3 Mid First-Round Draft Picks to Avoid (Fantasy Football)

Training camps are getting underway, and it’s not long until football will be played, albeit just the Hall of Fame Game. But while the Hall of Fame Game isn’t something to postpone holidays for, it does mean that the fantasy football redraft season is truly upon us, and now is a good time to start preparing.

What better way to prepare for your fantasy football draft than by completing FREE mocks with our fantasy football mock draft simulator?

Fantasy Football Picks to Avoid

Players to Avoid at 1.07 Fantasy Football Draft Pick

Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DET)

The case for Amon-Ra St. Brown would be that he’s consistently earned targets, with over 140 in each of the last three seasons, as well as seeing his touchdowns increase each year in the league to a career-high 12 in 2024.

The case against St. Brown, however, would be the increasingly strong competition around him. Sam LaPorta was injured to start the 2024 season, and it showed, but he came on during the second half of the season, as did Jameson Williams, who averaged 6.6 targets per game in that spell.

When you’re a possession receiver, like St. Brown, it can be difficult to hit your ceiling if you’re not seeing a huge amount of receptions or scoring touchdowns, and touchdown production can be very hard to predict.

St. Brown belongs in the top 10/top 15, but perhaps not quite this high, unless someone else in the Lions’ offense gets injured.

Brock Bowers (TE – LV)

As we’ve already covered, Brock Bowers caught a record-breaking 112 receptions in 2024, a simply astounding accomplishment for a rookie tight end, but we still can’t get too carried away. Currently, Bowers tends to go a few picks later, around 1.12 or 2.01 typically, and tight end production can be so volatile that dragging him up to the 1.07 pick seems problematic unless your league has a large tight end-premium scoring setting.

A year ago, confidence in Sam LaPorta was sky-high, and we all know how that worked out. No position is as susceptible to the ups and downs of fantasy football quite like tight end, and while locking in Bowers might feel like a way to avoid that, it could be an incredibly costly mistake should he fail to gel in this new offense.

Derrick Henry (RB – BAL)

If you’re contemplating Derrick Henry here, it likely means there has been a mean run on running backs to start your draft. Henry is coming off 1,953 all-purpose yards and 16 touchdowns in 2024, but he is 31 and has the lowest target share of any back in the top two rounds (4.4%).

Henry is an excellent talent, but not a better choice than some of the wide receivers ahead of him in average draft position (ADP). Henry potentially could make it back to you in the middle of the second round, which is a far more palatable price.

Fantasy Football Mock Draft From the 1.07 Pick

We used our FREE fantasy football mock draft simulator to show you an example of a draft from the 1.07 position. You can sync your league for free and mock draft against your fantasy football league settings to prepare more specifically for your draft.

Here’s how our fantasy football mock draft from the 1.07 position turned out.