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Who Should I Draft?

Jack Flaherty or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Expert
Recommendation
74%
Recommended by
37 of 50 experts
26%
Recommended by
13 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 10
Best Rank# 4# 7
Worst Rank# 14# 18
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 23# 32
Best Rank# 21# 27
Worst Rank# 25# 34
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232205
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.363.48
WHIP1.111.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 7# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 10
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 10
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 9# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 11
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 11# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 9# 10
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 16
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 11
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 7# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 9# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 9# 11
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 7# 8
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 7
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 12# 8
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 8
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 8
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 11# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 10
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 12# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 11
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 14# 11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played129
   
Games Started129
   
Innings Pitched67.140.1
   
Wins54
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed7033
   
Earned Runs2822
   
Home Runs Allowed106
   
Strikeouts9249
   
Walks2316
   
ERA3.744.91
   
WHIP1.381.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched179.4173.0
   
Wins1312
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152138
   
Earned Runs6767
   
Home Runs Allowed2523
   
Strikeouts232205
   
Walks4754
   
ERA3.363.48
   
WHIP1.111.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
News 
 Max Scherzer allowed one earned run, three hits, and one walk with five strikeouts across six innings pitched. He took the loss against the Dodgers since the Nationals didn't score a run.
Corbin Young
Sun, Apr 11th
Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty got the better of Stephen Strasburg on Tuesday night, pitching five innings (96 pitches) of one-run ball while yielding only three hits and striking out six.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 14th
 In the Nationals Opening Day game, Max Scherzer went six innings for a no-decision. He gave up four home runs and allowed five hits, four earned runs, and zero walks with nine strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Tue, Apr 6th
After struggling in his season debut, Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty pitched six scoreless innings against the Marlins on Wednesday, yielding only one hit while issuing four walks to go along with six strikeouts while picking up his first win of the season.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 7th
 The Washington Nationals will host the Atlanta Braves in a doubleheader Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 5th
Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty had a rocky season debut on Thursday, lasting only 4.1 innings while surrendering six hits, six earned runs, and two walks to go along with four strikeouts.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Apr 2nd
 The Nationals will play their first game of the season on Tuesday against the Braves.
AJ Schullo
Sun, Apr 4th
MLB Network's Jon Heyman reports that Cardinals manager Mike Shildt has confirmed Jack Flaherty will be the team's Opening Day starter against Cincinnati.
Lucas Spence
Thu, Feb 25th
 The Nationals-Braves game scheduled for Monday has been postponed.
Brad Camara
Sun, Apr 4th
Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty won his arbitration case against the team and will earn $3.9 million in 2021.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Feb 13th
Notes 
 Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
The word that keeps coming up for Flaherty's fantasy analysis is rhythm. In the second half of 2019, which is when Flaherty put together one of the most impressive second halves in baseball history, he had rhythm. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' 2020 season lacked anything resembling a routine. Flaherty and his teammates dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak as well as a plethora of doubleheaders late in the year to make up for lost time. And yet, if it wasn't for one disastrous start, Flaherty still would've been a borderline ace last summer. When you take out his worst start of the year, Flaherty's ERA drops from 4.91 to 3.13. I'm betting that 2021 goes more smoothly for St. Louis.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros