Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Bo Nix played much better in Week 2 as the QB11 in fantasy. There are still some areas that he has to clean up. In Week 1, among 34 qualifying passers, Nix ranked tenth in passer rating, ninth in highly accurate throw rate, and 11th in hero throw rate, but he still had some “Ferris Bueller” moments (as Sean Payton would like to say), ranking 20th in catchable target rate and having the 11th-highest off-target rate. Nix has to clean this up, for the Bolts will make him pay for it this week. Just ask Geno Smith about it. The Chargers have allowed the second-fewest yards per attempt, the lowest passer rating and CPOE, and they have forced the fifth-highest rate of offensive drives ending in a turnover.
The Cam Skattebo takeover has begun. In Week 2, he led the Giants’ backfield in snap share (50.8%), route share (40%), rushing attempts (11 of 16 running back rushing attempts), and red zone carries (all six). He finished with 13 touches and 59 total yards as the RB22 in fantasy. Skattebo’s per-rush metrics are ok, but they aren’t amazing past his 7.7% explosive run rate. He has a 15% missed tackle rate and 2.38 yards after contact per attempt. The sample size is small (13 carries), so we don’t need to rush to conclusions. Skattebo hopefully has an even higher snap share this week, and his volume can overcome a horrible matchup. Kansas City has allowed the fifth-lowest explosive run rate, the seventh-lowest missed tackle rate, and the fourth-fewest yards after contact per attempt.
Juwan Johnson is the TE2 in fantasy points per game while absorbing a massive workload in the Saints’ offense. He has a 25% target share, 1.71 yards per route run (62.5 receiving yards per game), and a 31.5% first-read share. Johnson leads the team with three red zone targets. It has been awesome to see. Seattle has the second-highest two-high rate in the NFL (69.2%). Against two high, Johnson has been the second option in the passing game with a 20% target share and 25% first-read share (both second on the team behind only Chris Olave). Johnson should have another strong game this week against a Seattle defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game and 11th-most receiving yards to tight ends.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
