Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
I’ll admit I didn’t see a zero coming for Jameson Williams last week. He drew only three targets and converted them into a goose egg box score. Since Dan Campbell took over playcalling duties, Williams has had a 14% target share, a 26.8% air-yard share, 69 receiving yards per game, 2.01 yards per route run, and a 15.9% first-read share. The offense has condensed around Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs in recent weeks, and I don’t see that changing this week. In his last three games, Williams has two red zone targets and one deep target. Williams is a viable but worrisome flex play in Week 13. Since Week 7, Green Bay has ranked 17th in receiving yards per game while allowing the 14th-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Romeo Doubs is the WR40 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 8, he has had a 19% target share, a 30.2% air-yard share, 43.2 receiving yards per game, 1.74 yards per route run, and a 22.1% first-read share. This week, he faces a Detroit secondary that has featured single high at the third-highest rate (60.5%). Since Week 10, against single high, Doubs has had a 17.1% target share (second on the team) with 0.42 yards per route run and a 20% first-read share. Doubs is a sketchier flex play this week, but the matchup for him on the perimeter is quite nice, so maybe this is a bounce-back game. If he were to have another dud game, I wouldn’t be shocked, though. Since Week 7, Detroit has allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game and the seventh-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
David Montgomery has taken a back seat over the last two games to Jahmyr Gibbs. Since Week 11, Montgomery has averaged 36.2% of the snaps with a 26.2% route share, 7.5 touches, and 37 total yards per game. Since Week 10, he has had only three red zone rushing attempts to Gibbs’ seven. Until further notice, Montgomery is a touchdown-dependent flex play. Since Week 8, Green Bay has ranked 16th in explosive run rate and 17th in yards after contact per attempt while holding rushing attacks to the 13th-lowest rushing success rate and the fifth-lowest missed tackle rate.
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