Who Should I Draft?

James Paxton or Jameson Taillon (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 20
Best Rank# 11# 11
Worst Rank# 31# 40
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 66
Best Rank# 47# 54
Worst Rank# 55# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts196173
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.463.65
WHIP1.141.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 19# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 15# 20
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 15# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 16
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 22# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 18# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 19
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 15# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 21
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 12# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 29
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 11# 29
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 26
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 13# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 20
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 25
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 40
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 17
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 22
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 15# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 25
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 29
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 14# 20
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 24
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 19# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 22
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 26
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 38
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 16# 26
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 12# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 13# 21
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 15# 20
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 23
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 18# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 14
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 16# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 13
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 17# 13
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 19# 18
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 19# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 17
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 27# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 31# 30
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2832
   
Games Started2832
   
Innings Pitched160.1191.2
   
Wins1114
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed134179
   
Earned Runs6768
   
Home Runs Allowed2320
   
Strikeouts208179
   
Walks4246
   
ERA3.763.20
   
WHIP1.101.18
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2832
   
Games Started2832
   
Innings Pitched166.2186.7
   
Wins1312
   
Losses710
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed144181
   
Earned Runs6476
   
Home Runs Allowed2121
   
Strikeouts196173
   
Walks4548
   
ERA3.463.65
   
WHIP1.141.23
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
News 
 James Paxton gave up two runs on eight hits with one walk and struck out seven batters over six innings to pick up a win against the White Sox on Sunday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
In order to make room on the 40-man roster for Jake Elmore, the Pirates have moved Jameson Taillon to the 60-day injured list.
Andrew Seifter
Mon, May 13th
 James Paxton was handed the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits over 2 2/3 innings during Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets. He struck out one and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
The Pirates placed Jameson Taillon on the 10-day IL with a right elbow flexor strain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 4th
 James Paxton pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays on Wednesday and allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
Jameson Taillon allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits over 6.1 innings in the Pirates' 7-5 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He walked two and struck out five while improving to 2-3.
Elliott Baas
Wed, May 1st
 James Paxton gave up no runs and no hits while walking two and striking out seven over four innings on Wednesday as the Yankees beat the Padres.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
Jameson Taillon allowed five runs on six hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-0 loss to the Diamondbacks on Thursday. He walked none and struck out five while falling to 1-3.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Apr 25th
 James Paxton (knee) has been cleared to come off the injured list to start Wednesday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
Jameson Taillon improved to 1-2 after allowed one run on four hits over five innings in the Pirates' 4-1 rain-shortened win over the Giants on Saturday. He walked one and struck out three.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Apr 21st
Notes 
 Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
If you look at Taillon's second half, it may seem as though he broke out into an ace, but the underlying metrics tell a different story. Rather, he was propped up by a great deal of BABIP and HR/FB ratio luck. Most likely, he will continue to pitch like a good #3 this season for Pittsburgh.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Finally healthy after dealing with injuries and a cancer diagnosis, Taillon established himself in 2018 as a pitcher who can provide solid ratios, albeit it with a middling strikeout rate. He benefits from a very pitcher-friendly environment in Pittsburgh, boosting his fantasy floor, but he simply doesn't belong among the top-25 fantasy starters until he begins to pile up the Ks.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Taillon quietly developed into an ace late in 2018, posting a 2.63 ERA over his last 21 starts. That's not an entirely arbitrary endpoint, as he unleashed a slider-one of three pitches to net a double-digit swinging-strike rate-in June. The pitch could help him unlock a few more punchouts, but the 27-year-old has the look of a polished SP2 who can at least post a mid-threes ERA with a steady WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros