Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate has five games starting at 6:45 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel. Today’s pick ’em suggestions at Sleeper and Underdog are also from the five-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Wednesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Joe Ryan (MIN) at KC
Joe Ryan is the top pitcher on tonight’s small pitching slate. He’s had one good start and one messier start because of a pair of homers. Nevertheless, according to FanGraphs, Ryan has a 3.91 xERA, notably better than his 4.50 ERA. Ryan also has a 1.00 WHIP, 0.0 BB%, 26.2 K%, 30.5 CSW%, 105 stuff+, 100 location+ and 105 pitching+ this season.
Ryan has a favorable matchup tonight. Seven of Kansas City’s projected starters have had a 105 wRC+ versus righties since 2023 or debuting, and six are at 100 or lower. Bobby Witt (141 wRC+) is the only genuine stud in their lineup. The Twins are slight underdogs (EVEN), but the game’s total is an unimposing 8.0 runs.
Ryan Pepiot (TB) vs. LAA
Ryan Pepiot has performed better than his ERA estimators. Regardless, he’s pitched well for the Rays. In 28 starts spanning 141 innings since last year, Pepiot has had the following stats.
- 3.51 ERA
- 4.04 xFIP
- 3.87 SIERA
- 1.17 WHIP
- Eight wins
- 10 quality starts
- 8.8 BB%
- 26.0 K%
- 12.9 SwStr%
- 28.8 CSW%
- 107 stuff+
- 100 location+
- 107 pitching+
Pepiot is a borderline five-and-dive starting pitcher. Still, he has a quality start this year and has pitched six and five innings in his two turns.
Pepiot’s matchup and betting info tonight are tasty. Mike Trout‘s 144 wRC+ against righties since 2023 is the only one above a 112 wRC+ in Los Angeles’s projected lineup, and five of the projected starters have had a 103 wRC+ or lower. It’s also a strikeout-prone lineup, with six projected starters sporting at least a 25.3 K% versus righties since 2023 or debuting, and another has had a 23.6 K%. Finally, the Rays are -140, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Grant Holmes (ATL) vs. PHI
Grant Holmes has a challenging matchup and is strictly a GPP suggestion as an SP2 at DraftKings. The righty clawed his way from Atlanta’s bullpen into their rotation last year. In eight starts spanning 37.2 innings since last year, Holmes had an unimpressive 4.54 ERA. However, his 3.63 xFIP and 3.64 SIERA were more encouraging, and his 26.7 K%, 15.4 SwStr% and 29.9 CSW% were also eye-catching.
The Braves are -120 favorites at home tonight. Yet, the game’s total is a somewhat alarming 9.0 runs. Nevertheless, the risk is worth accepting in GPPs for the potential reward of Holmes piling up strikeouts and providing massive value at his $6,500 salary.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Taijuan Walker had a quality start, spinning six scoreless innings in his only start this year. Yet, shutting down the Rockies in Philadelphia is hardly an impressive feat. In 20 appearances (16 starts) since last year, Walker was lit up for a 6.62 ERA, 5.24 xFIP, 5.18 SIERA, 1.65 WHIP and 2.41 HR/9. Additionally, Walker has ceded a .376 wOBA to left-handed batters and a .428 wOBA to right-handed batters since 2024. As a result, the Braves should hammer him tonight.
Core Studs
- Since 2023, Matt Olson has had a .378 OBP, .271 ISO and 146 wRC+ against righties.
- Marcell Ozuna has excelled in same-handed matchups, amassing a .362 OBP, .262 ISO and 146 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
- In 433 plate appearances against righties at home since 2023, Rafael Devers has hit 23 homers with a .376 OBP, .266 ISO, .388 wOBA and 141 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 514 career plate appearances against righties at home, Michael Harris has hit 14 homers with a .327 OBP, .166 ISO, .335 wOBA and 112 wRC+.
- Danny Jansen is a DraftKings-specific suggestion. In 185 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Tampa Bay’s starting catcher has swatted nine homers with a .324 OBP, .203 ISO and 107 wRC+.
- Kyle Farmer is appealing punt exposure to Coors Field. In 254 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, he’s had a .350 OBP, .149 ISO and 120 wRC+.
Wednesday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Marcell Ozuna: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (2.07x)
Marcell Ozuna: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog) (1.11x)
According to Baseball Savant, in 14 plate appearances against Walker, Ozuna has had three hits (one single and two doubles), a .273 batting average, .227 xBA, .364 slugging and .507 xSLG. Ozuna has also smashed against righties at home. In 524 plate appearances against righties at home since 2023, Ozuna has had 69 singles, 25 doubles, one triple, 36 homers, a .281 batting average, .571 slugging and .290 ISO.
Michael Harris: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.58x)
Michael Harris: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog) (0.84x)
Harris has had some lackluster luck so far this year. In 39 plate appearances, he’s had a .250 batting average and .389 slugging, much lower than his .281 xBA and .485 xSLG. Despite his bad luck, Harris has surpassed 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in two of his previous three games and three of his past five starts. Finally, Harris has clobbered Walker. In six plate appearances against Walker, Harris has had four hits (one single, one double and two homers), a .800 batting average, .559 xBA, 2.200 slugging and 1.130 xSLG.
Christian Yelich: 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Underdog)
I nearly included Christian Yelich in the core studs instead of Devers. So, having one of his pick ’em props was an appropriate alternative. In 43 plate appearances this year, Yelich has two homers, two stolen bases, four runs, six RBIs, a .279 OBP, .167 ISO and 66 wRC+. Yelich’s OBP, ISO and wRC+ have left much to be desired. Still, his 93.7 miles per hour (MPH) average exit velocity this year is his highest since 2020, and his 10.5-degree launch angle is his highest since 2019.
Yelich has a get-right matchup at MLB’s most hitter-friendly ballpark tonight. The 1,514 lefties who’ve faced Antonio Senzatela have had a .348 wOBA. Finally, Coors Field has left-handed batter park factors of 1.207 for singles, 1.326 for doubles, 1.580 for triples, 1.115 for homers and 1.333 for runs.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
