A week removed from my latest rookie mock draft, it is time to check in to see player movement now that the dust has settled on the NFL Scouting Combine.
For this mock draft, I have stuck to the traditional 1QB, three-round mock draft and randomized my draft position (I ended up in the No. 7 spot). I used the FantasyPros Draft Wizard to conduct this draft.
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Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft 1 QB (Fantasy Football 2023)
1.07: Quentin Johnston (WR – TCU)
Quentin Johnston might be the most athletically gifted wide receiver in this class. So for him to fall to the 1.07 is a gift from the gods. To have two quarterbacks taken before me to allow this slide is extremely fortunate. If Johnston slides to the 1.07 in your rookie draft, run to the local store and buy a lottery ticket.
At 6 foot-4 inches, he runs in the 4.3’s for a 40-yard dash. And while his college production doesn’t scream superstar, you have to remember where he was playing. In 2022, we saw a significant increase in production, with Johnston hauling in 60 passes for 1069 yards and six touchdowns.
QB rating when targeted was 103.1, which shows incredible production. He will be a huge X receiver for a team needing an outside big threat in the NFL. Expect him to make a splash in his rookie year. However, I would expect him to really break out in year two or three, as he will need some time to adjust to the increased level of competition and route concepts that will be thrown his way.
2.07: Kendre Miller (RB – TCU)
It certainly was not in the draft plan to take two Horned Frogs with my opening two rookie picks. However, when the value falls into your lap, you have to take it. Kendre Miller rushed for 1,399 and 17 touchdowns in his junior year for the Horned Frogs. He showed great contact balance and great yards after contact.
Some coaches aren’t going to love Miller, as he is not the quickest back. Nor did he have a ton of receiving pedigree in college. However, Miller improved as a receiver, and with the right coaching, he will be adequate for the NFL level. Where coaches will love him is he does the ugly stuff really well and has a strong willingness to do it.
Miller projects to be an early-down back who, in the right scheme, can contribute immediately and net you valuable fantasy points. He is also likely to be a team’s goalline back due to his size and ability to find the lane. Though I do not expect him to be 2023’s Jamaal Williams, I can see a path to Miller getting eight-10 touchdowns by the goaline if he lands in the right situation. He could prove to be a shrewd pick where you are getting him.
3.07: Parker Washington (WR – Penn State)
At this point of the rookie draft, it is about taking shots. And Parker Washington is my late third-round shot. He is a small slot receiver, no doubt about it. However, he has exceptional catching ability. And with his speed, he produces excellent YAC ability. He managed over 13 yards per reception in the slot last year. Also, due to his size and speed, he will likely get on the field immediately with the special teams unit and showcase his talent. If he can break one or two big gains on special teams as a kick returner, he is more likely to elevate himself up the roster later in the year.
After 3.06, the draft really starts to nosedive. So finding players who will contribute, even on special teams, is what you are looking for. Regardless of where Washington gets drafted, he will likely make the 53-man roster.
A lesser-known fact about Washington is that he is the cousin of Browns’ quarterback Joshua Dobbs. Growing up around football and having family in the league is a massive boost and could help him settle easier into the NFL than others.
2.03: Zach Evans (RB – Ole Miss)
Keeping up with this draft’s TCU Horned Frogs theme, I think Zach Evans at the 2.03 is a tremendous value. While there is some concern about how he conceded so much production to freshman Quinshon Judkins, Evans is too athletically gifted not to be worth taking a gamble on toward the end of the first and beginning of the second rounds.
Evans tested very well, with exceptional speed and 20-yard shuttle scores. He has something about him that screams superstar if he can be unleashed.
3.06: Cedric Tillman (WR – Tennessee)
In last week’s mock draft, I discussed Cedric Tillman as a massive value. Only this time, he slips back three more spots. Marvin Mims and Tillman being available in the third round is exceptional value and shows how deep this wide receiver class is. If you can trade up into the early third round and grab one of Tillman or Mims, you should absolutely do it. As when these two come off the board, the rest of the draft almost falls off a cliff.
1.03: Anthony Richardson (QB – Florida)
For the second mock draft in a row, four quarterbacks go off the board in a 1QB rookie draft. That is surprising, given this class’s lack of elite talent at quarterback. However, drafting Anthony Richardson at the 1.03 is a mistake waiting to happen. I didn’t like him being selected at the 1.06 last week. At the 1.03 this week, I am not sure you will ever see the return on him there at that pick, even if he returned multiple top-five QB years, which I do not believe he will.
I still believe that Richardson will not play much in 2023. Therefore selecting him at the 1.03 feels like a waste of a premium first-round selection.
Dynasty Rookie Draft Results
You can see the full results of the draft here:
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Adam Murfet is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Murf, check out his archive and follow him @Murf_NFL.