Join Joe Pisapia, Joe Orrico and Justin Mason as they embark on a fantasy baseball mock draft for 12-team head-to-head leagues! The guys pick their teams and break down the biggest steals, mistakes and strategy takeaways for 2025!
Which late-round picks will be league=winners? Should you prioritize pitching early, or did we overcommit to arms like Mason Miller and Pablo Lopez?
Tune in as we reveal our biggest draft regrets and the best value picks for your fantasy squad.
Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Expert Picks & Predictions
Overall Draft Strategy
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Balance Over Specialization:
In head-to-head OBP and quality starts leagues, the panel emphasized building rosters with well-rounded players. They prefer contributors who add value across multiple categories (OBP, stolen bases, strikeouts, quality starts) rather than one-dimensional specialists. This balanced approach minimizes the risk of having “cold” weeks during the playoffs. -
Own Your Projections vs. ADP:
The experts repeatedly noted that while ADP provides useful benchmarks, it aggregates data from both successful and struggling teams. They advise drafting based on your own projections and rankings—trusting your own analysis rather than following ADP blindly. -
Flexibility Is Key:
Using mock drafts as a learning tool is crucial. The conversation revealed that early decisions (like overvaluing a player or misjudging positional scarcity) can be reworked in later rounds or in subsequent mock sessions. Adjusting your strategy as the draft unfolds is vital.
Player Valuation & Risk Management
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Spring Training & ADP Shifts:
Early-season performances (like standout spring training games) can cause player values to jump. However, don’t get carried away by early hype—consider the context (ballpark, team context, long-term trends) before reaching for players whose ADP is shifting dramatically. -
Risk on Injured or Uncertain Players:
Several discussions touched on injury risk and uncertainty, especially for pitchers returning from Tommy John surgery or players with inconsistent roles. The advice is to factor in both upside and the likelihood of regression. For example, locking in a reliable closer early can save you from having to scramble on the waiver wire later. -
Drafting Pitchers:
In this league, with quality starts replacing wins and mandatory relief spots, it’s essential to secure starters who can also qualify as relievers if needed. Prioritize pitchers with strong strikeout potential and low ratios, but also be mindful of volume—depth matters in a 12-team league.
Position-Specific Considerations
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Pitching Depth & Closers:
- Mandatory Relief Spots: In leagues where you must carry at least one or two closers, the experts recommended grabbing at least one reliable option early to avoid a mid-season scramble.
- Starting Pitchers vs. Relievers: If you can identify aces who not only rack up quality starts but also have the upside to contribute in relief roles (or can easily convert into a closer if needed), they become more valuable in the draft.
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Infield & Outfield Strategy:
- Wait on the Infield: Some managers chose to load up on starting pitching and outfielders early, picking infielders later for value. Solid, all-around hitters with good OBP and stolen base potential are prioritized.
- Depth in Outfield: With positional scarcity often less of an issue in the outfield, look for players who not only hit but also contribute in speed and defensive metrics.
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Hitter Considerations in OBP Leagues:
- Focus on players who walk a lot and can hit for power—even if their batting averages are lower—since OBP is the target metric.
- Recognize that ballpark factors (as with players switching teams or playing in hitter-friendly or -unfriendly environments) can have an outsized effect in OBP formats.
Utilizing Draft Tools & Adjusting On the Fly
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Draft Wizard & Real-Time Projections:
The panel stressed using tools like Fantasy Pros’ Draft Wizard to see live projections for each category. These tools help you gauge where you stand relative to league-average expectations in OBP, saves, strikeouts, and quality starts. -
Positional Runs & Roster Composition:
When forced to fill mandatory spots (like closers or starting pitchers), understand that the scarcity may push you to take players earlier than you might normally. Plan your roster strategy ahead of time, but be ready to pivot as positional runs occur during the draft.
Final Takeaways & Actionable Advice
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Draft a Well-Rounded Roster:
Target players who offer a consistent weekly production across multiple categories. This minimizes week-to-week volatility and provides a safety net if one category underperforms. -
Trust Your Own Rankings:
While ADP is a good starting point, rely on your own projections—especially in niche formats like OBP or quality starts leagues. -
Lock Down Key Positions Early:
For instance, secure at least one reliable closer early on to avoid later-season uncertainty, and be strategic about when to fill in starting pitcher slots versus flexible hitters. -
Stay Agile and Learn from Mocks:
Use mock drafts to fine-tune your strategy. Identify where you might be overpaying or under-drafting certain positions and adjust your approach for real drafts. -
Monitor Updates & Context:
Keep an eye on spring training trends and team changes (ballpark factors, roster moves) that might affect player value as you head toward draft day.
By combining a balanced roster construction approach with active risk management and a willingness to adapt in real time, fantasy managers can position themselves for a strong season in head-to-head OBP and quality starts leagues.
Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft Timestamps:
- Round 1 – 0:04:16
- Round 2 – 0:06:32
- Round 3 – 0:07:52
- Round 4 – 0:10:28
- Round 5 – 0:11:09
- Round 6 – 0:14:50
- Round 7 – 0:17:18
- Round 8 – 0:19:25
- Round 9 – 0:21:31
- Round 10 – 0:23:30
- Round 11 – 0:24:47
- Round 12 – 0:26:12
- Round 13 – 0:30:26
- Round 14 – 0:32:14
- Round 15 – 0:33:28
- Round 16 – 0:35:17
- Round 17 – 0:38:12
- Round 18 – 0:39:57
- Round 19 – 0:44:20
- Round 20 – 0:45:42
- Round 21 – 0:47:30
- Round 22 – 0:49:08
- Round 23 – 0:50:47
- Round 24 – 0:51:51
- Draft Analysis – 0:54:41
- Closing – 1:00:24
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