The NFL season is quickly approaching and there will be many fluctuations in value between now and when the season starts, but these are players who currently stand out as good value at ADP in the first fifteen rounds of drafts. And here’s a look at targets for each of the first 15 rounds based on ADP.
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Players to Target at ADP
Here are players to target by ADP in fantasy football drafts.
Round 13 – Kenny Pickett
Pickett’s low touchdown rate of 1.7% was the 660th-lowest rate among quarterbacks to start 10+ games since 2000. That’s from a total sample size of 679. The NFL average TD rate over the last three seasons among quarterbacks starting 10+ games has been 4.53%, and while we shouldn’t automatically assume Pickett can leap to that number, it shouldn’t be surprising to see him double his 1.7% and end up throwing over 20 touchdowns in 2023. Unlike many of the other quarterbacks in this range, Pickett should start every game.
Kenny Pickett has solid weapons, and PIT made some upgrades on OL. He's far from an elite option, but a top-12 fantasy QB finish is well within his range of outcomes for 2023.
I don't get why Pickett's ADP is currently 4-6 rounds behind comparable options like Cousins and Goff. https://t.co/sLCk9F28xb pic.twitter.com/sE6PeNDzCp
— ??? ? ???? (@FFA_Meng) May 20, 2023
Round 14 – Chuba Hubbard
Miles Sanders might be the RB1 in Carolina, but he’s not a three-down back unless you think the Eagles misused him over the last few years, and that’s not a common assumption. Hubbard will find his way onto the field early and would be a top-tier handcuff if anything happened to Sanders.
Round 15 – Tyjae Spears
The Titans don’t seem to be worried about Tyjae Spears’s lack of ACL and perhaps we shouldn’t be either. For whatever period of time Spears manages to play in the NFL, he could be the perfect player to take over from 29-year-old Derrick Henry. Betting against Henry hasn’t paid off so far in his career, but Father Time is always undefeated.
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