Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Since Week 12, Devaughn Vele has had an 18.1% target share with 65 receiving yards per game, 1.55 yards per route run, and a 16.7% first-read share. In those two games, Vele had two red zone targets and two deep targets. Last week, he was the WR7 in weekly scoring, securing all eight of his targets with 93 receiving yards and a score. Since Week 10, Tampa Bay has utilized single high at the third-highest rate (63.1%). Since Week 12, against single high, Vele has been a distant third in the target pecking order against single high with a 17.9% target share, 1.29 yards per route run, and an 11.1% first-read share. Vele is a decent flex play this week, but I wouldn’t expect a repeat of last week’s stat line in Week 14. Since Week 9, Tampa Bay has allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Since Week 11, John Metchie has finished as a top-20 wide receiver in weekly scoring twice (WR18, WR11). Since Week 11, Metchie has had a 20.5% target share with 43 receiving yards per game, 1.39 yards per route run, and a 23.6% first-read share. In those three games, he has two red zone targets and zero deep targets. He could easily be a strong flex play again this week operating as New York’s WR2 against a Miami secondary that, since Week 9, has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Last week, Adonai Mitchell finally had a boom game which you could see coming from a mile away with the market share and the matchup that he had last week. It was wonderful to still see it come to fruition. Last week, Mitchell was the WR5 in fantasy with a 36.4% target share, a 59.8% air-yard share, 102 receiving yards (2.83 yards per route run), and a 50% first-read share. He had two red zone targets and two deep targets. Since Week 11, Mitchell has had a 28.4% target share, a 61.4% air-yard share, and a 41.8% first-read share with four red zone targets and seven deep targets. He has been operating as the team’s clear WR1. He could easily continue the hot streak this week against a Miami secondary that, since Week 9, has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
