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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em: Courtland Sutton, Justin Herbert, Gus Edwards (Week 16)

Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.

Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.

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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice

Justin Herbert (QB)

The Bolts offense has been stuck in the mud for the last three games, which has affected Herbert’s production. He hasn’t had more than 14.8 fantasy points in a game since Week 12. Since Week 13, among 35 qualifying quarterbacks, Herbert has ranked 30th in passing yards per game, 24th in yards per attempt, and 27th in fantasy points per dropback. It’s difficult to see him as anything more than a mid-range QB2 this week. Since Week 10, Denver has kept quarterbacks in check, giving up the fifth-fewest yards per attempt, the second-lowest passer rating, and the lowest CPOE.

Gus Edwards (RB)

Edwards remains a touchdown-dependent flex play. Since Week 10, he has averaged only 8.4 touches and 30.9 total yards per game. Since Week 10, among 36 qualifying backs, Edwards has ranked 34th in explosive run rate, sixth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 15th in yards after contact per attempt. Edwards is a truly desperate flex play this week. Since Week 10, Denver has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game, the third-lowest missed tackle rate, and logged the highest stuff rate.

Courtland Sutton (WR)

Sutton is the WR26 in fantasy points per game, ranking sixth in deep targets and fourth in red zone targets among wideouts. He is also 14th in receiving yards and 16th in total touchdowns. The Bolts have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59%). Since Week 8, against two high, Sutton has had a 21.5% target share, 1.31 YPRR, and a 24.6% first-read share. The volume should still be there for Sutton this week, but it might not be the most efficient outing. The Chargers secondary has been giving recently, so that could help boost Sutton’s numbers this week. Since Week 10, Los Angeles has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game and the eighth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

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