Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Over the last two games, Bill has had a 37.1% snap rate (second on the team) with 15 of the 39 running back carries (second on the team) and a 20.8% route share (6.3% target share), which has also been second on the team. Bill has averaged nine touches and 44 total yards. Since Week 3, he has had only two red zone carries (Chris Rodriguez has had four). Bill has been explosive when the ball has been in his hands with a 6.9% explosive run rate, a 17% missed tackle rate, and 3.07 yards after contact per attempt. With the work in the Washington backfield getting split into three different directions, Croskey-Merritt is only a run-of-the-mill flex despite a nice matchup on the ground. The Chargers have the 13th-lowest stuff rate and have allowed the tenth-highest explosive run rate and the second-highest missed tackle rate.
Wan’Dale Robinson is the WR30 in fantasy points per game. Robinson has a 20.6% target share, 1.90 yards per route run (59.3 receiving yards per game), and a 28.4% first-read share (second on the team). His ridiculous stat line in Week 2 is carrying a lot of water for his overall numbers. In the other three games this season, Robinson hasn’t produced more than 55 receiving yards. He has seen three red zone targets this season, though. Once Malik Nabers was out last week, he had a 40% target share and a 33.3% first-read share, but it was a small ten-target sample. This isn’t the week to look to flex Robinson. The Saints have been tough against slot receivers, allowing the sixth-fewest PPR points per target and the fewest fantasy points per game to the position.
Baker Mayfield continues to defy the regression demon as the QB8 in fantasy points per game. He has at least 17.7 fantasy points per game in every game this season. He is averaging a career high 32.3 rushing yards per game with at least 33 rushing yards in three of four games. Mayfield is sixth-best in scrambles per game. As a passer, he is living his best Jameis Winston life, ranking third best in passing touchdowns (tied) and second in hero throw rate, but he’s also 25th in highly accurate throw rate, 23rd in catchable throw rate, and tenth in off-target rate. He’ll have his hands full with the Seattle pass defense this week, which has allowed the seventh-fewest yards per attempt, the fourth-lowest passer rating, and the tenth-lowest CPOE. Seattle has given up the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
