Who Should I Draft?

Giancarlo Stanton or Javier Baez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,RF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 18
Best Rank# 4# 6
Worst Rank# 29# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 18
Best Rank# 17# 16
Worst Rank# 24# 23
   
Projections 
   
Runs9987
Home Runs4430
RBI11196
Stolen Bases317
Batting Average.267.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 13
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 4# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 9
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 14# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 19# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 20# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 7# 17
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 5# 9
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 13# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 15# 33
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 17# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 23# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 13# 15
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 15# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 12# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 22
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 18# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 11# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 19# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 15# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 10# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 14# 6
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 15# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 16# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 18# 11
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 19# 18
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 16
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 20# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 20# 19
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 21# 14
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 29# 15
   
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,RF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats617606
   
Runs102101
   
Hits164176
   
Singles9193
   
Doubles3440
   
Triples19
   
Home Runs3834
   
RBI100111
   
Stolen Bases521
   
Caught Stealing09
   
Walks7029
   
Strikeouts211167
   
Batting Average.266.290
   
On Base Pct.343.326
   
Slugging Pct.509.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.852.881
   
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,RF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats560582
   
Runs9987
   
Hits149161
   
Singles7693
   
Doubles2833
   
Triples15
   
Home Runs4430
   
RBI11196
   
Stolen Bases317
   
Caught Stealing16
   
Walks6933
   
Strikeouts179159
   
Batting Average.267.276
   
On Base Pct.347.315
   
Slugging Pct.556.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.903.822
   
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,RF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Yankees manager Aaron Boone says Giancarlo Stanton (calf) could return as early as next Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs'10-1 win over the Rockies' on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 13th
 Giancarlo Stanton went 2-for-4 with a home run in his first rehab game for the Single-A Tampa Tarpons.
Andrew Gould
Tue, Jun 11th
Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
 Giancarlo Stanton (shoulder) could begin a rehab assignment Monday or Tuesday, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
Javier Baez went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 6-3 win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 4th
 Giancarlo Stanton (shoulder) has been running and getting closer to a rehab assignment, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Mon, Jun 3rd
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a double, and three RBI in the Cubs' 8-1 win over the Angels on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 3rd
 Giancarlo Stanton (calf) ran sprints and hit in the batting cage on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Javier Baez (heel) has returned to the Cubs' lineup on Sunday versus the Cardinals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 After obliterating pitchers in 2017, Stanton cooled off in a big way last year, striking out 211 times and hitting just .266 with 38 homers. There is upside for 60+ bombs this year, but believe it or not, he has only hit 40 or more once his entire career
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Stanton was never likely to match the 59 home runs he hit in 2017, even after moving from a pitcher's park in Miami to a hitter's paradise in the Bronx. Still, hitting 38 long balls -- while also topping the century mark in both runs and RBIs -- is nothing to sneeze at. Stanton's 2017 power output seems like a distinct outlier, but the fact remains that the park upgrade should help his chances of reaching the 40 HR mark in any given season. However, it's important to recognize that his reduced strikeout rate in 2017 is also an outlier -- he's unlikely to hit much better than .260 as long as he's striking out in nearly 30 percent of his plate appearances.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Stanton's ISO dropped .107 points, and he was still pretty good. Spoiled Yankees fans got antsy all 211 times he struck out, but the star slugger still smashed 38 homers with a .360 wOBA. After spending years worrying about his health, it was encouraging to see him play 158 games (mostly at DH), which allowed him to compile 100 RBI and 102 runs in a stacked lineup. He gave back most of 2017's contact gains, so expect a batting average closer to 2018's .266. Now that durability isn't a pressing concern, that's good enough for drafters to take his bankable power-even if we're talking 40 instead of 60 homers-to close out the second round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros