These prospect rankings are based on fantasy value, not real-life value. Considering such, hitters generally weigh a bit heavier for me due to the injury risk and higher volatility of prospect pitchers. Proximity to the majors is also prominent in the equation, though these prospect fantasy baseball rankings are focused on long-term/dynasty outlooks. Think of these rankings as more of a five-year plan.
Rather than getting into writing mini-bios on all prospects, I’ve decided to keep my rankings simple by providing the 2024 and 2025 stats of each player across all levels, plus a player comp, a small blurb on their prime skills for fantasy and an explanation of my ranking.
I’ve also included updated fScores for any players I expect to debut in 2025 (some are updated from May, while others still feature preseason fScores), which highlights what my fScore projections believe the player is capable of at the pro level for immediate impact.
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- Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Top 150 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings: 26-50 (Updated)
Please note these rankings are the result of months of work from previous rankings, to ongoing film and in-person scouting along with team rankings, positional rankings and a final stack-up that you are now reading and thus since this is a massive write up the statistical inputs will have varying dates and are not based upon one static date.
NOTES:
- Rookie status is determined by 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched at the Major League level.
- I prematurely removed the following players due to them being close to graduation, their age or injury concerns, bumping them from prospect status by the next time we see them: Chase Dollander (SP – COL), Christian Scott (SP – NYM), Drew Thorpe (SP – CWS), Robert Gasser (SP – MIL), Edgar Quero (C – CWS)
Previous Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (126-150)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (101-125)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (76-100)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (51-75)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (26-50)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (1-25)
- 2B Travis Bazzana (Guardians)
2024 College: .407/.568/.911 | 48 XBH, 28 HR, 16 SB
2024 A+: .238/.369/.396 | 13.9 BB%, 25.4 K% | 10 XBH, 3 HR, 5 SB (27 games)
2025 AA: .252/.362/.433 | 12.8 BB%, 26.2 K% | 12 XBH, 4 HR, 8 SB
Age: 22
ETA: Early 2026
fScores: 96 fContact, 122 fDiscipline, 90 fPower, 155 fSpeed
Comp: Daniel Murphy with more athleticism and quickness
Prime Skills: Bazzana has the killer Oregon State hit tool and has professional experience already with wood bats, playing in Australia as a pro while he was a teenager. He has power and speed, but to what degree will both show up as a pro is the big question to me, as the game power just appeared in 2024 and is relatively a newer tool. We haven’t really seen it come around yet in the minors and this injury will halt his development.
Ranking Explanation: Bazzana was just tagged with an oblique injury that will put him on the shelf for the next 8-10 weeks, which dings him a bit as he definitely won’t debut this season and it will push his development behind some of the others. Bazzana and E Rod are pretty close together, I would put these two as a coin flip and pick E Rod if I needed power more or Bazzana if I needed speed – or pick up based on position.
Previous Rank: 12
- SS Marcelo Mayer (Red Sox)
2024 AA: .307/.370/.480 | 9 BB%, 19.7 K% | 36 XBH, 8 HR, 13 SB (77 games)
2025 AAA (as of 5/25/25): .271/.347/.471 | 10.4 BB%, 19.7 K% | 15 XBH, 9 HR, 2 SB
Age: 22
ETA: Debuted
fScores: 103 fContact, 88 fDiscipline, 94 fPower, 114 fSpeed
Comp: Lefty Dansby Swanson with more doubles power / less HR power
Prime Skills: Fast hands and a good eye lead to an advanced batting average profile, but how much power will he hit for in his prime? He’s had some bad injury luck that’s affected his statline two seasons in a row now. Mayer has a solid hit tool with an 86.3 Z-contact% this season at AAA and aggressive approach with a 64.7 Z-swing%. I think we have a high doubles guy here who will provide immediate value based on an advance approach.
Ranking Explanation: Mayer is getting bigger and might not be a super star, but he should be an above average major leaguer or all star in his peak years and provide decent fantasy value. He doesn’t have elite power potential, but he hits the ball hard consistently with a 106.3 90th percentile EV that should allow him to get to nice gap power. Mayer strikes out more against lefties, but he hits just as well so there are no real platoon concerns here as he could have some All Star level seasons in the 130 wRC+ range. Despite a proximity boost since he’s in the majors, I still prefer Bazzana’s more toolsy upside over the longer term.
Previous Rank: 35
- SS/3B Luis Pena (Brewers)
2024 DSL: .393/.457/.583 | 8.2 BB%, 8.2 K% | 23 XBH, 1 HR, 39 SB
2025 A (as of 5/25/25): .327/.400/.505 | 9.6 BB%, 8.7 K% | 11 XBH, 3 HR, 21 SB
Age: 18
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Righty only Francisco Lindor mechanics meets Jacob Wilson plate approach with speed
Prime Skills: Pena has a plus hit tool with an 82.4% contact rate and is rocking a 106.5 90th percentile EV this season, which is higher than his 104 max EV last season in the DSL. The plate skills are reminiscent of Franklin Arias, but he’s a year behind him in development.
Ranking Explanation: Pena might have a higher hit tool upside than Mayer, but I’m not confident enough in the power growth to push him above Mayer’s proximity boost so Mayer gets the edge, while I give Pena the edge to Mayo because of Mayo’s contact concerns.
Previous Rank: N/A
- 3B Coby Mayo (Orioles)
2024 AAA: .293/.372/.592 | 10.3 BB%, 25.1 K% | 54 XBH, 25 HR, 4 SB
2025 AAA (as of 5/25/25): .224/.319/.460 | 12.2 BB%, 27.1 K% | 20 XBH, 8 HR, 1 SB
Age: 22
ETA: Debuted
fScores (pre-season): 92 fContact, 90 fDiscipline, 111 fPower, 69 fSpeed
Comp: Nolan Arenado as a hitter (w/ better power, worse hit tool)
Prime Skills: Mayo has a quick and powerful swing that portends to future 25-30-ish homer power with 5-ish steal speed. He has an average enough hit tool (83.1 Z-Contact%), but the potential strikeout rate is a bit concerning if he can’t hold it down closer to 25% at the major league level. The contract rates are still slightly below average, but the near 115 max EV and an 90.7 average EV means Mayo has some of the best power in this prospect group, but he needs the Orioles to find him a full-time position.
Ranking Explanation: Mayo is one of the bigger negative regression prospects in the class with Emmanuel Rodriguez as he has been more aggressive this season to his own detriment with a 72% Z-Swing%. This is probably psychological as the Orioles have been messing with him for about a year now up and down – it looks like he’s pressing to do some damage. He’s up in the majors now though and hopefully will get playing time with a chance to stick. Mayo had a 149 wRC+ last year and only 107 this year as an example. Mayo is a bit of a risk right now and Mayer has more steam and a safer profile to build around, so he gets the edge.
Previous Rank: 17
- SP Thomas White (Marlins)
2024 A/A+: 96 IP | 20 K-BB%, 14.6 SwStr%, 30.5 CSW% | 2.81 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
2025 A+ (as of 5/25/25): 25 IP | 19.4 K-BB%, 18.1 SwStr%, 33 CSW% | 3.24 ERA, 1.32 WHIP
Age: 20
ETA: Mid 2026
fScore: N/A
Comp: Carlos Rodon / Andrew Heaney mash up
Prime Skills: White is a big 6’ 5” lefty who I saw live both in A ball last year and in the Spring Breakout game this spring with noticeable differences in his repertoire that has made his stuff very impressive, while he needs to work on harnessing the command.
In Person (last year / this year):
- vFB 94-97 MPH / 97-99 MPH
- 78-82 MPH slider / 83-85 MPH (gyro slider – harder – less loop) — 15.4 SwStr%
- 85-87 MPH / 85-88 MPH change up — 21.6 SwStr%
Ranking Explanation: White has been getting better as he goes and is evidently working on developing a sweeper to replace his slurve with. Travis Sykora and White begin a second tier after the Chase Burns, Bubba Chandler and Andrew Painter top pitching tier with Sykora getting a slight nod to White due to ridiculous production, even though White and Sykora I think both have top of the rotation potential. White being a lefty gives him a bit of a boost, but he definitely needs to harness the command to take the next step.
Previous Rank: 91
- SS Arjun Nimmala (Blue Jays)
2024 CPX/A: .232/.325/.482 | 10 BB%, 30.7 K% | 44 XBH, 17 HR, 9 SB
2025 A+ (as of 5/25/25): .286/.373/.540 | 10.8 BB%, 18.4 K% | 22 XBH, 9 HR, 3 SB
Age: 19
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Leaner Carlos Correa who could put up some Troy Tulowitzki type numbers
Prime Skills: He should stick at SS long-term as a solid defensive player with a good all fields hit tool that currently projects as better gap power than homerun power. He’s young with a solid frame and brings a lot more power than you might expect for his age. He maxed out with a 107 EV last season with an average around 88, but I’m sure those are higher this year despite us not having that data.
Ranking Explanation: Nimala had a really tough start to the 2024 season, but went down to Complex to fix some issues and came back up to A ball on 6/26 with a .265/.331/.564 slash upon his return with 13 homers. Basically a brand new guy and that’s the line we should be ranking him on who has made much better swing decisions and has a pretty sweet swing. The only reason I rank Mayo ahead of Nimmala is proximity, as I think Nimmala makes better swing decisions at this point per level. He’s running a 146 wRC+ and age-to-level should get a bump of about 50 points.
Previous Rank: 118
- C Eduardo Tait (Phillies)
2024 CPX/A: .302/.356/.486 | 6.4 BB%, 19.6 K% | 30 XBH, 11 HR, 5 SB (79 games)
2025 A (as of 5/25/25): .284/.323/.490 | 4.2 BB%, 22.2 K% | 17 XBH, 7 HR, 0 SB
Age: 18
ETA: 2027
Comp: A lefty version of the Contreras brothers
Prime Skills: Nice lefty swing from the catching prospect from Panama (ala lefty Ivan Herrera) with some big power potential, especially for a catcher and made it to A ball last year at 17-years-old. This season he has shown an above average contact profile with a near 76% contact rate and 82.8% Z-Contact rate with an solidly aggressive 65.2 Z-Swing% to go along with some ludicrous power numbers like a 113.8 max EV and 106.6 90th percentile EV, plus a 12.1% barrel rate. At his age these are top percentile numbers in the power department.
Ranking Explanation: Tait has put up some incredibly impressive numbers for this age and I love the swing and power. He’s also good defensively as someone who got eyes on him at A ball this season, hanging in to catch Andrew Painter. There is a little bit of a split concern, as he is not good against lefties and as a lefty catcher it means he might have kind of a strong-side platoon thing going on once he’s in the majors, unless the defense becomes invaluable behind the dish. His slash against righties is .298/.329/.511 and against lefties is .208/.296/.375, but with a 119 wRC+ at his age, we should be adjusting for about a 60 point age-to-level bump. Nimmala gets the nod over Tait with a bit of a speed factor and a better eye at the dish, while also being at a higher level.
Previous Rank: 51
- OF Zyhir Hope (Dodgers)
2024 CPX/A: .290/.419/.484 | 15.1 BB% / 22.8 K%| 25 XBH, 9 HR, 9 SB (61 games)
2025 A+ (as of 5/25/25): .292/.380/.497 | 11.9 BB%, 23.8 K% | 18 XBH, 7 HR, 4 SB
Age: 20
ETA: Late 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Lean Josh Naylor
Prime Skills: Shorter dude with quick hands and a beautiful lefty swing with some major lefty pull power. Hope has excellent plate skills to go along with the plus hit tool and the plus power he has shown in A ball and in the Fall League where he hit 5 bombs in 23 games. He’s slowed down in recent weeks, but it’s important to note the lefty has no splits concerns and has posted over 111 mph exit velocities this season.
Ranking Explanation: Hope is very consistent running a 138 – 144 wRC+ at every single level he’s been at and at high A, he’s about a year and a half below the average age-to-level, meaning we should assume another 35 points in age to level bump production-wise. Hope has a better eye, though his hit tool isn’t any better than Tait’s, while Tait has posted higher EVs at a younger age – so he gets the edge.
Previous Rank: 96
- SP Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers)
2024 AA: 97 1/3 IP | 16.1 K-BB%, 14.1 SwStr%, 30.7 CSW% | 3.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP
2025 AAA (as of 5/25/25): 52 ⅓ IP | 21.5 K-BB%, 14.2 SwStr%, 30.4 CSW% | 1.55 ERA, 0.92 WHIP
Age: 23
Comp: Young Tyler Glasnow with worse control
ETA: Early 2025
fScores (pre-season): 108 fStuff, 88 fControl, 135 fERA (as a starter)
Prime Skills: Killer fastball that he has gotten up to 103 mph and it’s at an odd arm angle (15.5% SwStr% on it in 2025), so it’s difficult to pick up with an elite slider in his pocket as well. He’s had some control issues, especially as a starter, but has seemed to have improved starting in the second half of last year and has had marked improvement this season just as many were about to give up on him as a starter.
Ranking Explanation: The control issues limit the upside a bit if they show back up, but only so much that he might be an elite reliever rather than an ace level starter. He’s going deep into games and has had an over 50% strike rate in six of his ten games this season. His walk rate has dropped from 14% last year to 10% this year. He’s been throwing 66% fastballs this season and more sliders, than curveballs which he locates better even though he curves get more whiffs.
Previous Rank: 55
- OF Eduardo Quintero (Dodgers)
2024 CPX/A: .285/.419/.394 | 17.1 BB%, 19.4 K% | 19 XBH, 3 HR, 32 SB (83 games)
2025 A (as of 5/25/25): .310/.410/.561 | 13.6 BB%, 25 K% | 20 XBH, 8 HR, 21 SB
Age: 19
ETA: Late 2026
fScore: N/A
Comp: Shades of Wander Franco as an OF with less power and more speed
Prime Skills: Fantastic plate skills (only a 19.4 chase rate last year) and a heck of an athlete. Quintero has a killer hit tool with a knack for barreling the ball and brings a ton of athleticism to the plate. He’s taken it to another level this season from a power and speed angle, performing at a now elite level.
Ranking Explanation: As I noted in my last rankings update, I suggested Quintero could grow into more power and out of the rabbit mold suggested by his 2024 statline. He’s rocking a 158 wRC+ still being a tad young even for Low A, so you might even consider another 30-35 point bump in his production on an age-to-level basis.
Previous Rank: 111
- 2B / SS Kevin McGonigle (Tigers)
2024 A/A+: .309/.401/.452 | 14 BB%, 8.5 K% | 25 XBH, 5 HR, 22 SB (74 games)
2025 Season (as of 5/25/25): .290/.436/.516 | 7 XBH, 0 HR, 0 SB (11 games)
Age: 20
ETA: Late 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Chase Utley wannabe (w/ less power and more speed), a bit of a Steven Kwan profile in the middle infield
Prime Skills: This kid has an insane hit tool, running only an 83% contact rate in the small sample size this year, he also has a 91% Z-Contact on the short season. It’s a small sample size, but the average EV is up at 93.8, while the 90th is still below 104 and the max is under 108, so even with a large focus this offseason on building power, he may just be a plus doubles guy with speed.
Ranking Explanation: McGonigle missed most of the season thus far with an ankle sprain, but he’s just returned, which has halted his progress up my rankings. He’s been a great contact hitter (near 95% Z-Contact% in 2024), avoids strikeouts (only a 22% chase rate) and steals bags. The only thing keeping him out of the top 30 in my rankings is the below average power to date. Quintero has some ridiculously loud tools compared to McGonigle and gets the edge, while I simply think McGonigle could basically be Jett Williams with a better hit tool and less Ks.
Previous Rank: 61
- SS / OF Jett Williams (Mets)
2023 A/A+/AA: .263/.425/.451 | 43 XBH, 13 HR, 45 SB
2024 A/AA/AAA: .215/.358/.298 | 14.9 BB%, 23.6 K% | 9 XBH, 0 HR, 5 SB (33 games)
2025 AA (as of 5/25/25): .284/.373/.485 | 12.4 BB%, 19.6 K% | 17 XBH, 4 HR, 9 SB
Age: 21
ETA: Late 2025 (September)
fScores (pre-season): 86 fContact, 146 fDiscipline, 78 fPower, 148 fSpeed
Comp: Jose Altuve build, Bryson Stott-like production
Prime Skills: Plate skills and speed, the contact tool is still developing, but should ultimately be a good tool for Williams, as he has gotten the hit tool back to his pre-injury 2023 levels with an 80.1% contact rate. He has non-zero power and because he has a quick swing can get to a surprising number of extra base hits.
Ranking Explanation: Williams was a top 30 prospect for me prior to his injury last year and he returned to the Arizona Fall League with 2 homers and 7 steals after a short season. Jett projects as a future 10-15 homer and 30-40 steal type with an insanely good plate approach if he can increase the aggressiveness in his approach as that’s what seems to be holding down the average in a Twins prospect sort of way. The 152 wRC+ so far this season is fantastic considering even after a lost season, he’s still young for the AA level and could debut this season.
Previous Rank: 52
- SP Quinn Mathews (Cardinals)
2024 A/A+/AA/AAA: 143 1/3 IP | 26.8 K-BB%, 16.1 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW% | 2.76 ERA, 0.98 WHIP
2025 CPX/A/AAA (as of 5/25/25): 15 ⅓ IP | 0 K-BB%, 14 SwStr%, 25.2 CSW% | 4.11 ERA, 1.89 WHIP
Age: 24
ETA: Late 2025
fScores: 107 fStuff, 97 fControl, 133 fERA
Comp: Cole Ragans light
Prime Skills: Mathews is a big college lefty with a ridiculous fastball / slider combo with a big mid 90s fastball with above average rise to it and the slider is a swing and miss machine paired with that fastball. He has elite command of these pitches and has shown himself in college to be a workhorse. He also has a curve and a 60/65 grade change up he didn’t even need when I saw him in A ball.
In-person (last year / this year):
- vFB 95-97 MPH / 93-95 MPH (11% SwStr% 2024 vs. 2% 2025)
- 84-86 MPH slider — 20.3 SwStr%
- 81-83 MPH change up — 26.3 SwStr% last year (18.9% 2025)
- 76-77 MPH curve
- 94 MPH sinker (started working it in end of last season)
Ranking Explanation: Mathews had a shoulder injury at the beginning of the season that ruined his command and his velocity been down since last year, but his command has been significantly better since returning on a rehab assignment with a 51.1% strike rate in his last low A outing, while pre-injury he was only throwing 30-39% strikes in three terrible starts. The swinging strike rate was also back up, even though he was obviously against lower level hitters with 8 Ks and 0 BBs in 5 rehab innings thus far. Mathews doesn’t have the elite stuff of Misiorowski and the command isn’t good enough to keep him ahead in the rankings, but I do ultimately trust his command more than Hagen Smith – the next pitcher up.
Previous Rank: 23
- SP Hagen Smith (White Sox)
2024 College: 84 IP | 161 Ks, 34 BBs | 2.04 ERA, 0.89 WHIP
2024 MLB: 7 ⅔ IP | 15.2 K-BB%, 12.7 SwStr%, 28 CSW% | 3.52 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
2025 AA (as of 5/25/25): 25 ⅔ IP | 20.6 K-BB%, 14.7 SwStr%, 30.9 CSW% | 2.10 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
Age: 21
ETA: Late 2025 (cup of coffee)
fScores: 105 fStuff, 97 fControl, 126 fERA
Comp: Yusei Kikuchi w/ some Chris Sale-esk arm action on the slider
Prime Skills: Big strong lefty with a quick ¾-esk arm action that almost just snaps his fastball and slider straight in there at high 90s velocity. He’s working on a changeup / splitter pitch as well to throw against his primarily fastball and slider combo. He’s run into some command issues this season as his walk rate is at a completely unsustainable 18.7% rate, which is some scary reliever stuff.
Ranking Explanation: The White Sox have a large arsenal of starters in the AA level right now all slated for 2025-ish debuts. I don’t have pitch level data to analyze why his command has been so bad this year, since he’s not at AAA and after watching Misiorowski bounce back, I’m not going to quit on him so quickly – so let’s give him some patience, as the stuff is obviously ridiculous. Mechanically though, it makes sense how he could lose command so easily – it’s a very different delivery. Oddly, I’m more concerned long-term for his command than for Quinn Mathews – whose command issues appear to have been due to the injury, which is why Quinn gets the edge.
Previous Rank: 32
- SS/3B Caleb Bonemer (White Sox):
2025 A (as of 5/26/25): .285/.424/.474 | 17.5 BB%, 22 K% | 17 XBH, 3 HR, 13 SB
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Bobby Witt Jr. Light
Prime Skills: Great bat speed with an insane eye for his age, Bonemer is a well-built shortstop who may end up moving to third with plus tools across the board. Bonemer has a quick, powerful swing that reminds me of Bobby Witt Jr. and was one of the high end prep bats picked in the second round last season.
Ranking Explanation: Williams gets the edge to Bonemer since he’s only a couple years older, but is up two levels – though I think Bonemer could move past low A quick just like Aidan Miller did last year, the difference is Bonemer has a better hit tool (76% contact rate) and plate skills than Miller. He could be a quick mover and as a potential five tool player, I don’t want to miss out on him.
Previous Rank: N/A
- SS Felnin Celesten (Mariners)
2024 CPX: .352/.431/.568 | 12.5 BB%, 19.4 K% | 17 XBH, 3 HR, 5 SB
2025 A (as of 5/25/25): .310/.362/.405 | 8 BB%, 18.1 K% | 7 XBH, 2 HR, 6 SB
Age: 19
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Switch hitting Gunnar Henderson light
Prime Skills: Celesten is a good sized switch hitting, athletic shortstop who has shown an above average hit tool / plate approach combo, but has yet to get into his power. I’m especially impressed with the plate skills of such a raw talent, but he needs to get the ball in the air and despite having a good feel for finding the holes in the defense, the power is still down post injury.
Ranking Explanation: I’m a big Felnin fan as the big switch hitting SS prospect had a broken hamate bone last season which are known for sapping power, so it’s tough to wonder how long it takes to fully heal for a hitter to the point of power returning, especially in a younger, developing player who has to adjust on the fly. I believe in the talent and don’t want to ding him too much, even though the production hasn’t been what I would have hoped for, but it’s hard to hate on a 114 wRC+ from a guy who is still a little young for the level by about a year to year and a half, which might bump him another 30-35 points. I think he has more power potential than org mate Colt Emerson, but he has not shown the power and speed upside of Bonemer, though I think he does have a better hit tool.
Previous Rank: 47
- OF Cole Carrigg (Rockies)
2024 CPX/A+: .283/.359/.491 | 9.7 BB%, 18.9 K% | 47 XBH, 17 HR, 53 SB
2025 AA (as of 5/25/25): .250/.345/.474 | 9.2 BB%, 28.7 K% | 16 XBH, 8 HR, 11 SB
Age: 23
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Jarren Duran as a switch hitter
Prime Skills: Ridiculous power / speed skill set with some insane numbers. The dude is versatile though as a former catcher and has been clocked throwing 102 MPH. He has a below average hit tool with only a 67.9 contact% this season,
Ranking Explanation: There’s an extremely high ceiling here, but tons of questions because Colorado has a terrible development track record. The splits are pretty terrible for Carrigg, even as a switch hitter. He may want to give it up and hit only from the left side in hopes to avoid a platoon, because he mashes .254/.333/.493 against righties, but only .222/.263/.333 against lefties. He has a 138 wRC+ and is age appropriate for his level. Felnin gets the edge due to the safe hit tool and plate skills, but Carrigg’s tools obviously will play up against what Felnin has done to date in a roto or categories league.
Previous Rank: 78
- OF Chase DeLauter (Guardians)
2024 AA/AAA: .261/.341/.500 | 11.6 BB%, 13.4 K% | 18 XBH, 8 HR, 1 SB (39 games)
2025 Season (as of 5/25/25): .207/.361/.448 | 19.4 BB%, 16.7 K% | 3 XBH, 2 HR, 1 SB (10 games)
Age: 23
ETA: Mid 2025
fScores: 98 fContact, 116 fDiscipline, 94 fPower, 90 fSpeed
Comp: Hunter Pence (without the speed) and lefty Matt Holliday mash
Prime Skills: He’s shown a really strong hit tool and has some unrealized power in his small sample size at the minor league level. The pull power from his college days is tantalizing. Coming off injury, we just need to see some health from this doubles machine, but he’s only played 96 games the last two seasons… though with 32 doubles in those 96 games.
Ranking Explanation: DeLauter just can’t stay healthy and that’s tanked his prospect profile a bit for me. Just when I was pulled back in again this offseason, he gets hurt again – but he’s healthy as of this writing and I will hope one more time that he can stay on the field. Add him cheap if you can. DeLauter has a safer profile than Carrigg, but does not have the speed and the injury issues have pushed him down in my latest iteration.
Previous Rank: 31
- C Drake Baldwin (Braves)
2024 AA/AAA: .276/.370/.423 | 13.1 BB% / 17.2 K% | 36 XBH, 16 HR, 2 SB
2025 MLB (as of 5/25/25): .340/.385/.536 | 6.7 BB%, 14.4 K% | 9 XBH, 5 HR, 0 SB
Age: 24
ETA: Debuted
fScores (pre-season): 95 fContact, 115 fDiscipline, 80 fPower, 67 fSpeed
Comp: Lefty Yainer Diaz with better defense
Prime Skills: Drake Baldwin always had a solid hit tool prior to this season, but is showing upper tier contact skills for a catcher with a 90.8% Z-Contact rate and fantastic plate skills with above average power that could reach 20-25 homer levels if he had full-time playing time.
Ranking Explanation: I like Baldwin coming into the season, but was very concerned about how the playing time would shape up with Sean Murphy on the team. Life finds a way though and Baldwin has proven himself to be an upper level catcher in the majors. I will ding catchers a tad who are unlikely to also get 1B or DH reps, which is why a bunch of OFs might get the edge to him, as he’s likely to get at best 70% of the PAs, but Baldwin looks like a good legit catcher for a long time.
Previous Rank: 89
- OF Charlie Condon (Rockies)
2024 College: .433/.566/1.009 | 58 XBH, 37 HR, 3 SB
2024 A+: .180/.248/.270 | 3.7 BB%, 31.2 K% | 6 XBH, 1 HR, 4 SB (25 games)
2025 CPX/A+ (as of 5/25/25): .289/.385/.400 | 11.5 BB%, 26.9 K% | 5 XBH, 0 HR, 1 SB (14 games)
Age: 22
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores (pre-season): 92 fContact, 76 fDiscipline, 109 fPower, 112 fSpeed
Comp: Less athletic righty Cody Bellinger
Prime Skills: Condon is all about the power, but how much of the power will translate from college and can he hit breaking pitches are the big questions. He’s a big time fastball hunter and guys at the higher levels might expose him. He has a long body, but keeps his hands in so he doesn’t get exposed inside. He smashes pitches up in the zone and it will be interesting to see if he can keep the strikeout rate down.
Ranking Explanation: Condon’s home/away college splits are incredibly concerning amongst the rumors of SEC teams using a live feed in the dugout when at home (.482/.530/1.125 HOME vs. .279/.367/.698 ROAD). Thankfully we are finally starting to see what he can do healthy this year after a terrible transition to the minors in 2024… so there may be some decent movement in the rankings for Condon at my next rankings update in August.
Previous Rank: 25
- SP Logan Henderson (Brewers)
2024 CPX/A+/AA/AAA: 81 1/3 IP | 28.1 K-BB%, 15 SwStr%, 31.6 CSW% | 3.32 ERA, 0.91 WHIP
2025 AAA: 30 IP | 25.2 K-BB%, 15.8 SwStr%, 30.8 CSW% | 2.40 ERA, 0.97 WHIP
2025 MLB (as of 5/25/25): 21 IP | 28.4 K-BB%, 12.9 SwStr%, 25.4 CSW% | 1.71 ERA, 0.95 WHIP
Age: 23
ETA: Debuted
fScores: 105 fStuff, 106 fControl, 110 fERA
Comp: Spencer Strider-light (dude has some quads) mash with Michael Wacha
Prime Skills: Henderson is of slight build (5’ 11”) and has jumped up a couple levels already this season after destroying at low A most of last season. He has excellent command and a nice fastball / changeup combo. The fastball runs 94-96 MPH and the change up is one of the better change ups in the minors. On a pitch level, Henderson has thrown the fastball more in the minors than in the majors (52% v 47%), he has a 15.8 SwStr% on it in the majors (94th percentile) against a 20.2 SwStr% at AAA. He has been throwing the cutter more in the minors as well and the change up was getting thrown 41% of the time in the majors and only 29% of the time in the minors.
Ranking Explanation: I have been one of the bigger Logan Henderson guys for the last year or so when it comes to prospecting. He has excellent command and also some big time strikeout stuff, especially on the fastball / changeup combo. Hagen Smith gets the edge with stronger stuff than Henderson with some crazy breakers, but Henderson even as basically a three pitch guy has time to develop a solid breaker just like Bryce Miller and Bryan Woo when they first came up.
Previous Rank: 86
- OF Justin Crawford (Phillies)
2024 A+/AA: .313/.360/.444 | 6.4 BB%, 18.7 K% | 38 XBH, 9 HR, 42 SB (110 games)
2025 AAA (as of 5/25/25): .328/.395/.437 | 10.2 BB%, 19.4 K% | 15 XBH, 1 HR, 16 SB
Age: 21
ETA: July 2025
fScores: N/A
Comp: Carl Crawford w/ less power (Taller Juan Pierre perhaps?)
Prime Skills: Speed, lightning speed like his dad. The hit tool is developing and the plate skills are improving and now we are getting 10-15 homer power to go along with the rest of the tools. Crawford has an 83.7% contact rate and 89.3% Z-Contact rate along with an aggressive over 70% Z-swing – so the hit tool is very solid, 60 grade. The crazy thing is his raw power is also not bad, despite no homers, because he is not barreling balls and hitting the ball on the ground more than 60% of the time. He has a 90.6 average EV, 104 90th percentile and 110.6 max EV this year.
Ranking Explanation: Crawford has performed like a stud leadoff hitter at an advanced level for his age throughout his time in the minors. The lack of power in his profile will stop him from ever reaching the top level of prospects, but he’s projected as an effective source of speed and batting average for the future and could get into 15 homer power if he can translate his raw power into game power and get the ball off the ground. Condon gets the edge with his power upside, but Crawford is underrated and could be the next iteration of the speed guys like Victor Scott to hit the majors and should be up this season.
Previous Rank: 53
- OF Jonny Farmelo (Mariners)
2024 A: .264/.398/.421 | 16.3 BB%, 23.5 K% | 17 XBH, 4 HR, 18 SB (46 games)
2025 A+ (as of 5/26/25): .276/.328/.552 | 7.8 BB%, 31.3 K% | 7 XBH, 4 HR, 0 SB (14 games)
Age: 20
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Charlie Blackmon
Prime Skills: Big long levered lefty with some big time power / speed potential with quick back speed. He tends to coil up as the pitch is coming in and unleashes to make some nice driving contact that I think will lead to a big doubles profile. The power is up this season after the injury last season, but so are the Ks.
Ranking Explanation: Farmelo missed the second half of the season in 2024 after suffering a right knee injury that required surgery and then missed the beginning of 2025 with another injury. It’s a smaller sample size so far this season, so I’m not too concerned about the plate approach issues yet based on his track record, but I am slightly concerned about the contact% being down from 80% last year to 64% this year, even though it’s awesome to see the XBH on a 1 every 2 game pace. Part of me want to launch him up higher in the rankings, but Crawford is showing a much better hit tool right now and gets the edge to Farmelo until we Farmelo’s hit tool and plate approach stabilize back to 2024 levels.
Previous Rank: 49
- SP Robby Snelling (Marlins)
2024 AA/AAA: 115 1/3 IP | 13.8 K-BB%, 12.2 SwStr%, 28.9 CSW% | 5.15 ERA, 1.52 WHIP
2025 AA (as of 5/25/25): 38 IP | 20.7 K-BB%, 14.3 SwStr%, 31 CSW% | 4.03 ERA, 1.34 WHIP
Age: 21
ETA: Late 2025
fScores: 102 fStuff, 97 fControl, fERA 107
Comp: Jesus Luzardo-light
Prime Skills: The ¾ arm-slot helps create a lot of deception between his fastball and slider, which he repurposed this year and also improved the change up. He’s a three pitch lefty with an above average fastball, a good changeup and a stellar breaking pitch with a knack for avoiding hard contact. Snelling was only hitting 93 on the fastball last year and it up to 95-97 this year, we forget how young he was in 2023 when he first broke out. His change up is also up a couple ticks from 86 mph last year to 88-89 this year. The slider is up to an average of about 83 MPH and that’s what the majority of his Ks seem to come on, but he does have some issues in a reverse split against lefties oddly enough this year.
Ranking Explanation: Snelling won Baseball America’s 2023 Minor League Pitcher of the Year after a stellar second half closing out what was already an impressive campaign as a 19-year-old and when looking at his 2024 numbers, it’s easy to be disappointed by them considering the stuff some of the other top starters are showing, but he’s young for the level by 2-3 years and is showing an incredible propensity to avoid hard contact and damage, similar to Emmanuel Clase. It should be noted Snelling performed much better once traded to the Marlins posting a 20.3 K-BB% with a 3.64 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 42 innings. He’s been very good every start except two this season and while he might ultimately have a more friendly strikeout arsenal that Henderson, he is missing the elite pitch like Henderson’s fastball and changeup both appear to be.
Previous Rank: 130
- 2B / SS Michael Arroyo (Mariners)
2024 A/A+: .285/.400/.509 | 12.3 BB%, 23 K% | 56 XBH, 23 HR, 18 SB
2025 A+ (as of 5/25/25): .258/.410/.445 | 13.3 BB%, 24.6 K% | 17 XBH, 6 HR, 2 SB
Age: 20
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: More athletic Ronnie Belliard build with a Jorge Polanco-ish to Matt McLain light profile.
Prime Skills: Short swinging stocky athlete with quick hands and a ton of power in his fire hydrant frame along with some speed. He has a good plate approach and above average contact tool, which led to the 2024 breakout.
Ranking Explanation: Arroyo’s contact rates are down a bit this year and it’s also resulting in a bit less damage, but he’s still putting up a 136 wRC+ slightly below the average age to level by enough to provide maybe a 10 point boost to his wRC+, but the speed has not been a part of his game this season – which I kind of expected based on his frame, making him more of a points league play longer term rather than cats – as he looks like a .255/.370/.430 player who will pop 20-25 bombs with only a few steals as a major league 2B. Baldwin gets the edge as he’s doing it now and has about the same level of upside as a solid starting player at his position who might make some All Star games.
Previous Rank: 41
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