Draft day is all about finding value and avoiding costly mistakes – and Average Draft Position (ADP) is one of the best tools to help you do both. By comparing where players are being drafted to their projected production, fantasy football managers can spot potential steals and sidestep landmines. To give you a winning edge for 2025 drafts, we’ve gathered 30 players experts draft and avoid at ADP from our collection of Featured Pros experts. This list highlights the players our analysts are targeting at their current ADP, as well as the ones they’re avoiding, so you can make smarter picks and build a championship-ready roster.
- Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2025 Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football ADP
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Players Experts Draft & Avoid at ADP
Who is a player you’re TARGETING in drafts based on his current ADP (top-150) and why?
Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA)
“The Draft Sharks ADP Market Index shows no player going at a stronger value point than Jaylen Waddle. His WR32 ADP basically ignores his first three pro seasons, when Waddle finished 21st, 13th, and 22nd in half-PPR points per game. Yeah, last year sucked. But what’s more likely: this 26-year-old already peaked, or he dealt with team issues at QB and play design in an outlier fourth year? I’ll go ahead and bet that Miami works to rebound Waddle’s usage this year. And the truly exciting part: Waddle’s age plus Tyreek Hill‘s (31) combine to increase the chances we haven’t even seen the young guy’s ceiling yet. And that Tua issue? That’s absorbed into his disrespectful ADP.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)
Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR)
“Tetairoa McMillan at player overall 64 and WR28 is a crime. It is the Carolina Panthers, yes, but this is a receiver that has top-15 written all over him. He comes to an offense that has been in desperate need of an X receiver for Bryce Young. They now have that, and then some. McMillan should walk to 120-130 targets minimum in year one, and could stumble onto 8 TDs minimum by accident. McMillan, my WR19, is a steal at his current valuation.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
DJ Moore (WR – CHI)
“Many were afraid to draft DJ Moore last year after the Bears added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze in the offseason. However, the former Maryland star finished the year as the WR16, averaging 11.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite playing on a dysfunctional offense. Unfortunately, fantasy players should avoid drafting Moore at his WR20 and 47.3 overall ADP. The veteran will have even more target competition this season than last year after Chicago used their top two picks in the 2025 NFL Draft on Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III. More importantly, Moore has had a rocky offseason, reportedly having issues with Ben Johnson. Meanwhile, Odunze could break out and be the Bears’ No. 1 wide receiver in 2025. Fantasy players should target DK Metcalf, Tetairoa McMillan, and Xavier Worthy with a later ADP over Moore.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
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