Until the 2024 NFL Draft, we are left with little to do in regards to rookies but to complete dynasty mock drafts or select them in best ball leagues. This article will compare rookie average draft position (ADP) from our mock draft simulator and rankings with the current best ball data from Underdog to see how they compare.
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 NFL Draft Guide
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Analyzing Rookie ADP Data
1.02: Malik Nabers (WR – LSU)
Coming off a dominant third-year season, Malik Nabers put up 1,568 yards and 14 touchdowns for LSU and is very close to, if not ahead of Marvin Harrison Jr in many analysts’ rookie models. Many people in dynasty drafts are already considering if they can trade back to gain a haul and still acquire Malik Nabers because of their proximity. In best ball drafts, though, Nabers goes 16 picks later than Harrison Jr. at 33.4. Nabers is being drafted as the WR23. If anything, he’s slightly undervalued while Harrison Jr. is slightly overvalued.
1.06: Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – LSU)
In dynasty drafts, we’ve approached the area where the speedster wide receivers go off the board, and for good reason with them being high-ceiling plays. In best ball, Brian Thomas Jr. goes ahead of Brock Bowers at pick 66.1 in a similar range to Chris Godwin, Jordan Addison and George Pickens. It feels like the right range of the draft to take a dart throw on a player who ran a 4.33 40-yard dash at 209 pounds. Thomas needs to refine his route running to massively return fantasy value. However, at this range of best ball ADP, we can deal with some low-floor weeks if it means we’re mixing in some high-ceiling weeks.
1.10: Keon Coleman (WR – Florida State)
Keon Coleman saved his less-than-impressive 4.61 40-yard dash result with an impressive showing in the gauntlet drill. Nevertheless, his stock overall has slipped somewhat from where he was expected to be drafted a few months ago. In best ball, Coleman is the rookie WR8, being drafted behind Xavier Worthy and Adonai Mitchell at pick 119.9. Drafters are mindful of last year’s burned picks on Quentin Johnston, who went in a similar range. Until Coleman has a landing spot, he’s unlikely to climb higher in ADP.
Erickson’s Best Ball Draft Strategy & Advice
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