When preparing for your fantasy baseball drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy baseball rankings compared to average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable players below.
2024 Fantasy Baseball Draft Advice
| Rank | Player | Team | Positions | Best | Worst | Avg | Std Dev | ADP | vs. ADP |
| 29 | Michael Harris II | ATL | CF | 15 | 39 | 29.9 | 3.9 | 34 | 5 |
| 32 | Bo Bichette | TOR | SS | 21 | 79 | 34.6 | 6.6 | 37 | 5 |
| 46 | Manny Machado | SD | 3B,DH | 35 | 79 | 50.6 | 10.2 | 52 | 6 |
| 48 | Mike Trout | LAA | CF | 29 | 78 | 53.6 | 8.5 | 58 | 10 |
| 49 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | SP | 38 | 70 | 54.5 | 6.4 | 61 | 12 |
| 59 | Christian Yelich | MIL | LF,DH | 37 | 81 | 61.8 | 7.2 | 73 | 14 |
| 60 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | MIA | CF | 44 | 108 | 62.1 | 12.1 | 66 | 6 |
| 65 | Jhoan Duran | MIN | RP | 44 | 133 | 67 | 12.5 | 71 | 6 |
| 69 | Zach Eflin | TB | SP | 41 | 111 | 73.4 | 13 | 80 | 11 |
| 75 | Gleyber Torres | NYY | 2B | 47 | 117 | 78.5 | 13.9 | 82 | 7 |
Fantasy Baseball Draft Advice
Bo Bichette (SS – TOR)
Bo Bichette had a down year in 2023, which kept him in line with more than one of his Blue Jays teammates. He batted .306, albeit with an inflated .355 BABIP, and hit 20 home runs. However, he scored only 69 runs and knocked in 73. He only swiped five bags in a year when stolen bases went up across the board. Since counting stats in the lineup are dependent on production around him, Bichette should see a bounceback in 2024 and land somewhere in the 90/90 range. The 25-year-old will help with batting average and could end up a steal in the fourth round, but the allure of him having first-round value is no more.
Freddy Peralta (SP – MIL)
In 2023, Freddy Peralta finished sixth in K/9 among qualified starting pitchers who threw 100 or more innings. He struck out 210 batters in only 165 2/3 innings across 30 starts. His ERA was high at 3.86, but his xERA was 3.35, and his xFIP was 3.42. Peralta occasionally gives up hard contact, and his 1.4 HR/9 isn’t great, but his 3.89 K/BB ratio was good for the 23rd-best in the majors. He will turn 28 in June, and even though he threw the most innings of his career last year, there isn’t much to be concerned about. Slot him in as an SP2 that you can probably grab in the fifth or sixth round.
Zach Eflin (SP – TB)
Before 2023, Zach Eflin received an abundance of “sleeper” predictions because of the Tampa Bump. Pitchers going TO the Rays are targets. Pitchers going away from them are typically labeled busts. It was difficult to believe a guy with a career ERA over 4.00 would suddenly be worth chasing. Alas, Eflin bought into his hype, apparently. He had a career-high K/9 of 9.42, striking out 186 batters in 177 2/3 innings. He ended with an ERA of 3.50, and his xFIP of 3.12 suggests he was even better than that. His WHIP was 1.02 thanks to a BB% of 3.4 and a Chase% of 34. Eflin’s 2024 outlook suggests some regression but nothing to scare fantasy managers away from his SP3 draft price.
What is Fantasy Baseball?
Fantasy baseball is an online game where participants act as managers of virtual baseball teams based on real-life Major League Baseball (MLB) players. The performance of these players in actual games determines the results in the fantasy league. It’s a blend of skill, strategy, and a little bit of luck, akin to the real-world decisions team managers must make.
Basic Strategy for Fantasy Baseball Success
1. Understand Your League’s Format and Scoring
Before drafting your team, it’s essential to understand the scoring system and rules of your specific league, as this will influence your drafting and management strategy. Knowing whether you’re in a points-based, category-based, or head-to-head league will guide you in selecting players whose strengths align with the scoring system.
2. Drafting Your Team Wisely
A solid draft is the foundation of a successful season. Here are a few tips for the drafting phase:
- Balanced Team: Ensure you have a balanced team with a mix of power hitters, average hitters, speedsters, starting pitchers, and relievers.
- Position Scarcity: Be aware of the depth of talent at each position. Some positions, like shortstop, may have fewer high-quality players, making it beneficial to draft a top player at that position early.
- High-Floor Players: Early in the draft, focus on players with a proven track record of consistency.
- Upside Picks: In the later rounds, look for “upside” players. These are athletes who have the potential to outperform their draft position.
3. In-Season Management
- Stay Active: Constantly look for ways to improve your team through waivers, trades, and free-agent pickups.
- Mind the Matchups: Pay attention to player matchups, platoon splits, and ballparks. Starting a pitcher in a hitter-friendly park, for example, can be risky.
- Injury Management: Stay on top of player injuries and have backups ready for your key players.
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