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Fantasy Baseball Deep-League Draft Targets (ADP 300+)

by Brian Entrekin | @bdentrek | Featured Writer
Mar 14, 2023
Fantasy Baseball Late-Round Draft Targets

With fantasy baseball draft season in full force, we need to research all areas of the drafts, including the draft’s last picks. Some may use these picks to take risks, as they can be easy drops. Some may even refer to them as the final pieces to fill out your roster. But, no matter how you look at them, some of these last picks, if they hit, can be league-winners.

In this article, I will look at seven players going past ECR/ADP 300. Of course, more than seven players can be taken, but these are the players I have been taking in this area of drafts so far. Some veterans look to bounce back from injury, and a young outfielder is looking to stake his claim in the bigs. Let’s look at some of the deep-league targets for draft day.

Deep-League Fantasy Baseball Draft Targets

FantasyPros Consensus MLB ADP >>

Kenta Maeda (MIN – SP)

Maeda was injured after 21 starts in 2021 and required Tommy John Surgery. He missed all of the 2022 season and is ready to roll in 2023. Maeda had that fantastic, shortened 2020 season with a 2.70 ERA, 2.63 xFIP, and 28.2% K-BB. The strikeouts dipped in 2021, and that may have been partly due to the injury. He is healthy and has only allowed one run over 5.2 innings this spring. Maeda has walked five and struck out four which is not ideal, but control is usually the most prominent thing when returning from TJ surgery. I will take a late shot on Maeda, hoping he returns to a solid SP2 or SP3 for fantasy teams.

Garrett Mitchell (MIL – OF)

Mitchell had his first cup of coffee with the Brewers in 2022 and hit two home runs while stealing eight bases and hitting .311 over 68 plate appearances. He struck out 41.2% of the time, which is not good at all, but hopefully, that will come back to the mid-20% numbers throughout the minors. This spring, Mitchell is hitting .333 with three home runs and looks to be running away with the starting CF job in Milwaukee. The only hurdle in front of him is a minor hamstring injury he is dealing with, but it is not expected to be serious. He could be a steal later in drafts.

Adam Duvall (BOS – OF)

Duvall has landed with a new team in Boston, and it looks like a great landing spot for fantasy. Duvall is expected to be the regular center fielder, leading to plenty of at-bats. Duvall only played 86 games for the Braves last year and hit 12 home runs. He is just a year removed from playing 146 games while hitting 38 home runs and driving in 113 runs. Duvall will not hit for a high batting average, but he can supply some nice, late power for your fantasy teams.

Kike Hernandez (BOS – 2B, SS, OF)

Hernandez is set to have a lovely fantasy season with the Red Sox. Last year, he battled injuries, so he only played in 93 games and hit six home runs. Before that, Hernandez hit 17 or more home runs in three straight seasons, not counting 2020, while also hitting around .250. Hernandez is slated to be the regular shortstop while Adelberto Mondesi is out with an injury, and Hernandez will play some second base and outfield. Barring injuries, Hernandez should be back to playing at least 130 games, which means he should be in line for another 15+ home runs and decent counting stats. Not bad for a deep-league target.

Brandon Belt (TOR – 1B)

This may just be the Giants homer in me, but I am still in on Belt this season. Belt has always been hamstrung offensively by his home ballpark in San Francisco, so the move to Toronto is a plus. He will also primarily be the regular DH, which should help him stay healthy — a significant problem of late for the former Giant. Belt brings excellent OBP skills to his teams and 20+ home-run power when healthy. I will take shots on Belt in deeper leagues; if he does not work out, he is an easy drop.

Eduardo Rodriguez (DET – SP)

Rodriguez is coming off an awful 2022 season with injuries and off-the-field issues surrounding poor production and decreased velocity. Injuries and off-the-field problems may still happen, but the velocity is up this spring, which brings some nice optimism for this season regarding fantasy. This spring, Rodriguez has thrown 8.1 innings with seven hits, only one walk, and 10 strikeouts. He has looked great, and any sort of a bounce back would be fantasy goodness this late in drafts.

Alex Wood (SF – SP)

Wood has been a health risk recently, but his draft price was higher in previous seasons. He still made 26 starts in the last two seasons and had a K-BB% over 18% in both seasons. Last year, Wood had a horrible 5.10 ERA, but his 3.41 xFIP proves he may have been a bit unlucky. He looked great in his first spring outing, where he did not allow a run and struck out five over two innings. Wood is a major target for me late in drafts.

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