Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em: Trevor Lawrence, J.J. McCarthy, Bo Nix

Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.

Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.

Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice

Trevor Lawrence (QB – JAC)

Trevor Lawrence has been settling in nicely with Liam Coen’s offense. Since Week 9, Lawrence has been the QB9 in fantasy points per game. He has finished as a QB1 in weekly scoring in four of his last six games. Since Week 9, among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, Lawrence has ranked ninth in yards per attempt, 14th in highly accurate throw rate, 12th in catchable target rate, and seventh in hero throw rate. He could easily post another QB1 outing this week. Since Week 10, New York has allowed the ninth-highest success rate per dropback, the ninth-highest EPA per dropback, and the 12th-highest passer rating.

J.J. McCarthy (QB – MIN)

Everyone wrote him off, and he didn’t write back. Last week, J.J. McCarthy had a nice bounce-back game that hopefully serves as a building block for the rest of the season as the QB9 in weekly scoring. It was his second QB1 outing of the season. Last week, among 29 quarterbacks with at least ten dropbacks, McCarthy ranked 13th in yards per attempt, fourth in highly accurate throw rate, seventh in catchable target rate, and third in hero throw rate. McCarthy could be a QB1 again this week. Since Week 10, Dallas has allowed the second-most passing yards per game, the tenth-highest yards per attempt, the third-highest passer rating, and the eighth-highest CPOE. McCarthy will have to deal with a defense that, during that same span, has ranked fourth in pressure rate. If he can navigate pressure this week, he could stack another strong game.

Bo Nix (QB – DEN)

Bo Nix has remained insanely volatile this season as the QB9 in fantasy points per game. His ridiculous outing in Week 7 is covering up a ton of sins for his overall season numbers. Nix hasn’t finished as a QB1 in weekly scoring since Week 8. I will say that his per-dropback numbers since Week 9 have been surprising. Among 44 qualifying quarterbacks, while he has ranked 31st in yards per attempt and 31st in passer rating, Nix has also ranked 12th in highly accurate throw rate, eighth in catchable target rate, and 15th in hero throw rate. Nix is best viewed as a QB2 this week. Since Week 10, Green Bay has remained a strong pass defense, allowing the seventh-fewest passing yards per game, the 14th-lowest passer rating, the 11th-lowest success rate per dropback, and logging the sixth-highest pressure rate.

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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.