When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average.
You can also see which players create the most debate among experts by checking out the standard deviation in their rankings. The higher the standard deviation, the more disagreement there is among experts as to where a player should be ranked. These players can be the ones who make or break your fantasy football drafts. Getting these picks right can lay the foundation for a fantasy football championship. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football players who could make or break your draft.
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Fantasy Football Advice: Make or Break Draft Picks
Here are players in our ECR top 60 fantasy football draft rankings that are causing the most disagreement among experts based on where they are going in drafts.
| RK | TIERS | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | POS | BEST | WORST | AVG. | STD.DEV | ECR VS. ADP |
| 15 | 2 | Drake London | ATL | WR9 | 7 | 31 | 15.4 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 31 | 4 | Tyreek Hill | MIA | WR14 | 20 | 59 | 33.8 | 7.3 | -2 |
| 36 | 4 | Davante Adams | LAR | WR17 | 17 | 58 | 36.4 | 6.9 | 9 |
| 46 | 5 | DK Metcalf | PIT | WR21 | 31 | 93 | 47.8 | 10.2 | 1 |
| 52 | 5 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | WR24 | 30 | 91 | 52.9 | 13.7 | 11 |
| 53 | 5 | Jameson Williams | DET | WR25 | 38 | 93 | 55.8 | 11.9 | 12 |
| 54 | 5 | Xavier Worthy | KC | WR26 | 33 | 103 | 56.3 | 12.8 | 2 |
| 55 | 5 | Calvin Ridley | TEN | WR27 | 32 | 95 | 57 | 11.5 | 13 |
| 56 | 5 | George Pickens | DAL | WR28 | 33 | 89 | 58.8 | 13 | 5 |
| 57 | 5 | Zay Flowers | BAL | WR29 | 41 | 101 | 59.4 | 11.7 | 7 |
Zay Flowers has settled in as a consistent WR3 for fantasy purposes, and I don’t see that changing in 2025, especially with the addition of DeAndre Hopkins this offseason. Over the last two seasons, Flowers has been the WR31 and WR32 in fantasy points per game. He’s outplayed expectations as he was the WR38 and WR33 in expected fantasy points per game in each season. Last year, among 85 qualifying receivers, he ranked 14th in target share (24.1%), 27th in receiving yards per game (62.3), 17th in yards per route run (2.35), 18th in first-read share (30%), and 20th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). With the addition of Hopkins and an impending bounceback season for Mark Andrews, Flowers likely won’t be leaping into WR2 territory this year and could regress into low-end WR3 territory.
– Derek Brown
Tyreek Hill was a mega bust in 2024, but so much of his poor performance can be placed on the injury to Tua Tagovailoa. Now, admittedly, even when Tua was healthy, Hill still underperformed vs. draft expectations. In those 11 games with his southpaw starting QB, Hill went over 100 yards twice, averaging 12.4 fantasy points per game (WR18). He had a wrist injury that he dealt with from Week 1 and his yards per route run cratered to a 1.75 mark – less than half of his 2023 yards per route run. Not to mention, the Cheetah just turned 31 years old, suggesting the age cliff might be near. And let’s not forget Hill’s outburst at the end of the 2024 season, which could lead to Miami moving on from the veteran WR.
– Andrew Erickson
Since missing the 2022 season due to a gambling suspension, Calvin Ridley has produced two straight 1,000-yard seasons and hasn’t missed a game over that span. He endured gruesome quarterbacking in Tennessee last year, and now Ridley gets to play with top overall draft pick Cam Ward, an aggressive downfield thrower. Ridley is the Titans’ undisputed No. 1 receiver, and I think he’s likely to see more than the 120 targets he had last season. There’s a good chance Ridley will provide WR2 numbers at a low-end WR3 price.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Drake London posted career-best numbers across the board in his third NFL season, finishing with 100 catches for 1,271 yards and nine touchdowns on 158 targets. Michael Penix is taking over as Atlanta’s starting QB this season, and London really clicked with the young QB when he got a late-season audition last year. In the three starts Penix made at the end of the regular season, London had 22 catches for 352 and two touchdowns on 39 targets. The 6-foot-4 London has a huge wingspan and reliable hands. He has become a blue-chip wide receiver and now warrants a top-15 selection in fantasy drafts.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Tetairoa McMillan lands in an ideal situation to emerge as the alpha wideout in Carolina. Drafted with top-10 capital (8th overall) the former Arizona star joins a Panthers offense in need of a true WR1. McMillan brings size, production and opportunity to a WR room featuring an underwhelming Xavier Legette and a promising but undrafted Jalen Coker. T-Mac was just one of 3 WRs in the FBS in 2023 to hit 1,396 yards, 10 TDs, and 89 receptions. The others being fellow top-10 WR draft selections: Malik Nabers and Rome Odunze. If Bryce Young takes even a modest step forward and continues to fuel fantasy success for his No. 1 target, McMillan could be this year’s breakout rookie receiver.
– Andrew Erickson
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