These prospect rankings are based on fantasy value, not real-life value. Considering such, hitters generally weigh a bit heavier for me due to the injury risk and higher volatility of prospect pitchers. Proximity to the majors is also prominent in the equation, though these prospect fantasy baseball rankings are focused on long-term/dynasty outlooks. Think of these rankings as more of a five-year plan.
Rather than getting into writing mini-bios on all prospects, I’ve decided to keep my rankings simple by providing the 2024 and 2025 stats of each player across all levels, plus a player comp, a small blurb on their prime skills for fantasy and an explanation of my ranking.
I’ve also included updated fScores for any players I expect to debut in 2025 (some are updated from May, while others still feature preseason fScores), which highlights what my fScore projections believe the player is capable of at the pro level for immediate impact.
- Fantasy Baseball Research & Advice
- Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer
- Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Assistant
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
- Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Top 150 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings: 76-100 (Updated)
Please note these rankings are the result of months of work from previous rankings, to ongoing film and in-person scouting along with team rankings, positional rankings and a final stack-up that you are now reading and thus since this is a massive write up the statistical inputs will have varying dates and are not based upon one static date.
NOTES:
- Rookie status is determined by 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched at the Major League level.
- I prematurely removed the following players due to them being close to graduation, their age or injury concerns, bumping them from prospect status by the next time we see them: Chase Dollander (SP – COL), Christian Scott (SP – NYM), Drew Thorpe (SP – CWS), Robert Gasser (SP – MIL), Edgar Quero (C – CWS)
Previous Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (126-150)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (101-125)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (76-100)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (51-75)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (26-50)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (1-25)
- OF Jaison Chourio (Guardians)
2024 A: .269/.414/.398 | 19.9 BB%, 16 K% | 31 XBH, 5 HR, 44 SB (98 games)
2025 CPX/A+ (as of 5/27/25): .247/.408/.312 | 21.4 BB%, 18.4 K% | 3 XBH, 1 HR, 4 SB
Age: 20
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Jackson Chourio and Geraldo Perdomo mash up
Prime Skills: Chourio is a switch hitting version of his brother (Jackson) with fantastic plate skills, but less power potential. Chourio spent the offseason bulking up, but it has yet to translate to more game power even with a 27% line drive rate so far in 2025.
Ranking Explanation: He’s only one year younger than his brother, but the Guardians are infamous for slowly moving their hitters. He hit the IL with a shoulder strain, but is already on a rehab assignment. I love his potential, especially for points leagues, but we need more power for him to deserve top 50 prospect status, even with a 115 wRC+ under the age-to-level.
Previous Rank: 36
- SP Cade Horton (Cubs)
2024 AA/AAA: 34 ⅓ IP | 18.9 K-BB%, 15.3 SwStr%, 29 CSW% | 4.46 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
2025 AAA: 29 IP | 18.5 K-BB%, 12.9 SwStr%, 31.8 CSW% | 1.24 ERA, 0.86 WHIP
2025 MLB (as of 5/27/25): 20 ⅓ IP | 14 K-BB%, 11.8 SwStr%, 26.6 CSW% | 3.98 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
Age: 22
ETA: Debuted
fScores: 94 fStuff, 99 fControl, 102 fERA
Comp: Brandon Pfaadt
Prime Skills: Horton has a nasty sweeper with a 95-97 mph fastball that he leans on as his plus pitches, but he also has a nice curve (20.6 SwStr%) that he should throw more often. The fastball, while it has velocity does not have great shape, but Horton does have very good command for his age.
Ranking Explanation: Horton was a multi-sport guy who has missed a decent amount of time the last couple years, primarily with a shoulder injury, which is concerning for a pitcher and thus I had bumped him down from the top 30 range I had him in at the beginning of 2024. He’s in the majors now and gets a proximity bump, but I don’t see him as a potential top of the rotation guy anymore and think he will settle in as a #3 starter on the shorter term, with #2 upside. Even with Rosario’s injury, I’m giving him the edge to Horton as I see Rosario as a potential top 30 starter for fantasy and Horton as a 50-80 range guy.
Previous Rank: 94
- SP Carlos Lagrange (Yankees)
2024 CPX/A: 21 IP | 7 K-BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 30.1 CSW% | 6.86 ERA, 1.62 WHIP
2025 A+ (as of 5/29/25): 41 ⅔ IP | 31 K-BB%, 16.8 SwStr%, 35.4 CSW% | 4.10 ERA, 1.03 WHIP
Age: 22
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Joe Musgrove with more velocity
Prime Skills: Lagrange improved his command significantly this season which made him a completely different pitcher, especially as a 6’ 7” best who can touch 101 mph on the fastball complimented by a hard vertical breaker and a sweeper. Righties can’t even touch Lagrange as he has a 38 K-BB% against them, but lefties do a little more damage (.723 OPS against) as the walk rate against lefties increases around 8%.
Ranking Explanation: Lagrange has been one of the best pitchers in the minors this season and should move up in short order as a 22-year-old. Lagrange is consistent and going deep into games, running pitch counts regularly in the 90s and netting 8 Ks or more in 6 / 8 starts this season and only having one start with more than 2 walks.
Previous Rank: N/A
- SS Aidan Miller (Phillies)
2024 A/A+/AA: .261/.366/.446 | 12.1 BB%, 21.6 K% | 45 XBH, 11 HR, 23 SB
2025 AA (as of 5/28/25): .225/.321/.333 | 11.3 BB%, 28.6 K% | 8 XBH, 4 HR, 15 SB
Age: 20
ETA: Late 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Royce Lewis w/ a worse hit tool
Prime Skills: This dude is an athlete, I had a live look on him and he’s really just a super athlete and a gamer. A lot of people thought he would move off SS to 3B, but he looks super smooth and athletic and he should stay at SS as long as he can. He has above average to plus tools across the board, but is still pretty raw and seems to run into issues when he gets to a new level until he can adapt.
Ranking Explanation: It’s important to remember, he’s still young for the AA level as a 20-year-old and has a solid 75.6% contact rate considering is above average. He’s actually running more this year, but the big issue at the moment is his lack of extra base hits. Phillies fans will need to have some patience with Miller as he develops, but the upside is pretty high. Chourio gets the edge as his hit and plate skills are a bit more polished, even without the power upside Miller brings to the table.
Previous Rank: 58
- 2B/3B Aroon Escobar (Phillies)
2024 CPX: .338/.495/.481 | 20.2 BB%, 9.6 K% | 5 XBH, 3 HR, 9 SB
2025 A (as of 5/28/25): .329/.431/.524 | 11.8 BB%, 16.9 K% | 16 XBH, 8 HR, 4 SB
Age: 20
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Jean Segura
Prime Skills: Esocbar has a fire hydrant build at 5’ 10” and 180 pounds and with simple swing mechanics and a naturally laid back load that leads to a solid hit tool (82.4% contact last year and 77.8% this year) with a plus plate approach and emerging power to pair with above average speed. I admittedly wasn’t the biggest fan of the profile this offseason due to the lack of extra base hits, but the power has appeared this year with a 105.9 90th percentile EV and 28% line drive rate which has brought about the extra base hits in 2025.
Ranking Explanation: Escobar is likely ready for high A, which might be more age appropriate for a guy ranked this high. He’s been killing it in the sweet spot department this year and is highly aggressive in-zone equally mashing against both righties and lefties.
Previous Rank: N/A
- SS/3B Emil Morales (Dodgers)
2024 DSL: .342/.478/.691 | 19.9 BB%, 22.4 K% | 25 XBH, 14 HR, 12 SB (46 games)
2025 CPX (as of 5/28/25): .253/.313/.507 | 7.2 BB%, 27.7 K% | 8 XBH, 4 HR, 0 SB (18 games)
Age: 18
ETA: 2028
fScores: N/A
Comp: Fernando Tatis Jr. light
Prime Skills: Big, athletic shortstop with high end power potential and decent speed. He has the Fernando Tatis Jr. swing which has led to a similar batted ball profile (though beware of the high swinging strike rate); however the profile has not been the same this year in complex after a killer year in the DSL.
Ranking Explanation: I’m hard pressed to rank complex league guys this high, but Morales has electric fantasy potential as long as he can increase the contact rate, which 61.7% is not good, but there’s room for improvement – especially if he keeps crushing the ball.
Previous Rank: 114
- SP Jack Wenninger (Mets)
2024 A/A+: 115 IP | 19.9 K-BB%, 14.4 SwStr%, 30.1 CSW% | 4.30 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
2025 AA (as of 5/29/25): 46 ⅔ IP | 23.1 K-BB%, 13.9 SwStr%, 33.1 CSW% | 2.70 ERA, 0.94 WHIP
Age: 23
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Roy Halladay meets Emmet Sheehan
Prime Skills: The Wenninger splitter is a monster, this guy is quickly becoming one of the best starters in the minors and is on the fast track as a big 6’ 4” dude with wide shoulders and long legs – the classic early 2000s workhorse ace frame. His dominant splitter is complimented by a mid 90s fastball with a hard slider that also gets a lot of swinging strikes.
Ranking Explanation: Wenninger has a great frame and has an aura of being an old school professional pitcher about him, however Lagrange gets the bump ahead of him with the 100+ mph velocity – you can’t coach that kind of stuff in the primary pitch, while Wenninger has better secondaries at the moment. Wenninger has a slight edge over Jonah Tong in my rankings, mostly because I have a feeling his stuff will be more consistent and his build will hold up better in the majors.
Previous Rank: N/A
- 2B/3B Sal Stewart (Reds)
2024 A+: .279/.391/.454 | 14.8 BB%, 16.9 K% | 32 XBH, 8 HR, 10 SB (80 games)
2025 AA (as of 5/29/25): .331/.392/.479 | 5.9 BB%, 15.1 K% | 19 XBH, 3 HR, 10 SB
Age: 21
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Spencer Steer and Nicholas Castellanos mash with Juan Yepez mechanics
Prime Skills: Big dude who should develop more power, but for now has a fantastic plate approach and hit tool for his age. This is a guy I got a live look on and I think he’s going to be a dude. He might end up moving off the position, because he’s a big boy. He has a good hit tool (81% contact), great plate skills and low 20s home run power potential.
Ranking Explanation: Stewart is a bigger dude and I don’t see him stealing more than 10-15 bags in the majors when he’s young, just as I don’t really see him at 2B despite him leaning out. He’s a nice, well-rounded player with above average tools, but I’m not sure if he has an upper level player in him, though I bet he will be a solid buy for points leagues. Thus why I have some of the more electric lower level guys pushed just ahead of him, despite lack of track record and plate skills.
Previous Rank: 133
- SP Jonah Tong (Mets)
2024 A/A+/AA: 113 IP | 24.1 K-BB%, 14.9 SwStr%, 31.1 CSW | 3.03 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
2025 AA (as of 5/29/25): 44 IP | 27.1 K-BB%, 15.7 SwStr%, 32.5 CSW | 2.25 ERA, 1.07 WHIP
Age: 21
ETA: Mid 2026
fScore: 103 fStuff, 88 fControl, 118 fERA
Comp: Jared Jones light
Prime Skills: Tong has some tricky IVB on a sinking mid 90s fastball (hitting 95-96 MPH now), a big curve that drops right in on hitters from a high over the top arm slot from a smaller 6’ 1”, 180 pound frame. He also pairs these with a decent back pocket change up and a hard vertical slider to bridge between the fastball and curve. The command was on early in the year, but it seems to come and go with Tong.
Ranking Explanation: Tong demolished A and high A last year and has been on the same track at AA despite coming off two of his three worst starts of the season. His success largely depends on having at least average command of his pitches. Wenninger has a better build and less command issues which is why he gets the edge to Tong in my rankings.
Previous Rank: 150
- 2B Termarr Johnson (Pirates)
2024 A+/AA: .237/.366/.386 | 15.6 BB%, 21.3 K% | 39 XBH, 15 HR, 22 SB
2025 AA (as of 5/29/25): .255/.357/.401 | 13.7 BB%, 18 K% | 11 XBH, 5 HR, 9 SB
Age: 20
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Short Jason Kipnis, might have some Dozier-esk or Brandon Phillips-esk seasons
Prime Skills: Amazing plate skills for his age and the hit tool is a tad underrated as he has a 73.9% contact rate, which is reasonable considering the upper tier plate skills and the solid homerun power, though it would be nice to see some gap power come around as he doesn’t hit as many doubles as you would like to see.
Ranking Explanation: The power has been surprisingly above average, but that may be at the expense of the hit tool, which was supposed to be his top tool when he was drafted. Johnson needs to develop more of a doubles profile to really make it. He’s underrated as a prospect right now as there is some prospect fatigue, but a 123 wRC+ as a 20-year-old in AA is nothing to be ashamed of, age-to-level he deserves a 40-50 point assumed bump, but Sal Stewart is safer and gets the edge.
Previous Rank: 107
- SS Joendry Vargas (Dodgers)
2024 CPX: .303/.406/.493 | 12.3 BB%, 22.8 K% | 16 XBH, 4 HR, 11 SB
2025 CPX/A: .310/.378/.476 | 10.2 BB%, 23.5 K% | 7 XBH, 3 HR, 15 SB
Age: 19
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Taller Bobby Witt Jr. light mechanics mashed up with a Jordan Lawlar like skillset
Prime Skills: Great hit tool that can get to all fields with a nice quick swing with good reach. The swing reminds me of Bobby Witt Jr., hence the comp, but there’s less power as he’s more lanky – which gives him more reach to get bat to ball, but it will likely result in less barrels and overall power. He’s transitioned nicely to A ball showing off his speed, but the hit tool needs some work before another promotion is considered with only a 67.7% contact rate.
Ranking Explanation: Ultimately I think Vargas has a higher hit tool and gap power profile than Termarr Johnson, partly due to the speed, however Termarr has a better eye and also better power potential than Vargas, who has a 128 wRC+ but at low A – Termarr is two levels higher an only a little more than a year older.
Previous Rank: 70
- SP Michael McGreevy (Cardinals)
2024 AAA: 150 IP | 12.8 K-BB%, 9.2 SwStr%, 27 CSW% | 4.12 ERA, 1.41 WHIP
2024 MLB: 23 IP | 18.6 K-BB%, 10 SwStr%, 29.3 CSW% | 1.96 ERA, 0.78 WHIP
2025 AAA (as of 5/29/25): 50 2/3 IP | 20.6 K-BB%, 10.4 SwStr%, 29.3 CSW% | 3.02 ERA, 0.78 WHIP
2025 MLB: 5 2/3 IP | 20 K-BB%, 10 SwStr%, 27.5 CSW% | 0.00 ERA, 0.35 WHIP
Age: 22
ETA: Debuted
fScores: 92 fStuff, 123 fControl, 134 fERA
Comp: Logan Webb light
Prime Skills: McGreevy has elite level command and rides on a six pitch mix that heavily includes a dominant sinker (70.4% GB rate) and a brand new sweeper he’s been throwing 33% of the time this season with an 18.2 SwStr% which plays much better than the slider he previously used. The fastball is also up from 92.5 mph last season to 94-95 this season.
Ranking Explanation: Last year I viewed McGreevy as a Kyle Hendricks type, but this year with the new sweeper and higher velocity he’s generating more strikeouts and I think with some more progression he could be a 12-team viable fantasy starter. He also deserves a proximity bump as the next man up for the Cardinals. He’s been lights out in his major league stints as well, but keep in mind he likely doesn’t have the best strikeout upside, but he should kill it for you in the ratio stats (ERA and WHIP).
Previous Rank: N/A
- 3B Brock Wilken (Brewers)
2024 AA: .200/.314/.365 | 13.3 BB%, 28 K% | 33 XBH, 17 HR, 1 SB
2025 AA (as of 5/29/25): .214/.397/.491 | 22 BB%, 25.8 K% | 20 XBH, 12 HR, 1 SB
Age: 22
ETA: Early 2026
fScores: 87 fContact, 119 fDiscipline, 113 fPower, 72 fSpeed
Comp: Righty Max Muncy
Prime Skills: This dude has massive power, but the question is if the hit tool can be average enough to allow him to mash 30-40 homers. His contact rate is up to 74%, which is good enough with his power and he has a top notch eye. He’s been making nice strides post-injury this season.
Ranking Explanation: Brock Wilken missed time in 2024 after getting hit in the eye with a pitch and it messed up his entire season. Don’t get too excited about his low average this year either, as he’s been hitting in the Southern League which is basically the opposite minor league version of the PCL (that or the low A FSL). He’s also running a ridiculously unlucky .234 BABIP, but the wRC+ is 165.
Previous Rank: 126
- C Rainiel Rodriguez (Cardinals)
2024 DSL: .345/.462/.683 | 16.3 BB%, 13.6 K% | 25 XBH, 10 HR, 1 SB
2025 CPX (as of 5/29/25): .408/.544/.939 | 20.6 BB%, 20.6 K% | 12 XBH, 7 HR, 1 SB
Age: 18
ETA: 2028
fScores: N/A
Comp: Agustin Ramirez (love when I come a prospect to a prospect)
Prime Skills: Big time power potential with insane exit velocities as a 17-year-old in the DSL and a sweet transition to CPX with a plus plate approach as well as crazy pull power, despite some lower contact numbers and higher swinging strike rates – these things usually regress closer positively and negatively toward the mean once the player is in A ball.
Ranking Explanation: Rodriguez has a sky high power ceiling at catcher / DH and could be in A ball soon enough for my viewing pleasure. I don’t really like ranking complex league guys this high, especially with under 60% contact rates, but he’s been so good it can’t be ignored. He has a 248 wRC+ right now in complex ball. Wilken gets the proximity edge, though they could be similar players long-term, while right now I’ll give Rodriguez the hot hand edge to Payne who has really cooled off lately.
Previous Rank: N/A
- OF Braylon Payne (Brewers)
2024 A: .438/.526/.625 | 15.8 BB%, 15.8 K% | 2 XBH, 0 HR, 4 SB (4 games)
2025 A (as of 5/29/25): .238/.373/.336 | 18 BB%, 28 K% | 6 XBH, 2 HR, 17 SB
Age: 18
ETA: 2028
fScores: N/A
Comp: Lawrence Butler
Prime Skills: Payne is a big bodied outfielder who is tooled up with a killer power and speed combo from the left side. He’s one of the faster guys picked in the 2024 draft and if he can develop the hit tools and classic Brewers plate skills, the tools can really play this kid up with some of the better Brewers prospects. He started the season hot, but is slumping a bit right now and has some work to do on the hit tool (67.2 Contact%).
Ranking Explanation: Welsh turned me onto Payne after he saw him in the Bridge league and told me Payne was absolutely electric. He’s super young, getting some solid reps at A ball last year while the other high school guys didn’t debut. He’s one of these guys I’m nudging up based on the fantasy upside of the power and speed tools.
Previous Rank: 101
- OF Brailer Guerrero (Rays)
2024 CPX: .330/.452/.466 | 17.5 BB%, 25.4 K% | 8 XBH, 2 HR, 13 SB
2025 A (as of 5/30/25): .284/.393/.474 | 14.3 BB%, 26.8 K% | 9 XBH, 4 HR, 6 SB
Age: 19
ETA: 2027
fScores: N/A
Comp: Lefty Junior Caminero with some speed and a worse hit tool
Prime Skills: Good sized kid with killer plate skills and showing complete athletic dominance in complex league. He has some solid power potential and plus speed that have kept a mediocre hit tool in check. He has already been recorded with exit velocities over 110 mph and appears to be a bit of a barrel master.
Ranking Explanation: I want to bump Guerrero higher, but we don’t have a lot of the statcast data I would like on his side of A ball to help validate a greater rise when the counting stats and higher swinging strike rate counter some of his athletic dominance with a lack of some foundational progression. I would like to see him lift the ball more as the 50% groundball rate is concerning for a guy that should develop 25-30 homer power.
Previous Rank: 112
- SS Angel Genao (Guardians)
2024 A/A+: .330/.379/.499 | 7.7 BB% / 15.5 K%| 52 XBH, 10 HR, 25 SB
2025 CPX (as of 5/30/25): .235/.278/.412 | 5.6 BB%, 22.2 K% | 1 XBH, 1 HR, 0 SB (5 games)
Age: 21
ETA: Early 2026
fScores: N/A (need AAA statcast data)
Comp: Tommy Edman
Prime Skills: Athletic switch hitting middle infielder with a classic hit and speed type profile with a little power built in. He’s a small dude and will have a limited power upside, but he does have 15 homer power just based on how much hard contact he generates in the smaller frame. He was a .300 plus hitter on both sides of the plate, so he is a legit switch hitter that will stick with a good hit tool (81.3% contact last season).
Ranking Explanation: The Guardians have a lot of these hit first switch hitting middle infielders and while Genao might be the best of their massive middle infield crop behind Bazzana, they haven’t exactly hit on all of them (see Rocchio and Gimenez). Genao has missed the majority of the season with a shoulder injury and just began his rehab assignment in complex league, but last season he put up a 140 wRC+ as a 20-year-old in high A, being younger for the level is worth another 25-35 point bump or so in wRC+ bonus. He gets the edge to Ledbetter even despite the injury based on having a better hit tool and the regression of Ledbetter’s power since last season.
Previous Rank: 97
- OF Colton Ledbetter (Rays)
2024 A+: .273/.339/.484 | 8.1 BB% / 28.3 K%| 45 XBH, 16 HR, 34 SB
2025 AA (as of 5/29/25): .272/.337/.392 | 9 BB% / 28.7 K%| 11 XBH, 3 HR, 17 SB
Age: 23
ETA: Mid 2026
fScores: N/A (need AAA statcast data)
Comp: Garrett Mitchell
Prime Skills: Ledbetter was the Rays second round pick in 2023 and has had a good year all around. He’s a great athlete known for good defense and while there has been a bit too much swing and miss, the ability to do damage is there. There are great tools in this package with some contact (69% contact rate) and plate skills questions, but he doesn’t have any split concerns as he actually has performed better against lefties than righties.
Ranking Explanation: Ledbetter has shown elite speed this season and the batted ball profile has transitioned almost 1-1 from high A to AA, but the power has fallen off between levels and the profile without power isn’t nearly as interesting for fantasy. Payne and Guerrero have shown a similar skillset at a much younger age and with more power potential, so he gets the edge to Ledbetter.
Previous Rank: 98
- SP Luis Perales (Red Sox)
2024 A+/AA: 33 ⅔ IP | 30.6 K-BB%, 19.6 SwStr%, 35.7 CSW% | 2.94 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
Age: 22
ETA: Late 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Bryce Miller with worse command
Prime Skills: Perales has a smaller 6’ 1” frame (for a starter) with a baller mid 90s fastball that tops out at 97 with excellent ride complimented by two breakers (one being a hard gyro slider that sits 86-89 with the other having a wider vertical break that I might classify as a hard curve that sits closer to 80-84) and a splitter that sits in the low 90s.
Ranking Explanation: Perales was off my rankings list last time around since he had to get Tommy John surgery last year, but he began a throwing program in early May and it’s possible we see him back in action in another month or so. Perales has very high upside with killer stuff and coming off the significant injury should hopefully have wind in his sails healthwise moving forward.
Previous Rank: N/A
- SP Rhett Lowder (Reds)
2024 A+/AA/AAA: 108 ⅔ IP | 19.9 K-BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 29.4 CSW% | 3.64 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
2024 MLB: 30 ⅔ IP | 6.3 K-BB%, 8.6 SwStr%, 23.9 CSW% | 1.17 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
2025 CPX/A+/AAA (as of 5/30/25): 7 ⅓ IP | 20 K-BB%, 16.2 SwStr%, 32.4% CSW | 12.27 ERA, 2.18 WHIP
Age: 23
ETA: Debuted
fScores: 95 fStuff, 103 fControl, 137 fERA
Comp: Logan Webb
Prime Skills: He has three above average pitches and is known for his pin-point control. His change up and 2-seamer are both nasty. He’s a smart pitcher and knows how to mix well, but the question is how much Great American Ballpark will hurt him. He should be striking out more guys than he has based on his swinging strike and CSW ratings and it should carry forward into more Ks.
Ranking Explanation: Lowder was on pace to return from a forearm injury in Spring Training when he suffered a setback with an oblique injury that may keep him out for another month or two. The elbow issue was concerning enough, but the fact he hurt his oblique means he may not have been throwing with proper mechanics in his rehab stint. He still has upside, but this is scary and led to a big downgrade in my rankings until we see how he progresses.
Previous Rank: 48
- SP Payton Tolle (Red Sox)
2024 College: 81 1/3 IP | 37.1 K-BB% | 3.64 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
2025 A+ (as of 5/30/25): 32 2/3 IP | 32.1 K-BB%, 16.4 SwStr%, 36.9% CSW | 3.86 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
Age: 22
ETA: Debuted
fScores: N/A
Comp: Young Tarik Skubal light without the sinker
Prime Skills: Tolle has given up some damage, but has been great despite some homer issues earlier in the season. Tolle has 41 Ks and only 3 BBs in his last five starts, but also has had some HR issues blemishing his stellar under the hood metrics. He’s a huge 6’6”, 230 pound lefty who gets up to 96 MPH on the fastball, has a plus wipeout sweeper and a killer change up.
Ranking Explanation: Oddly Tolle has some reverse split issues as he has a 40.5 K-BB% against righties and a 21.3 K-BB% against lefties against whom he does not locate nearly as well against, while he just backfoots the sweeper against righties. To counter this he probably needs a vertical hard slider or sinker to bridge the fastball and sweeper and perfect the arsenal. Lowder gets the edge based on his proximity and ability to limit damage, while Tolle needs to fine tune the arsenal to avoid the homer problem and start smoking lefties – but has higher upside if he can unlock his full potential.
Previous Rank: N/A
- C Blake Mitchell (Royals)
2024 A/A+: .232/.368/.424 | 16.5 BB%, 30.7 K% | 37 XBH, 18 HR, 26 SB
2025 CPX (as of 5/30/25): .333/.571/.333 | 21.5 BB%, 21.4 K% | 0 XBH, 0 HR, 3 SB (4 games)
Age: 20
ETA: Late 2026
fScores: N/A
Comp: Austin Wells with speed
Prime Skills: Mitchell was the eighth overall pick in 2024. He was an absolute wrecking ball in A ball, but has some minor hit tool concerns with a below average 71.2% contact rate last season. If he can barrel at a better rate, the contact rate will not be a major concern.
Ranking Explanation: Mitchell never hits the ball on the ground, which is great for power, but not for batting average. He has enough speed that it might be beneficial for him to lift the ball a little less. We have seen some slight improvements in plate approach as he began his rehab from a broken hand (hamate bone), but there were some lingering issues and the rehab was put on hold.
Previous Rank: 134
- SP Tink Hence (Cardinals)
2024 AA: 79 ⅔ IP | 25.9 K-BB%, 16.3 SwStr%, 31.2 CSW% | 2.71 ERA, 1.07 WHIP
2025 A (as of 5/30/25): 3 ⅓ IP | -7.1 K-BB%, 5.2 SwStr%, 19 CSW% | 0.00 ERA, 1.80 WHIP
Age: 22
ETA: Late 2025
fScores (pre-season): 108 fStuff, 97 fControl, 136 fERA
Comp: Dylan Cease
Prime Skills: Tink has some serious ride on his fastball that averages in the mid / high 90s – guys swing under it a lot. The slider is pretty sick and to counter the riding fastball, guys swing over it a lot. The change up is also a very good pitch and as per the above numbers Tink is one of the better pitchers on a per inning rate in the minors, but is a smaller dude and has dealt with injury seasons the last couple of years, including the beginning of this year.
Ranking Explanation: The big question about Tink has always been durability, but he’s proving this year he can consistently go more than 6 innings in starts and despite the smaller stature for a starter at 6’ 1”, he can build up and maintain his electric stuff deeper into games. He showed in May of 2024 he can consistently pitch into the sixth and seventh innings, but he had an injury in June and when he returned the Cardinals again treated him like he was made of glass; to their defense he did get hurt again this spring. It’s possible he comes up in the bullpen with the Cardinals later in the year.
Previous Rank: 43
- SP Ryan Sloan (Mariners)
2025 A (as of 5/30/25): 28 ⅓ IP | 23.3 K-BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 29.6 CSW% | 4.13 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
Age: 19
ETA: 2028
fScores: N/A
Comp: Chris Carpenter-ish w/ a slider instead of a curve
Prime Skills: He’s a big dude for a highschool guy at 6’ 5” 220 pounds with a mid 90s fastball in the 95-97 mph range with above average ride, a solid split changeup and an electric hard vertical slider with insane command of his stuff for his age. The slider and splitter play off each other very nicely, he’s a fun pitcher.
Ranking Explanation: Sloan may not have some of the big strikeout numbers that other prospect pitchers ranked lower might have, but the stuff is electric from a high pedigree pitcher in an organization that really knows how to effectively develop starters, especially with this type of arsenal. Tink gets the edge to sloan because of a superior fastball and the proximity, but with the injury history this is a close matchup.
Top 150 Rank: 154
- OF Jhostynxon Garcia (Red Sox)
2024 A/A+/AA: .286/.356/.536 | 7.2 BB% / 21.6 K% | 52 XBH, 23 HR, 17 SB
2025 AAA: .292/.369/.458 | 10.8 BB%, 21 K% | 14 XBH, 6 HR, 4 SB
Age: 22
ETA: Early 2026
fScores: 99 fContact, 74 fDiscipline, 104 fPower, 105 fSpeed
Comp: Manny Ramirez mechanics with a Spencer Steer profile
Prime Skills: Already nicknamed the Password, this guy is basically a better version of Isaac Paredes as a hitter, rocking an over 46% flyball rate and 46% pull rate equaling a near 30% HR/FB rate last season. He has an odd, sub-par contact profile with a 78.5% contact rate and a 77.8% Z-contact%, so his contact rate is actually higher on pitches outside of the zone, very strange. Garcia hits the ball hard consistently with a 90.6 average EV, but only a 109.2 max EV caps his homer potential in the low 20s.
Ranking Explanation: Garcia rates out as a solid big league regular who could hit .260-.270 with 20-ish bombs and 10 steals, almost like an OF version of Spencer Steer with slightly better contact.
Previous Rank: 68
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