Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Over the last two games, Christian Watson has stepped up as Green Bay’s WR1 with a team-leading 83% route share, a 25% target share, a 36.2% air-yard share, 47.5 receiving yards per game, 2.17 yards per route run, and a 36.7% first-read share. Since Week 11, he has led the team with two red zone targets and three deep targets. This week, he faces a Detroit secondary that has featured single high at the third-highest rate (60.5%). Since Week 10, against single high, Watson has led the team with a 19.5% target share, 2.53 yards per route run, and a 28% first-read share. Watson is in a good spot to produce again this week. Since Week 7, Detroit has allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game and the seventh-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Jordan Love has been efficient on a per-dropback basis, but Green Bay’s yearning to play conservatively and limit his passing numbers weekly has been maddening. Among 45 qualifying quarterbacks, Love ranks 17th in passing yards per game and 16th in dropbacks, but he’s also ninth in yards per attempt, sixth in adjusted completion rate, and tenth in hero throw rate. If the Lions push the Packers’ offense, the Packers’ offense could be forced from their comfy conservative box and feed Love with some passing volume. Since Week 8, Detroit’s pass defense has taken a step back, allowing the seventh-highest yards per attempt, the ninth-highest CPOE, and the 12th-most passing touchdowns (tied).
Jared Goff and Jordan Love share some similarities. Both players have been quite efficient with their passing volume, but they have been held back by their offenses in terms of volume. Goff ranks 15th in dropbacks this season despite also ranking ninth in passing yards per game, eighth in yards per attempt, second in passing touchdowns, and 12th in highly accurate throw rate. Detroit could be forced to throw it this week if their ground game stalls against the Packers run defense. Green Bay’s pass defense remains top shelf too though. Since Week 8, Green Bay has allowed the sixth-fewest yards per attempt, the second-fewest passing yards per game, the fifth-lowest passer rating, and has ranked 16th in CPOE.
Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | TuneIn
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
