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Week 14 Fantasy Football Injury Report

Trevor Lawrence

TBD. We’d lean towards him playing. The average timeline for QBs on high ankles is about 2-3 weeks, but Lawrence has a history of playing through injury. His straight line running is likely not hugely impacted, but his cutting ability probably is. For reference, Patrick Mahomes played through a similar injury in the playoffs last year.

Breece Hall

Data projects 2/3 chance Hall plays. RBs with mild low ankle sprains typically don’t see an efficiency dip, but do see fewer touches compared to baseline.

Justin Jefferson

Playing. Data heavily favors full pre-injury production and workload. There will be ~15% re-aggravation risk over the next 4 weeks, which is likely why they’ve been slow-playing this to begin with.

Tyreek Hill

Data projects 3/4 chance of playing. Mild low ankle sprains alone don’t tend to drop elite WR production or target count.

Christian Watson

Likely out. Average timeline = 2-3 weeks, but his comments suggest this one is relatively mild. Lean towards a Week 16 return. Watson will unfortunately carry a high re-injury risk for the rest of the season given that he’s already had 2 hamstring strains now.

Jonathan Taylor

Average timeline is 5 weeks to return. Avoiding the IR suggests they’re going to try to push that up. Therefore, we’d think his most realistic target date is Week 16. Data favors a rapid return to pre-injury level when he does come back.

Travis Etienne

Data projects 3/4 chance of playing. RBs tend to see fewer touches but maintain their pre-injury efficiency on a per-touch basis.

Chris Olave

Comments suggest he’s playing. “Illness” designation doesn’t typically impact elite WR production if active.

Kenneth Walker

Data projects a 70% chance of playing. Coming off of oblique strains, RBs tend to get fewer touches than baseline, but don’t see much of a hit in their efficiency.

Zach Charbonnet

Data projects 3/4 chance of playing. Mild knee sprains for young RBs don’t typically cause a workload or efficiency dip.

Puka Nacua

Playing. Data does favor a mild (~10%) performance dip due to his AC sprain (shoulder) from last week.

Cooper Kupp

Playing, and is likely a strong breakout candidate. The dip from his multiple ankle sprains projects to recover in the third week post-injury, which is now. There is a moderate re-aggravation risk to watch out for.

Aaron Jones

TBD. Data projects 60% chance of sitting. Average timeline on this is 2-3 weeks, so his most likely return is Week 15. The Packers tend to be relatively conservative with players coming off of injury, so we’d expect a lighter workload when he does first return.

Geno Smith

TBD. Lean slightly towards sitting. Late-week additions to the injury report do have a high rate of missing 1 game. If active, the concern would be a very high re-aggravation risk.

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