Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel and has 15 games. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the 15-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Joe Ryan is in pristine form. According to FanGraphs, Ryan has put up the following stats in his previous five starts spanning 31.1 innings:
- 2.30 ERA
- 2.96 xFIP
- 0.80 WHIP
- 1 win
- 4 quality starts
- 5.2% walk rate
- 29.3% strikeout rate
- 12.7% SwStr%
- 28.3% CSW%
- 106 stuff+
- 102 location+
- 104 pitching+
The veteran righty is also outstanding at home. In 117 innings at home since last season, Ryan has a 3.46 ERA, 3.31 xFIP, 0.93 WHIP, 4.8% walk rate and 29.9% strikeout rate.
Ryan has a tasty matchup at home and stellar betting info, especially considering he’s opposing Paul Skenes tonight. The Pirates are 28th in wRC+ (82) with a 22.6% strikeout rate versus righties and 30th in wRC+ (64) with a 25.4% strikeout rate on the road in 2025. Pittsburgh was also 29th in wRC+ (71) with a 24.1% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. The Twins are -120 favorites tonight, and the game’s total is listed at a pitcher-friendly 6.5 runs.
Among tonight’s probable pitchers, Ranger Suarez’s 1.99 ERA is the fourth-lowest, his 2.57 xERA is the third-lowest, his 3.39 xFIP is the fourth-lowest, his 3.50 SIERA is the sixth-lowest, his 1.03 WHIP is tied for the seventh-lowest, his 24% strikeout rate is tied for the 10th-highest and his 51.4% ground ball rate is the third-highest in 2025. The lefty has outkicked his ERA estimators. Still, his surface and underlying stats are all excellent.
The Padres are a decent matchup for Suarez, tied for 17th in wRC+ (88) with a 19.3% strikeout rate versus lefties and tied for 15th in wRC+ (105) with a 17.1% strikeout rate at home this year. Suarez and the Phillies are -156 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Chase Burns recorded only one out and allowed seven runs (five earned) in his second start in the Majors. In his other two turns, he’s allowed four earned runs on eight hits, four walks and 15 strikeouts in 9.2 innings. Burns hasn’t been a workhorse. Still, his strikeout rate has been eye-catching, and he has a cupcake of a matchup to feast on tonight.
The Rockies are 30th in wRC+ (75) with a 26.4% strikeout rate versus righties and 29th in wRC+ (69) with a 28.3% strikeout rate this season. Colorado was also 25th in wRC+ (91) with a 26.1% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. Thus, the Reds are -205 favorites, albeit the game’s total is listed at a slightly alarming 9.5 runs at the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. Burns carries risk in DFS, but he’s an exciting SP2 in all game types at DraftKings.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Luis Severino is a tire fire at home. In 61.1 innings at home this year, Severino has a 7.04 ERA, 4.49 xFIP and 1.60 WHIP. He’s allowed a .336 wOBA to 141 lefties and a .384 wOBA to 143 righties at home this year. This is an eruption spot for the Blue Jays.
Dustin May has struggled to navigate road venues. In 37.1 innings on the road this year, May has had a 6.27 ERA, 4.83 xFIP, 1.58 WHIP, 10.7% walk rate and 17.8% strikeout rate. He’s allowed a .336 wOBA to 104 left-handed batters and a .410 wOBA to 65 right-handed batters on the road this season. The Dodgers’ bullpen is also a favorable matchup for San Francisco’s lineup after May departs the game. Thus, stacking the Giants has a high ceiling despite the game’s pitcher-friendly total of 7.5 runs.
Core Studs
- Vladimir Guerrero is in excellent form, popping four homers with 16 runs, 17 RBIs, three stolen bases, a .385 on-base percentage (OBP), .204 ISO, .372 wOBA and 140 wRC+ in his previous 109 plate appearances.
- Addison Barger has slugged 12 homers with 36 runs, 38 RBI, two stolen bases, a .322 OBP, .243 ISO, .352 wOBA, .375 xwOBA and 126 wRC+ in 256 plate appearances this season.
- Rafael Devers has had a .376 OBP, .258 ISO and 142 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
Value Plays/Punts
- Nathan Lukes has a .372 OBP, .135 ISO, .347 wOBA and 124 wRC+ in 289 plate appearances against righties since 2023.
- Mike Yastrzemski has tallied a .338 OBP, .212 ISO, .342 wOBA and 121 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
- Casey Schmitt is playing like a genuine breakout player, recording four homers, 14 runs, 16 RBI, a .361 OBP, .159 ISO, .350 wOBA, .369 xwOBA and 128 wRC+ in 123 plate appearances this season.
Friday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Vladimir Guerrero has a .286 batting average, .484 slugging rate and .197 ISO against righties since 2023. He’ll benefit from the matchup against Luis Severino and the park factors tonight. Per Baseball Savant, right-handed batters have park factors of 113 for hits, 108 for singles, 129 for doubles, 104 for triples and 114 for homers at Sutter Health Park this season.
Addison Barger will also benefit from the matchup against Luis Severino and the park factors. Left-handed batters have park factors of 103 for hits, 91 for singles, 145 for doubles, 89 for triples and 108 for homers at Sutter Health Park.
Willy Adames is dialed in. In his previous 116 plate appearances across 28 games, he’s rattled off 29 hits, 20 runs, 19 RBI, a .296 batting average, .520 slugging rate and .224 ISO. Adames should take advantage of the soft matchup against Dustin May.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
