3 Overvalued Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid (2025)

The 2025 NFL preseason is underway, meaning we’ve officially hit the start of redraft fantasy football season. Therefore, it’s time to do all the preparation fantasy players ignored over the past few months. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.

Let’s look at players who are overpriced draft values based on CBS ADP for redraft leagues.

Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on CBS

Jared Goff (DET) – ADP 106.24 | QB11

Last year, Goff had the best season of his career, finishing as the QB6, averaging 19.1 fantasy points per game. He set career highs in several categories, including completion rate (72.4%), passing touchdowns (37), and quarterback rating (111.8). Yet, fantasy players should temper expectations for Goff this season. Detroit lost offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to the Chicago Bears. More importantly, Goff is due for touchdown regression. Last year, he posted a career-high 6.9% passing touchdown rate. By comparison, his previous career best was 5.9% while his career average is 4.8%.

James Cook (BUF) – ADP 33.23 | RB15

Fantasy players were shocked to see Cook finish last season as the RB8, averaging 16.7 PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he had 16 rushing touchdowns and two receiving scores in 2024, leading the league in rushing touchdowns. By comparison, the former Georgia star had four rushing touchdowns and five receiving scores over his first two years in the NFL. Cook’s a clear-cut touchdown regression candidate. Unfortunately, the star running back and the Bills are in the middle of messy contract talks, leading to him sitting out training camp practices.

DJ Moore (CHI) – ADP 50.85 | WR21

Many were afraid to draft Moore last year after the Bears added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze in the offseason. Unfortunately, he will have even more target competition in 2025 after Chicago used their top two picks in the NFL Draft on Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III. More importantly, Moore and Ben Johnson haven’t been on the same page this offseason. Meanwhile, Odunze is a popular second-year breakout candidate. Don’t be surprised if Johnson makes the Bears a run-first offense after having success with that mindset in Detroit.