Who Should I Draft?

Jameson Taillon or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 26
Best Rank# 11# 7
Worst Rank# 40# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 66# 68
Best Rank# 54# 55
Worst Rank# 72# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts173178
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.653.32
WHIP1.231.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 45
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 13# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 31
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 18# 19
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 65
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 18# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 16# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 50
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 12# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 13# 19
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 21# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 33
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 27# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 21# 26
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 17# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 56
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 24
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 18# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 24
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 19# 16
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 20# 7
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 20# 19
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 20# 12
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 21# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 13
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 22
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 24# 11
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 10
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 25# 12
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 25# 20
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 26# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 26# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 26# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 15
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 29# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 29# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 30# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 31
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched191.2191.2
   
Wins1419
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed179173
   
Earned Runs6872
   
Home Runs Allowed2019
   
Strikeouts179220
   
Walks4646
   
ERA3.203.39
   
WHIP1.181.14
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3227
   
Games Started3226
   
Innings Pitched186.7155.9
   
Wins1213
   
Losses106
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181136
   
Earned Runs7658
   
Home Runs Allowed2119
   
Strikeouts173178
   
Walks4840
   
ERA3.653.32
   
WHIP1.231.13
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 Jameson Taillion underwent Tommy John surgery Tuesday.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 14th
Luis Severino (shoulder) is scheduled to make his 2019 debut on Tuesday against the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 12th
 Jameson Taillon acknowledged Thursday that his 2019 season is likely over, after experiencing a setback in recovering from a strained right elbow.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Jul 25th
Luis Severino (lat) will throw 45-50 pitches over about three innings in his rehab appearance with Double-A Trenton on Friday, Greg Johnson of The Trentonian reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
 Jamison Taillon (elbow) will start playing catch Thursday or Friday of this week.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Jul 4th
Luis Severino (lat) gave up two runs on three hits while striking out two over one inning in his rehab start Sunday for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
 In order to make room on the 40-man roster for Jake Elmore, the Pirates have moved Jameson Taillon to the 60-day injured list.
Andrew Seifter
Mon, May 13th
Luis Severino is expected to start for the Scranton Railriders on Sunday in his first rehab appearance of 2019 per Aaron Boone.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
 The Pirates placed Jameson Taillon on the 10-day IL with a right elbow flexor strain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 4th
Luis Severino (lat) could begin a rehab assignment on Sunday, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 27th
Notes 
 If you look at Taillon's second half, it may seem as though he broke out into an ace, but the underlying metrics tell a different story. Rather, he was propped up by a great deal of BABIP and HR/FB ratio luck. Most likely, he will continue to pitch like a good #3 this season for Pittsburgh.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Finally healthy after dealing with injuries and a cancer diagnosis, Taillon established himself in 2018 as a pitcher who can provide solid ratios, albeit it with a middling strikeout rate. He benefits from a very pitcher-friendly environment in Pittsburgh, boosting his fantasy floor, but he simply doesn't belong among the top-25 fantasy starters until he begins to pile up the Ks.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Taillon quietly developed into an ace late in 2018, posting a 2.63 ERA over his last 21 starts. That's not an entirely arbitrary endpoint, as he unleashed a slider-one of three pitches to net a double-digit swinging-strike rate-in June. The pitch could help him unlock a few more punchouts, but the 27-year-old has the look of a polished SP2 who can at least post a mid-threes ERA with a steady WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros