3 Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid (2025)

While the 2025 NFL regular season is still months away, now is the time to start preparing for redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced. Let’s look at players who are overpriced draft values based on Yahoo ADP for redraft leagues.

Fantasy Football Players to Avoid

Jared Goff (DET) – ADP 65.8 | QB8

Last year, Goff had the best season of his career, finishing as the QB6, averaging 19.1 fantasy points per game. He set career highs in several categories, including completion rate (72.4%), passing touchdowns (37), and quarterback rating (111.8). Yet, fantasy players should temper expectations for Goff this season. Detroit lost offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to the Chicago Bears. More importantly, Goff is primed for touchdown regression. Last year, he posted a career-high 6.9% passing touchdown rate. By comparison, his previous career best was 5.9% while his career average is 4.8%.

James Cook (BUF) – ADP 30.9 | RB13

Many were shocked to see Cook finish last season as the RB8, averaging 15.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he had 16 rushing touchdowns and two receiving scores in 2024, leading the league in rushing touchdowns. By comparison, the former Georgia star had four rushing touchdowns and five receiving scores over his first two years in the NFL. Cook’s a clear-cut touchdown regression candidate. Furthermore, the star running back and the Bills are in the middle of messy contract talks, which could lead to a training camp holdout.

Aaron Jones (MIN) – ADP 63.2 | RB23

Jones quietly had a disappointing 2024 season. He ended the year as the RB20 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 12.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per outing despite seeing the majority of backfield touches. More importantly, the veteran will have significant competition for touches this season after the Vikings traded for Jordan Mason. Furthermore, Jones is on the wrong side of 30 and has injury history, making him a massive risk at his low-end RB2 ADP. I would rather wait and draft Mason four rounds later than Jones at his price.