Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Bo Nix is the QB7 in fantasy points per game as his rushing production and passing touchdown rate have helped to mask some serious accuracy issues. Nix has three rushing scores and at least 20 rushing yards in six games. Among 41 qualifying passers, he ranks third in passing touchdowns, but that’s where the gravy train stops as he is also 33rd in yards per attempt, 26th in highly accurate throw rate, 37th in catchable target rate, and 15th in hero throw rate. Luckily, Nix has another plus matchup this week that he can exploit. Since Week 5, Las Vegas has allowed the 14th most passing yards per game, the third-highest CPOE, and the tenth-highest success rate per dropback.
J.K. Dobbins remains the early down hammer for the Denver offense with little passing game utility. He has only one target in five of his last six games. Dobbins is the RB24 in fantasy points per game, averaging 16.1 touches and 78.3 total yards. Among 62 qualifying backs, he ranks second in explosive run rate and 20th in missed tackle rate. Dobbins is 19th in red zone rushing attempts and tied for 18th in rushing attempts inside the ten-yard line. He should find more success on the ground this week. Since Week 5, they haven’t given up a ton of huge plays to rushing attacks, but they have allowed the 13th-highest success rate, the eighth-highest missed tackle rate, and the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt.
Courtland Sutton is the WR24 in fantasy points per game commanding an 18.9% target share with 62.9 receiving yards per game, 2.02 yards per route run, and a 23.5% first-read share. Sutton is second on the team in red zone targets (six) and third in deep targets (ten). This week, he faces a Raiders’ secondary that has utilized single high with 56.1-69.6% of their defensive snaps in five of their last seven games. Against single high, Sutton has led the team with a 27% target per route run rate, 2.46 yards per route run, and a 28.7% first-read share. Sutton should smash this week against a secondary that since Week 5, has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.