Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Mark Andrews has had a wildly disappointing season as the TE20 in fantasy points per game. In his last outing against Cincy, he was the TE17 for the week, securing four of his six targets with 47 receiving yards. Sadly, that is the most receiving yards Andrews has had in a game this season. Andrews has four TE1 weekly finishes this season, but they have all been fueled by touchdowns. The last time the Ravens faced the Bengals, they utilized two high with 52.6% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Andrews has had a 15% target share with 0.77 yards per route run and a 23.2% first-read share. Andrews could have a strong game against this porous pass defense, and it wouldn’t shock me, but he easily could flop again. The range of outcomes for Andrews is wide this week, which makes him tough to trust in the first round of the fantasy playoffs. Cincy has allowed the most receiving yards, yards per target, and fantasy points per game to tight ends.
The last time Isaiah Likely faced Cincy in Week 13, he secured five of his six targets with 95 receiving yards as the TE9 for the week. In that same game, the Bengals utilized two high with 52.6% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Likely has had a 13.8% target share with 1.41 yards per route run and a 10.5% first-read share. Likely has been the more productive tight end this season for Baltimore against two high this season, and it wouldn’t be shocking to see him outproduce Mark Andrews again. Likely is a solid streaming option at tight end this week. Cincy has allowed the most receiving yards, yards per target, and fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Last week, Dalton Kincaid had only a 41.7% route share. Sure, he paid off for fantasy with a 17.9% target share, 41 receiving yards, 2.73 yards per route run, a touchdown, and a 27.8% first-read share, but that is a tough bet to make weekly. With that limited route share, Kincaid has to get peppered with targets and hopefully score a touchdown to pay off. He’s been a limited snap player all year, but a 50-60% route share is a different conversation from a player living in the 40s. Could he pay off again this week? It’s possible. New England has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. Starting Kincaid this week depends upon your willingness to embrace risk and your options at tight end. I don’t think Kincaid’s knee and hamstring will be much healthier than they were last week, so he’s probably looking at a similar route share range in Week 15.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
