Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
In Week 1, Hunter Henry had a 17.4% target share, 1.83 yards per route run (66 receiving yards), a 32.1% air-yard share, and a 20% first-read share. He was the TE15 in fantasy for the week. Henry is a strong streaming option this week against a defense that allowed the 12-most receiving yards and fantasy points to tight ends last year.
Last week, Jake Ferguson had a 77.1% route share with a 17.6% target share and 22.7% first-read share while he finished with five receptions and 23 receiving yards. The usage is exactly what we wanted to see, despite the ending result not being amazing for fantasy purposes. Last week, the Giants continued their trend of single high heavy defense (eighth-highest rate, 64.9%). Last year, against single high, Ferguson had only 1.04 yards per route run and a 16.8% first-read share. Last year, the Giants also held tight ends to the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game and the fourth-fewest receiving yards. Ferguson needs a touchdown to pay off for fantasy this week, likely.
Dalton Kincaid finished as the TE4 for Week 1, but it’s all related to the touchdown he scored, and it’s false window dressing. Kincaid’s usage is still alarming to kick off the season. Last week, Kincaid had a 55.8% route share with only an 8.7% target share and 11.5% first-read share. He finished with 48 receiving yards and 1.66 yards per route run, which is good, but his usage makes even putting up a stat line like that weekly a tough bet to make. Now, he faces a Jets’ defense that allowed the sixth-lowest yards per reception and the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends last year. Sit Kincaid if possible.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.