring format.
Brandin Cooks (WR – HOU)
Brandin Cooks has finished worse than the fantasy WR20 only once since 2015, and that was due to injury. He has eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards six times with four different teams during that span.
At just 28 years old, Cooks shows little signs of slowing down. Last season, he was a target and air yards hog, finishing fourth in air yards share (36%) and ninth in target share (24%).
And during the final four games of the season with Davis Mills at quarterback, Cooks was top-10 in fantasy points per game (15.0) to go along with a top-5 target rate per route run (33%).
FantasyPros Staff Rankings
- Derek Brown’s Rankings
- Andrew Erickson’s Rankings
- Matthew Freedman’s Rankings
- Pat Fitzmaurice’s Rankings
- Joe Pisapia’s Rankings
- Staff Consensus Rankings
- Staff Consensus Superflex Rankings
Expert Consensus Rankings
- Fantasy Football Redraft Rankings and Tiers: Overall | QB | RB | WR | TE | DST | K | Superflex | IDP
Fantasy Football Player Profiles
Fantasy Football Projections
FantasyPros Consensus Average Draft Position (ADP)
Fantasy Football Draft Tools
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Fantasy Football Draft Research
- Quarterback By Committee Finder (QBBC)
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.