Fantasy Football WRs: Chris Olave, Tyreek Hill, Puka Nacua

When it comes to fantasy football, few topics spark more debate than the most polarizing players — those whose values vary wildly from one expert to another. These are the quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends that divide rankings, dominate draft-day discussions and often determine whether you’re a contender or pretender.

In this article, we asked our collection of Featured Pros to weigh in on players at the wide receiver position with a high standard deviation, meaning analysts are all over the board in how they rank them. Whether it’s a breakout candidate you should be targeting or a risky pick to fade, our experts share who they’re significantly higher or lower on and why. Let’s dive into the most hotly debated names ahead of the 2025 fantasy football season.

Polarizing Fantasy Football Players: Draft or Pass?

Who is one wide receiver with a high standard deviation you are higher or lower on and why?

Chris Olave (WR – NO)

“Chris Olave is the antithesis of RJ Harvey. His expert consensus ranking (ECR) of WR28 translates to a WR36 average draft position (ADP). Early drafters are just far too low on a wideout who has only ever produced near-elite metrics when on the field. Olave has endured multiple injuries and concussions, and a New Orleans quarterback carousel that includes a tight end taking a boatload of snaps on offense. He’s a great late mid-round target who could massively outproduce his draft cost if Tyler Shough or someone else can provide consistency behind center.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)

Tyreek Hill (WR – MIA)

“Tyreek Hill’s 2024 season was a far cry from his usual explosive standards, finishing as the WR33 in points per game (10.5) — a massive disappointment for fantasy managers who spent early-round draft capital on him. While much of the blame can be pinned on Tua Tagovailoa‘s injury, Hill still underwhelmed even when his quarterback was healthy. In the 11 games with Tagovailoa under center, Hill surpassed 100 receiving yards just twice and averaged 12.4 fantasy points per game, only good enough for WR18 during that span. He was battling a wrist injury from Week 1 onward, which may have impacted his efficiency, but the steep drop in performance is still concerning. His yards per route run plummeted to just 1.75 — less than half of his 2023 mark — signaling a potentially sharp decline. Hill also turned 31 this offseason, and the dreaded age cliff for speed-dependent wide receivers may be arriving. His outburst at the end of the 2024 season — removing himself from the game and demanding to get out of Miami — adds another layer of uncertainty regarding his role and long-term future with the Dolphins. There are so many red flags: Declining efficiency, age, durability concerns and potential chemistry issues with the team that make him a high-risk, low-confidence fantasy pick in 2025 drafts, especially if his ADP remains in the early rounds.”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

Puka Nacua (WR – LAR)

“Things were looking real good for Puka Nacua until Los Angeles went out and signed Davante Adams. Unlike former Ram Cooper Kupp, Adams has been relatively healthy for most of his career. That’s bad news for Nacua, who will probably play second fiddle to Adams. As if that’s not enough, here’s an interesting nugget I heard from a fellow fantasy analyst, which I’ll paraphrase: Nacua has played 29 games so far in his NFL career; he has a total of only nine touchdowns. Even if it’s a 1A/1B situation between the two, Adams will eat into enough of Nacua’s targets to make his current lofty consensus ranking at WR4 very risky.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)