Fantasy baseball draft season is a time of optimism. Sadly, not every player will live up to draft-day expectations. Some players will inevitably fail to deliver value at their average draft position (ADP). Avoiding costly busts can help a squad contend for a championship. But, of course, bust is a relative term, and the cost of missing on a late-round pick is minimal.
- Fitz’s Positional Primers
- Justin Mason’s Draft Day Cheat Sheet
- Players the Experts Draft
- Latest Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft
Bust Pitchers: Hunter Greene
Hunter Greene (SP – CIN): 122.2 ADP & 125.8 ECR
Greene has an electrifying arsenal and an exciting long-term outlook. Unfortunately, he might take some more lumps this year after turning in a 4.44 ERA in 24 starts and 125.2 innings last year.
The hard-throwing youngster allowed 1.72 HR/9 in his homer-friendly home ballpark. Great American Ball Park has the highest park factor for homers (1.518). Additionally, Greene allowed 1.37 HR/9 in 72.1 innings at the Triple-A level. So, coughing up homers isn’t a recent issue for him.
Greene could also struggle to win games for the rebuilding Reds. He earned five wins in 24 starts last year, and the Reds aren’t a powerhouse club. FanGraphs projects the Reds for only 68 wins, and Baseball Prospectus projects them for 67.9 wins. Greene’s strikeout ability is undeniable, but the remainder of his profile leaves much to be desired. Instead of investing in Greene at his ADP, gamers should consider choosing his teammate, Nick Lodolo (129.2 ADP).
Beyond our fantasy baseball content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Baseball Tools as you prepare for your draft this season. From our free mock Draft Simulator – which allows you to mock draft against realistic opponents – to our Draft Assistant – which optimizes your picks with expert advice – we’ve got you covered this fantasy baseball draft season.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
