Who Should I Draft?

David Robertson or Jose Alvarado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  David Robertson
RP - PHI
David Robertson
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
39 of 56 experts
30%
Recommended by
17 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 56# 65
Best Rank# 30# 34
Worst Rank# 153# 136
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 145# 166
Best Rank# 125# 157
Worst Rank# 242# 195
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts8975
Wins43
Saves2227
ERA3.043.04
WHIP1.101.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 49# 85
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 87
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 54# 61
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 60# 75
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 51# 89
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 50# 76
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 57# 76
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 33# 55
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 53
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 55# 63
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 51# 106
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 67# 74
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 74# 108
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 62
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 30# 38
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 50# 96
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 52# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 58# 68
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 48# 70
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 64# 97
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 45# 50
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 59
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 57# 71
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 60# 82
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 43# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 56# 77
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 79# 136
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 53# 66
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 40# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 58# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 108# 113
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 41# 90
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 78# 121
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 53# 91
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 42# 65
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 65# 90
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 69
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 96
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 51# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 47
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 57# 55
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 62# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 64# 60
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 64# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 64# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 68# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 71# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 72# 68
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 73# 54
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 80# 74
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 82# 68
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 83# 59
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 96# 73
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 153# 48
   
  David Robertson
RP - PHI
David Robertson
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6970
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched70.164.1
   
Wins81
   
Losses36
   
Saves58
   
Blown Saves44
   
Holds2131
   
Hits Allowed4642
   
Earned Runs2517
   
Home Runs Allowed71
   
Strikeouts9180
   
Walks2629
   
ERA3.232.39
   
WHIP1.031.11
   
  David Robertson
RP - PHI
David Robertson
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6563
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched66.262.0
   
Wins43
   
Losses33
   
Saves2227
   
Blown Saves1010
   
Holds97
   
Hits Allowed4847
   
Earned Runs2221
   
Home Runs Allowed74
   
Strikeouts8975
   
Walks2529
   
ERA3.043.04
   
WHIP1.101.23
   
  David Robertson
RP - PHI
David Robertson
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
News 
 Phillies reliever David Robertson saw orthopedist James Andrews on Monday and will not throw for another three weeks, according to beat writer Matt Gelb on Twitter. Rest has been recommended for his ailing elbow.
Mike Maher
Mon, May 13th
Jose Alvarado has returned to the United States after leaving for two weeks for a family medical emergency.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 David Robertson (elbow) will be evaluated when the team returns home later this week.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 22nd
Jose Alvarado (personal), whose seven-day stint on the family medical emergency list ended Saturday, is likely to be moved to the restricted list, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 David Robertson has been placed on the IL for 10 days, due to elbow soreness. Righty Drew Anderson will be called up from Triple-A. The relief man is scheduled to undergo a MRI on Tuesday, but is not currently concerned about his long-term status.
Garett Thomas
Mon, Apr 15th
The Rays have placed Jose Alvarado on the family medical emergency list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Phillies reliever David Robertson pitched in the eighth inning of Sunday's win over the Twins, recording two outs and earning a hold before giving way to lefty Adam Morgan. Hector Neris pitched the ninth inning to earn the save.
Mike Maher
Mon, Apr 8th
Jose Alvarado pitched a scoreless inning striking out two batters on Saturday as the Rays lost to the Twins by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Phillies reliever David Robertson had a rough outing on Wednesday against the Nationals, allowing a run on three walks and a hit to take the loss without getting an out in the ninth inning.
Mike Maher
Wed, Apr 3rd
Jose Alvarado posted one strikeout during a two-out save in a 6-3 victory against the Indians on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Notes 
 Phillies manager Gabe Kapler refused to commit to a single closer in 2018, and that will reportedly happen again in 2019, even after Philadelphia spent $23 million this offseason to bring in Robertson on a two-year contract. Robertson and Seranthony Dominguez are the two logical candidates to share the closer's role, but further late-inning shenanigans simply can't be ruled out from Kapler.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The Rays appear to be in no hurry to name a closer, and they may not assign the job to a single pitcher. But the early frontrunner should be Jose Alvarado, who earned eight handshakes last year while posting helpful ratios.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Robertson, the owner of a 2.88 ERA and 2.81 FIP, has posted a K/9 of 10.4 or higher in each of his 11 MLB seasons. In most leagues, it's not the end of the world if he isn't Philadelphia's full-time closer, the likely outcome given Gabe Kapler's diversified ninth-inning usage last season. He should at least be in line for some saves alongside Seranthony Dominguez and Hector Neris, making him an intriguing speculative pick once the sturdier choices (there aren't many) fall off the board.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Searching for this year's Blake Treinen? While Alvarado doesn't tout the same job security, he also rode elite strikeout (30.4%) and ground-ball (55.0%) rates to a 2.39 ERA and 2.27 FIP in 2018. If he can improve his BB/9 from 4.08 into the 3.00-3.50 range, we're looking at a top-tier reliever. Unfortunately for most fantasy players, the Rays are hardly bothered by defying bullpen conventions. They might not ever pick a set closer, but Alvarado is by far the best bet to thrive if given the role. He's worth targeting when all of the stable save sources are gone in a draft, which will happen sooner than you think.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 It was easy to forget how great Robertson is since he only managed 19 saves over the past two seasons. He has racked up 88 Ks per season and excellent ratios over the last 8 years, however. With plenty of save opportunities in store, we could see him return to being a top 10 closer this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
With a full season as the Rays' closer, Alvarado could end up one of the top 10 closers in baseball. There is some more risk with him than the guys who have done it for years, but we could be looking at 90 Ks with excellent ratios and 35 saves which makes him a total steal late in drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros