Who Should I Draft?

Jameson Taillon or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 26
Best Rank# 11# 7
Worst Rank# 40# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 66# 68
Best Rank# 54# 55
Worst Rank# 72# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts173178
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.653.32
WHIP1.231.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 13# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 31
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 18# 19
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 65
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 18# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 16# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 50
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 12# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 13# 19
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 21# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 33
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 27# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 21# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 18# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 24
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 19# 16
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 20# 7
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 20# 8
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 20# 19
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 20# 12
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 21# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 13
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 22
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 24# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 25# 20
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 26# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 26# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 26# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 15
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 29# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 29# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 30# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 31
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched191.2191.2
   
Wins1419
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed179173
   
Earned Runs6872
   
Home Runs Allowed2019
   
Strikeouts179220
   
Walks4646
   
ERA3.203.39
   
WHIP1.181.14
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3227
   
Games Started3226
   
Innings Pitched186.7155.9
   
Wins1213
   
Losses106
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181136
   
Earned Runs7658
   
Home Runs Allowed2119
   
Strikeouts173178
   
Walks4840
   
ERA3.653.32
   
WHIP1.231.13
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 In order to make room on the 40-man roster for Jake Elmore, the Pirates have moved Jameson Taillon to the 60-day injured list.
Andrew Seifter
Mon, May 13th
Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 The Pirates placed Jameson Taillon on the 10-day IL with a right elbow flexor strain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 4th
Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Jameson Taillon allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits over 6.1 innings in the Pirates' 7-5 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He walked two and struck out five while improving to 2-3.
Elliott Baas
Wed, May 1st
Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
 Jameson Taillon allowed five runs on six hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-0 loss to the Diamondbacks on Thursday. He walked none and struck out five while falling to 1-3.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Apr 25th
Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
 Jameson Taillon improved to 1-2 after allowed one run on four hits over five innings in the Pirates' 4-1 rain-shortened win over the Giants on Saturday. He walked one and struck out three.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Apr 21st
Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Notes 
 If you look at Taillon's second half, it may seem as though he broke out into an ace, but the underlying metrics tell a different story. Rather, he was propped up by a great deal of BABIP and HR/FB ratio luck. Most likely, he will continue to pitch like a good #3 this season for Pittsburgh.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Finally healthy after dealing with injuries and a cancer diagnosis, Taillon established himself in 2018 as a pitcher who can provide solid ratios, albeit it with a middling strikeout rate. He benefits from a very pitcher-friendly environment in Pittsburgh, boosting his fantasy floor, but he simply doesn't belong among the top-25 fantasy starters until he begins to pile up the Ks.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Taillon quietly developed into an ace late in 2018, posting a 2.63 ERA over his last 21 starts. That's not an entirely arbitrary endpoint, as he unleashed a slider-one of three pitches to net a double-digit swinging-strike rate-in June. The pitch could help him unlock a few more punchouts, but the 27-year-old has the look of a polished SP2 who can at least post a mid-threes ERA with a steady WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros