Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Daniel Jones has fallen off a ton in recent weeks. Jones is dealing with a fractured fibula, and with his one rushing yard last week, we should consider any rushing upside off the table (for possibly the rest of the season). Since Week 9, Jones has been the QB16 in fantasy points per game, ranking 14th in yards per attempt, 18th in catchable target rate, and 18th in hero throw rate. He faces a Jacksonville pass defense that has been feasting on bad quarterback play. Since Week 9, they have allowed the fourth-lowest yards per attempt, the 12th-lowest CPOE, and the 11th-lowest success rate per dropback, but in that span they faced Geno Smith, Davis Mills, and Cam Ward among others. This is best viewed as an average matchup for Jones, but expecting more than QB2 production from Jones right now is asking too much.
Bo Nix might be the QB11 in fantasy points per game, but he has been extremely volatile this season and hasn’t been a QB1 in weekly scoring since Week 8. Among 47 qualifying passers, he ranks 33rd in yards per attempt, 31st in CPOE, 28th in highly accurate throw rate, and 39th in catchable target rate. He struggled against this pass defense in Week 10 with only 150 passing yards, one passing touchdown, and 5.4 yards per attempt as the QB25 for the week. We’ll see if he can fare better the second time around, but Nix should be viewed as a QB2 this week. Since Week 9, the Raiders have allowed the 11th-most yards per attempt, the eighth-highest CPOE, and ranked 15th in passer rating.
In his two starts, Shedeur Sanders has finished as the QB18 and QB24 in weekly scoring. Since Week 12, among 36 qualifying passers, Sanders ranks sixth in yards per attempt, 23rd in highly accurate throw rate, 25th in hero throw rate, and eighth in deep ball rate. His aggressiveness downfield could work to his advantage in Week 14. The Titans have been a horrible pass defense, but they have also been giving up downfield production. Since Week 9, they have allowed the ninth-most passing yards per game, the third-highest yards per attempt, and the sixth-highest success rate per dropback. During that same timeframe, Tennessee has allowed the third-highest deep ball completion rate, the second-most deep passing yards per game, and the third-highest deep passer rating. Sanders could flirt with QB1 production if he hits a few explosives in the passing game this week.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
