Every year leagues are lost because players bust, get injured or underperform expectations. Sometimes these issues are unavoidable, but sometimes there are red flags we ignore when it come to potential fantasy baseball busts. Here are fantasy baseball busts you should not draft based on average draft position data (ADP) from the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC).
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Fantasy Baseball Busts: Hitters to Avoid
Avoid these fantasy baseball busts in 2025 drafts.
Yainer Diaz (C, 1B, DH – HOU) | NFBC ADP: 58.14
Yainer Diaz is a really good young, offensive catcher. He had a great year in 2023 where he hit for power and also average, but didn’t get a ton of plate appearances. In 2024, he racked up the plate appearances and kept the average gains, but the power wasn’t as massive.
The problem with Diaz is that with Christian Walker on the team he won’t get the extra at-bats he did last year to earn those extra plate appearances. You need the power to return for him to return value. I am not confident in that.
Luis Robert Jr. (OF – CWS) | NFBC ADP: 88.42
Luis Robert is a massive power/speed threat when healthy and on the field, but that has become a rare feat for him. He has zero seasons with 600 plate appearances and just one season with 450 plate appearances.
The other concerning part is that his underlying contact skills have regressed. He has put up back-to-back seasons with a sub-82% contact rate, which is down seven percentage points from his 2022 season.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (OF – CHC) | NFBC ADP: 132.94
Pete Crow-Armstrong is a popular player coming off of a season where he hit 10 home runs and stole 27 bases in 410 plate appearances. While he only hit .237, he hit .265 in the second half, which is where seven of his home runs came from.
However, the underlying contact skills are terrible. Crow-Armstrong is a good defender, so he could continue to play even if he struggles, but offensively, he could be a massive average drain.
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