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NFL DFS Pricing Exploitation: Week 17 (2023 Fantasy Football)

NFL DFS Pricing Exploitation: Week 17 (2023 Fantasy Football)

We’re nearing the end of the NFL regular season, and the playoff races are heating up (especially after Baltimore’s win over San Francisco on Monday night). We had a very wonky Christmas schedule this past weekend, so there might be more pricing errors than usual to take advantage of.

Let’s see what we can come up with, and I hope everyone had a restful and family-filled holiday.

NFL DFS Pricing Exploitation: Week 17

QUARTERBACK

Tyrod Taylor (NYG) | ($4600) vs. LAR

The Giants’ QB situation is highly ambiguous heading into Week 17, but Tommy DeVito has struggled mightily the past two games. Taylor almost led the New York Giants to a comeback against the Philadelphia Eagles on Christmas night, and is a dual-threat quarterback who is priced as a backup. The Los Angeles Rams have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards to qaurterback along with the seventh-most fantasy points per game (FPPG) to the position.

RUNNING BACK

Josh Jacobs/Zamir White (LV) | ($6200/$5100) @ IND

I can comfortably put both of these guys in this article, as they’re each too cheap for the upcoming matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. Jacobs was averaging 22 touches per game under Antonio Pierce before getting hurt, and White has found a similar workload in Jacobs’ absence. Both are underpriced, so whoever the starter is will be quite popular against a Colts team that has been tagged for 4.9 YPC and the third most FPPG to RBs.

Chuba Hubbard (CAR) | ($5800) @ JAX

Hubbard has maintained a stranglehold on the snap and carry share for the Carolina backfield, and his price has not increased this week ahead of what looks like a tough matchup on paper. Jacksonville has stuffed the middle for 3.7 YPC allowed, but they’ve sold out on the edge, allowing 99 receptions to opposing running backs (most in the NFL). Hubbard is not generally a featured back in the passing game, but he has logged five targets on three occasions this year. He’s also getting all the end zone looks inside the five-yard line.

WIDE RECEIVER

Chris Olave (NO) | ($6800) @ TB

It’s utterly insane that Olave’s price hasn’t moved after going 9-123-0 on 13 targets in his most recent game. He’s an elite receiving option for a thinned-out wide receiver corps in New Orleans, and this week gets the nuts matchup against Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have allowed the second-most receiving yards and the third most FPPG to opposing wide receivers. Olave has broken the 100-yard mark in three of his past four games, and is now set up to do so again at a mouth-watering price tag.

D.J. Moore (CHI)| ($6600) vs. ATL

Moore was underpriced this past week at $6900, so you can imagine what I’ll say after a $300 drop. Moore has immense chemistry with Bears quarterback Justin Fields and is top-15 in receptions while also being top-10 in receiving yards and air yards. Moore’s box score dud in Week 16 was a result of injury, so you can tee him up this week as long as he avoids limitations. A.J. Terrell‘s shadow coverage is a worry, but Moore is simply too cheap.

TIGHT END

Chig Okonkwo (TEN) | ($3600) @ HOU

Okonkwo’s price tag rose $500, but it’s still in a range where we can utilize him. He has six targets in three of his past four games and finally found pay dirt in Week 16 (from a Derrick Henry pass, no less). Okonkwo’s involvement as a sub-4k price tag is what we’re looking for from the tight end position, and Houston has given up the fifth-most FPPG to the position.

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