Who Should I Draft?

Jose Berrios or Zack Wheeler (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 28
Best Rank# 6# 13
Worst Rank# 47# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 85
Best Rank# 66# 83
Worst Rank# 79# 96
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts192169
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.903.59
WHIP1.231.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 18# 27
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 23# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 23# 47
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 14# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 35# 92
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 27# 38
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 25# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 51
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 12# 33
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 26
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 24
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 58
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 27# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 20# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 39
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 21# 23
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 20# 28
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 27# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 25# 28
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 24# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 33
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 26# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 20
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 22# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 24# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 23
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 26
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 28# 18
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 30# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 30# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 28
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 31# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 31# 18
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 33# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 35# 16
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 34
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 41# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 42# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 45# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 32
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3229
   
Games Started3229
   
Innings Pitched192.0182.2
   
Wins1212
   
Losses117
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed159150
   
Earned Runs8267
   
Home Runs Allowed2514
   
Strikeouts202179
   
Walks6155
   
ERA3.843.31
   
WHIP1.141.12
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3229
   
Games Started3229
   
Innings Pitched189.5172.4
   
Wins1311
   
Losses109
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed171155
   
Earned Runs8269
   
Home Runs Allowed2418
   
Strikeouts192169
   
Walks6258
   
ERA3.903.59
   
WHIP1.231.24
   
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
News 
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Red Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed one run in eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday’s loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 18th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 9-6 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Berrios allowed just one run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed nine runs (five earned) on 10 hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-4 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Berrios allowed two runs (one earned) in six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 7th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Friday. Berrios allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
Wheeler allowed three runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk across six seven innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Thursday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in an 11-4 win over the White Sox on Friday. Berrios allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings of work while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in Friday’s win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros