Pierre Camus
Fantasy Endgame
Twitter: @Roto_Chef
Website: https://www.youtube.com/c/FantasyFootballEndgame
Featured Pros: Buy Low, Sell High
What one player are you trying to buy low and what type of player would you give up to get him?
It's time to strike on Paul Goldschmidt. Blame the humidor all you want, but Goldy's issues aren't with fly balls dying at the warning track. He's simply making less contact, softer contact, and striking out a whole lot more. For a player who was an MVP finalist a year ago and has no apparent injuries, there has to be a turning point. His owners are beyond disgruntled, so buy now while you can by offering a hot player like Eddie Rosario who doesn't have the same ceiling.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
I think a case could be made for the entire Atlanta Braves outfield as sell candidates. Nick Markakis is having a career year, leading the majors in hits. Ender Inciarte is leading the bigs in stolen bases, while Ronald Acuna leads the fantasy world in hype. All three are quality players, but the lineup as a whole is far exceeding expectations and is yet to hit a slump. You might want to hold Inciarte for the steals because they're so hard to come by, but Markakis is not irreplacable. If I could acquire an ace that players are still skeptical of like Gerrit Cole or James Paxton in exchange for Acuna, I'm taking it.
It's time to strike on Paul Goldschmidt. Blame the humidor all you want, but Goldy's issues aren't with fly balls dying at the warning track. He's simply making less contact, softer contact, and striking out a whole lot more. For a player who was an MVP finalist a year ago and has no apparent injuries, there has to be a turning point. His owners are beyond disgruntled, so buy now while you can by offering a hot player like Eddie Rosario who doesn't have the same ceiling.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
I think a case could be made for the entire Atlanta Braves outfield as sell candidates. Nick Markakis is having a career year, leading the majors in hits. Ender Inciarte is leading the bigs in stolen bases, while Ronald Acuna leads the fantasy world in hype. All three are quality players, but the lineup as a whole is far exceeding expectations and is yet to hit a slump. You might want to hold Inciarte for the steals because they're so hard to come by, but Markakis is not irreplacable. If I could acquire an ace that players are still skeptical of like Gerrit Cole or James Paxton in exchange for Acuna, I'm taking it.
Featured Pros: Buy Low, Sell High
What one player are you trying to buy low and what type of player would you give up to get him?
A player I've actively pursued in both redraft and keeper leagues is Alex Bregman. His preseason draft value was definitely over-inflated, but he still has the tools that made him a prized prospect. He has still shown positive signs despite lackluster numbers. Bregman is notoriously streaky and hits 40 points higher in the second half for his brief career, with nearly twice the HR totals. Once he cures his puzzling struggles against lefties this year (.206, zero HR or RBI) then he'll be the 20/20 hitter we expected. I'd offer a player performing at his peak like Mitch Haniger to see if an opposing owner bites.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
This seems too obvious, but Jed Lowrie will not sustain his current pace. We've actually seen this before, where he jumps out to a fast start and then fades throughout the rest of the season, just not to this extent. His 21.6% HR/FB rate is bound to plummet and has been especially fortunate considering his fly ball rate is down several points this year. His .386 BABIP is also due to regress. Lowrie's value can't possibly be higher, so offer him up for an injured player like Jonathan Schoop or a 2B who can help you with speed and average like Cesar Hernandez.
A player I've actively pursued in both redraft and keeper leagues is Alex Bregman. His preseason draft value was definitely over-inflated, but he still has the tools that made him a prized prospect. He has still shown positive signs despite lackluster numbers. Bregman is notoriously streaky and hits 40 points higher in the second half for his brief career, with nearly twice the HR totals. Once he cures his puzzling struggles against lefties this year (.206, zero HR or RBI) then he'll be the 20/20 hitter we expected. I'd offer a player performing at his peak like Mitch Haniger to see if an opposing owner bites.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
This seems too obvious, but Jed Lowrie will not sustain his current pace. We've actually seen this before, where he jumps out to a fast start and then fades throughout the rest of the season, just not to this extent. His 21.6% HR/FB rate is bound to plummet and has been especially fortunate considering his fly ball rate is down several points this year. His .386 BABIP is also due to regress. Lowrie's value can't possibly be higher, so offer him up for an injured player like Jonathan Schoop or a 2B who can help you with speed and average like Cesar Hernandez.
Featured Pros: Buy Low, Sell High
What one player are you trying to buy low and what type of player would you give up to get him?
Robbie Ray is someone that has drawn undue skepticism, despite a strong 2017 and a top-10 SP finish. ERA and WHIP are easily inflated by a bad start or two, so he could have owners nervous and ready to deal him prematurely. His elite K-rate is still high, while his 5.82 BB/9 and 23.8% HR/FB% are due for regression. I'd deal an overachieving young SP like Dylan Bundy or Blake Snell because their command issues are similar to Ray's, but just haven't cropped up yet this season.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
Difficult as it is to say, Ozzie Albies. He's not going to hit 30 HR, so let's get that out of the way. He never even reached 10 in the minors and is simply having a Panik-like start to the season. He's stolen just one base so far and is unlikely to reach 20 this season, which leaves with you a high average and run-scoring totals, but not an elite five-cat producer like people think he'll be. I'd offer him for Xander Bogaerts who should be back off the DL soon and could compete for a batting title while hitting 20+ HR and stealing as many bags as Albies.
Robbie Ray is someone that has drawn undue skepticism, despite a strong 2017 and a top-10 SP finish. ERA and WHIP are easily inflated by a bad start or two, so he could have owners nervous and ready to deal him prematurely. His elite K-rate is still high, while his 5.82 BB/9 and 23.8% HR/FB% are due for regression. I'd deal an overachieving young SP like Dylan Bundy or Blake Snell because their command issues are similar to Ray's, but just haven't cropped up yet this season.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
Difficult as it is to say, Ozzie Albies. He's not going to hit 30 HR, so let's get that out of the way. He never even reached 10 in the minors and is simply having a Panik-like start to the season. He's stolen just one base so far and is unlikely to reach 20 this season, which leaves with you a high average and run-scoring totals, but not an elite five-cat producer like people think he'll be. I'd offer him for Xander Bogaerts who should be back off the DL soon and could compete for a batting title while hitting 20+ HR and stealing as many bags as Albies.
Featured Pros: Busts to Avoid
What hitter ranked in the top 30 of the expert consensus has the biggest bust potential this season?
J.D. Martinez is a player whose talent can't be disputed, but might be hard-pressed to repeat his career year. He moves to a stacked Boston lineup, but Fenway's Green Monster contributed to a HR Factor that was 21st for RHB, opposed to his two favorable home parks of Chase Field (4th) and Comerica (6th) last season. Martinez's ADP will surely benefit from recency bias, but a second round ADP is overly optimistic.
What starting pitcher ranked in the top 25 of the expert consensus has the biggest bust potential this season?
The tempting answer might be Robbie Ray because he is still HR-prone and needs to lower the walk rate, but that's also the wrong answer. Justin Verlander was lights-out down the stretch in Houston, but he was simply pedestrian over the first 28 starts of the season in Detroit. He might have plenty of gas left in the tank even at 35, but he might not have the motivation now that he has a championship trophy on his resume. The AL West might prove much tougher over a full season, especially after an extended postseason run. Give me Darvish, Martinez, or even Ray a full round later.
J.D. Martinez is a player whose talent can't be disputed, but might be hard-pressed to repeat his career year. He moves to a stacked Boston lineup, but Fenway's Green Monster contributed to a HR Factor that was 21st for RHB, opposed to his two favorable home parks of Chase Field (4th) and Comerica (6th) last season. Martinez's ADP will surely benefit from recency bias, but a second round ADP is overly optimistic.
What starting pitcher ranked in the top 25 of the expert consensus has the biggest bust potential this season?
The tempting answer might be Robbie Ray because he is still HR-prone and needs to lower the walk rate, but that's also the wrong answer. Justin Verlander was lights-out down the stretch in Houston, but he was simply pedestrian over the first 28 starts of the season in Detroit. He might have plenty of gas left in the tank even at 35, but he might not have the motivation now that he has a championship trophy on his resume. The AL West might prove much tougher over a full season, especially after an extended postseason run. Give me Darvish, Martinez, or even Ray a full round later.
Featured Pros: Spring Training Watch
Name one hitter you'll be paying close attention to during spring training and why.
Gregory Polanco. His recurring hamstring injury last season hampered him at the plate and made him unplayable through much of the year. Playing in the World Baseball Classic seemed to take a lot out of him before the MLB season even began. I'm curious if an off-season of rest makes enough of a difference to help him regain his power stroke.
Name one pitcher you'll be paying close attention to during spring training and why.
Aaron Sanchez. Recurring blisters led to a horrible 1.72 WHIP and 2.4% K-BB% in 2017. If he shows command of the strike zone and goes back to being a ground ball pitcher again, he could prove to be a draft day bargain. He won't rack up wins or strikeouts, but he's only 25 and could be a big help in ratios at the back end of a rotation.
Gregory Polanco. His recurring hamstring injury last season hampered him at the plate and made him unplayable through much of the year. Playing in the World Baseball Classic seemed to take a lot out of him before the MLB season even began. I'm curious if an off-season of rest makes enough of a difference to help him regain his power stroke.
Name one pitcher you'll be paying close attention to during spring training and why.
Aaron Sanchez. Recurring blisters led to a horrible 1.72 WHIP and 2.4% K-BB% in 2017. If he shows command of the strike zone and goes back to being a ground ball pitcher again, he could prove to be a draft day bargain. He won't rack up wins or strikeouts, but he's only 25 and could be a big help in ratios at the back end of a rotation.
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Featured Pros: Buy Low, Sell High
What one player are you trying to buy low and what type of player would you give up to get him?
It's time to strike on Paul Goldschmidt. Blame the humidor all you want, but Goldy's issues aren't with fly balls dying at the warning track. He's simply making less contact, softer contact, and striking out a whole lot more. For a player who was an MVP finalist a year ago and has no apparent injuries, there has to be a turning point. His owners are beyond disgruntled, so buy now while you can by offering a hot player like Eddie Rosario who doesn't have the same ceiling.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
I think a case could be made for the entire Atlanta Braves outfield as sell candidates. Nick Markakis is having a career year, leading the majors in hits. Ender Inciarte is leading the bigs in stolen bases, while Ronald Acuna leads the fantasy world in hype. All three are quality players, but the lineup as a whole is far exceeding expectations and is yet to hit a slump. You might want to hold Inciarte for the steals because they're so hard to come by, but Markakis is not irreplacable. If I could acquire an ace that players are still skeptical of like Gerrit Cole or James Paxton in exchange for Acuna, I'm taking it.
It's time to strike on Paul Goldschmidt. Blame the humidor all you want, but Goldy's issues aren't with fly balls dying at the warning track. He's simply making less contact, softer contact, and striking out a whole lot more. For a player who was an MVP finalist a year ago and has no apparent injuries, there has to be a turning point. His owners are beyond disgruntled, so buy now while you can by offering a hot player like Eddie Rosario who doesn't have the same ceiling.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
I think a case could be made for the entire Atlanta Braves outfield as sell candidates. Nick Markakis is having a career year, leading the majors in hits. Ender Inciarte is leading the bigs in stolen bases, while Ronald Acuna leads the fantasy world in hype. All three are quality players, but the lineup as a whole is far exceeding expectations and is yet to hit a slump. You might want to hold Inciarte for the steals because they're so hard to come by, but Markakis is not irreplacable. If I could acquire an ace that players are still skeptical of like Gerrit Cole or James Paxton in exchange for Acuna, I'm taking it.
Featured Pros: Buy Low, Sell High
What one player are you trying to buy low and what type of player would you give up to get him?
A player I've actively pursued in both redraft and keeper leagues is Alex Bregman. His preseason draft value was definitely over-inflated, but he still has the tools that made him a prized prospect. He has still shown positive signs despite lackluster numbers. Bregman is notoriously streaky and hits 40 points higher in the second half for his brief career, with nearly twice the HR totals. Once he cures his puzzling struggles against lefties this year (.206, zero HR or RBI) then he'll be the 20/20 hitter we expected. I'd offer a player performing at his peak like Mitch Haniger to see if an opposing owner bites.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
This seems too obvious, but Jed Lowrie will not sustain his current pace. We've actually seen this before, where he jumps out to a fast start and then fades throughout the rest of the season, just not to this extent. His 21.6% HR/FB rate is bound to plummet and has been especially fortunate considering his fly ball rate is down several points this year. His .386 BABIP is also due to regress. Lowrie's value can't possibly be higher, so offer him up for an injured player like Jonathan Schoop or a 2B who can help you with speed and average like Cesar Hernandez.
A player I've actively pursued in both redraft and keeper leagues is Alex Bregman. His preseason draft value was definitely over-inflated, but he still has the tools that made him a prized prospect. He has still shown positive signs despite lackluster numbers. Bregman is notoriously streaky and hits 40 points higher in the second half for his brief career, with nearly twice the HR totals. Once he cures his puzzling struggles against lefties this year (.206, zero HR or RBI) then he'll be the 20/20 hitter we expected. I'd offer a player performing at his peak like Mitch Haniger to see if an opposing owner bites.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
This seems too obvious, but Jed Lowrie will not sustain his current pace. We've actually seen this before, where he jumps out to a fast start and then fades throughout the rest of the season, just not to this extent. His 21.6% HR/FB rate is bound to plummet and has been especially fortunate considering his fly ball rate is down several points this year. His .386 BABIP is also due to regress. Lowrie's value can't possibly be higher, so offer him up for an injured player like Jonathan Schoop or a 2B who can help you with speed and average like Cesar Hernandez.
Featured Pros: Buy Low, Sell High
What one player are you trying to buy low and what type of player would you give up to get him?
Robbie Ray is someone that has drawn undue skepticism, despite a strong 2017 and a top-10 SP finish. ERA and WHIP are easily inflated by a bad start or two, so he could have owners nervous and ready to deal him prematurely. His elite K-rate is still high, while his 5.82 BB/9 and 23.8% HR/FB% are due for regression. I'd deal an overachieving young SP like Dylan Bundy or Blake Snell because their command issues are similar to Ray's, but just haven't cropped up yet this season.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
Difficult as it is to say, Ozzie Albies. He's not going to hit 30 HR, so let's get that out of the way. He never even reached 10 in the minors and is simply having a Panik-like start to the season. He's stolen just one base so far and is unlikely to reach 20 this season, which leaves with you a high average and run-scoring totals, but not an elite five-cat producer like people think he'll be. I'd offer him for Xander Bogaerts who should be back off the DL soon and could compete for a batting title while hitting 20+ HR and stealing as many bags as Albies.
Robbie Ray is someone that has drawn undue skepticism, despite a strong 2017 and a top-10 SP finish. ERA and WHIP are easily inflated by a bad start or two, so he could have owners nervous and ready to deal him prematurely. His elite K-rate is still high, while his 5.82 BB/9 and 23.8% HR/FB% are due for regression. I'd deal an overachieving young SP like Dylan Bundy or Blake Snell because their command issues are similar to Ray's, but just haven't cropped up yet this season.
What one player are you trying to sell high right now and who would you want in return?
Difficult as it is to say, Ozzie Albies. He's not going to hit 30 HR, so let's get that out of the way. He never even reached 10 in the minors and is simply having a Panik-like start to the season. He's stolen just one base so far and is unlikely to reach 20 this season, which leaves with you a high average and run-scoring totals, but not an elite five-cat producer like people think he'll be. I'd offer him for Xander Bogaerts who should be back off the DL soon and could compete for a batting title while hitting 20+ HR and stealing as many bags as Albies.
Featured Pros: Busts to Avoid
What hitter ranked in the top 30 of the expert consensus has the biggest bust potential this season?
J.D. Martinez is a player whose talent can't be disputed, but might be hard-pressed to repeat his career year. He moves to a stacked Boston lineup, but Fenway's Green Monster contributed to a HR Factor that was 21st for RHB, opposed to his two favorable home parks of Chase Field (4th) and Comerica (6th) last season. Martinez's ADP will surely benefit from recency bias, but a second round ADP is overly optimistic.
What starting pitcher ranked in the top 25 of the expert consensus has the biggest bust potential this season?
The tempting answer might be Robbie Ray because he is still HR-prone and needs to lower the walk rate, but that's also the wrong answer. Justin Verlander was lights-out down the stretch in Houston, but he was simply pedestrian over the first 28 starts of the season in Detroit. He might have plenty of gas left in the tank even at 35, but he might not have the motivation now that he has a championship trophy on his resume. The AL West might prove much tougher over a full season, especially after an extended postseason run. Give me Darvish, Martinez, or even Ray a full round later.
J.D. Martinez is a player whose talent can't be disputed, but might be hard-pressed to repeat his career year. He moves to a stacked Boston lineup, but Fenway's Green Monster contributed to a HR Factor that was 21st for RHB, opposed to his two favorable home parks of Chase Field (4th) and Comerica (6th) last season. Martinez's ADP will surely benefit from recency bias, but a second round ADP is overly optimistic.
What starting pitcher ranked in the top 25 of the expert consensus has the biggest bust potential this season?
The tempting answer might be Robbie Ray because he is still HR-prone and needs to lower the walk rate, but that's also the wrong answer. Justin Verlander was lights-out down the stretch in Houston, but he was simply pedestrian over the first 28 starts of the season in Detroit. He might have plenty of gas left in the tank even at 35, but he might not have the motivation now that he has a championship trophy on his resume. The AL West might prove much tougher over a full season, especially after an extended postseason run. Give me Darvish, Martinez, or even Ray a full round later.
Featured Pros: Spring Training Watch
Name one hitter you'll be paying close attention to during spring training and why.
Gregory Polanco. His recurring hamstring injury last season hampered him at the plate and made him unplayable through much of the year. Playing in the World Baseball Classic seemed to take a lot out of him before the MLB season even began. I'm curious if an off-season of rest makes enough of a difference to help him regain his power stroke.
Name one pitcher you'll be paying close attention to during spring training and why.
Aaron Sanchez. Recurring blisters led to a horrible 1.72 WHIP and 2.4% K-BB% in 2017. If he shows command of the strike zone and goes back to being a ground ball pitcher again, he could prove to be a draft day bargain. He won't rack up wins or strikeouts, but he's only 25 and could be a big help in ratios at the back end of a rotation.
Gregory Polanco. His recurring hamstring injury last season hampered him at the plate and made him unplayable through much of the year. Playing in the World Baseball Classic seemed to take a lot out of him before the MLB season even began. I'm curious if an off-season of rest makes enough of a difference to help him regain his power stroke.
Name one pitcher you'll be paying close attention to during spring training and why.
Aaron Sanchez. Recurring blisters led to a horrible 1.72 WHIP and 2.4% K-BB% in 2017. If he shows command of the strike zone and goes back to being a ground ball pitcher again, he could prove to be a draft day bargain. He won't rack up wins or strikeouts, but he's only 25 and could be a big help in ratios at the back end of a rotation.
Go to the Fantasy Accuracy Reports to see how this expert stacks up.
