Who Should I Draft?

Jack Flaherty or Jose Berrios (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 24
Best Rank# 11# 6
Worst Rank# 54# 47
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 60# 73
Best Rank# 55# 66
Worst Rank# 68# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts189192
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.493.90
WHIP1.191.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 11# 22
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 13# 18
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 23# 33
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 18# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 26
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 18
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 26
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 23# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 15# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 19# 32
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 23
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 33# 47
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 25
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 14# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 16
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 19# 41
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 19# 27
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 26# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 35
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 17# 20
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 15# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 38
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 17# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 14# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 28
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 18# 21
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 12# 20
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 25
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 12
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 17# 14
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 15
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 19# 12
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 21# 18
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 25# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 28# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 30
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 33# 23
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 35# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 38# 35
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 39# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 54# 6
   
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2832
   
Games Started2832
   
Innings Pitched151.1192.0
   
Wins812
   
Losses911
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed108159
   
Earned Runs5682
   
Home Runs Allowed2025
   
Strikeouts182202
   
Walks5961
   
ERA3.343.84
   
WHIP1.111.14
   
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3032
   
Games Started3032
   
Innings Pitched168.6189.5
   
Wins1213
   
Losses910
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed140171
   
Earned Runs6582
   
Home Runs Allowed2124
   
Strikeouts189192
   
Walks6162
   
ERA3.493.90
   
WHIP1.191.23
   
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
News 
 Jack Flaherty allowed three runs on four hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 6-0 loss to the Marlins on Tuesday. He walked one and struck out eight while falling to 4-4.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 19th
Jose Berrios was removed from Saturday's start versus the Royals in the eighth inning due to a blister on his right ring finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Jack Flaherty allowed four runs on six hits over 5 1/3rd innings Thursday. He walked two and struck out eight. The Cardinals-Mets game was suspended in the bottom of the ninth with a 4-4 score.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 14th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Red Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed one run in eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
 Jack Flaherty allowed four runs on five hits over 3 2/3 innings in the Cardinals' 9-4 loss to the Cubs on Saturday. He walked three and struck out none in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 9th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 9-6 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Berrios allowed just one run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
 Jack Flaherty allowed two runs on four hits over five innings in the Cardinals' 7-4 win over the Cubs on Saturday. He walked none and struck out eight in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-4 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Berrios allowed two runs (one earned) in six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
 Jack Flaherty fired six scoreless innings and struck out seven in the Cardinals' 4-3 extra innings loss to the Braves on Sunday. He allowed three hits, no walks, and took a no decision.
Elliott Baas
Mon, May 27th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Friday. Berrios allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Flaherty was absurdly good last season as a rookie and seemed to improve as the year went on, striking out 95 in 76 second half innings. With that said, his walk rate climbed to a dangerous 3.52 per nine innings by seasons end. He has the upside to strike out 240 batters, but there is some risk here as well
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Flaherty's first full Major League season was an excellent one, as his 3.34 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 10.85 K/9 rate demonstrate. But his 3.52 walks per nine were high, and he averaged fewer than six innings per start, limiting his win potential. He also benefited from a .257 BABIP allowed that was low, even for a pitcher with great stuff like Flaherty. If more of those batted balls fall in for base hits, Flaherty may pay a greater price for the free passes this year. His long-term outlook is bright, but there could be some bumps along the way.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Flaherty's 3.34 ERA and 182 strikeouts in 151 rookie innings will justifiably make him a popular pick. Buoyed by a lethal slider and a curveball that didn't yield a single extra-base hit, there's easy 200-strikeout upside if he pitches a full season. Yet a 3.52 BB/9 and 57.2% first-pitch rate make the 23-year-old riskier than the typical SP2. He's best paired with a steady, reliable ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros