Who Should I Draft?
Paul Goldschmidt or Rafael Devers (2023)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Rafael Devers 3B - BOS  | Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL  | |
Expert |
65% Recommended by 33 of 51 experts |
35% Recommended by 18 of 51 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 17 | # 20 |
| Best Rank | # 4 | # 10 |
| Worst Rank | # 28 | # 34 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 23 | # 21 |
| Best Rank | # 17 | # 20 |
| Worst Rank | # 24 | # 24 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 92 | 93 |
| Home Runs | 31 | 29 |
| RBI | 97 | 95 |
| Stolen Bases | 4 | 7 |
| Batting Average | .286 | .284 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 18 | # 20 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 17 | # 30 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 16 | # 18 |
| Greg Smith Superflex.Guide | # 12 | # 20 |
| Jeff Zimmerman FanGraphs | # 16 | # 19 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 4 | # 20 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 16 | # 29 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 14 | # 21 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 16 | # 19 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 17 | # 18 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 15 | # 19 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 17 | # 18 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 14 | # 21 |
| Christopher Welsh FantasyPros | # 17 | # 21 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 17 | # 19 |
| Pierre Camus Fantasy Endgame | # 15 | # 18 |
| Brandon 'B_Don' Myers Razzball | # 16 | # 21 |
| Matthew Williams The Athletic | # 16 | # 19 |
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | # 14 | # 20 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 19 | # 21 |
| Jacob W. Dunne Triple Play Fantasy | # 16 | # 20 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 15 | # 22 |
| Brad Camara RotoBaller | # 17 | # 19 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 20 | # 21 |
| Ethan Biddle FantasyPros | # 15 | # 18 |
| Scott Bogman FantasyPros | # 17 | # 19 |
| Jesse Garcia FantasyPros | # 17 | # 21 |
| Travis Argo Fantasy Six Pack | # 15 | # 17 |
| Julian Tarevski FantasyPros | # 12 | # 15 |
| Kelly Kirby FantasyPros | # 17 | # 20 |
| Taylor Tarter Fastball Fantasy Baseball | # 17 | # 34 |
| Tristan Davis SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast | # 16 | # 21 |
| Joe Orrico SportsEthos | # 17 | # 19 |
| Paul Sporer FanGraphs | # 28 | # 10 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 20 | # 13 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 15 | # 14 |
| Fred Zinkie Yahoo! Sports | # 18 | # 14 |
| Blake Meyer Sports Gambling Podcast Network | # 18 | # 14 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 17 | # 15 |
| Scott Youngson Pitcher List | # 16 | # 15 |
| Jason Kamlowsky FantasyPros | # 20 | # 16 |
| Josh Shepardson FantasyPros | # 17 | # 16 |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | # 18 | # 17 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 20 | # 17 |
| Keith Lott Fantasy Six Pack | # 18 | # 17 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 19 | # 18 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 19 | # 18 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 21 | # 19 |
| Jody Smith FullTime Fantasy | # 25 | # 19 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 21 | # 20 |
| Justin Mason FanGraphs | # 26 | # 22 |
| Rafael Devers 3B - BOS | Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL | |
| 2022 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 555 | 561 |
| Runs | 84 | 106 |
| Hits | 164 | 178 |
| Singles | 94 | 102 |
| Doubles | 42 | 41 |
| Triples | 1 | 0 |
| Home Runs | 27 | 35 |
| RBI | 88 | 115 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 7 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 0 |
| Walks | 50 | 79 |
| Strikeouts | 114 | 141 |
| Batting Average | .296 | .317 |
| On Base Pct | .358 | .404 |
| Slugging Pct | .521 | .578 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .879 | .981 |
| Rafael Devers 3B - BOS | Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL | |
| 2023 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 576 | 555 |
| Runs | 92 | 93 |
| Hits | 165 | 158 |
| Singles | 94 | 95 |
| Doubles | 38 | 32 |
| Triples | 2 | 1 |
| Home Runs | 31 | 29 |
| RBI | 97 | 95 |
| Stolen Bases | 4 | 7 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 1 |
| Walks | 54 | 73 |
| Strikeouts | 126 | 137 |
| Batting Average | .286 | .284 |
| On Base Pct | .347 | .367 |
| Slugging Pct | .517 | .492 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .864 | .860 |
| Rafael Devers 3B - BOS | Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL | |
| News | ||
| Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox are finalizing an 11-year, $331 million contract extension. The deal is still pending a physical. Vince DiSilvio Wed, Jan 4th | ||
| Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox are in agreement on a one-year, $17.5 million deal to avoid arbitration. Ari Koslow Tue, Jan 3rd | ||
| Notes | ||
| Rafael Devers is one of the best players in baseball who seems consistently overlooked in fantasy circles. Perhaps that will change in 2023, though he will be playing in one of the least fearsome Boston lineups of his career. Gone are Xander Bogaerts and J.D. Martinez, so Devers will rely on Trevor Story, international signing Masataka Yoshida, Kike Hernandez, and others to boost his runs and RBI, which fell below 100 for the first time in 2022. As a fantasy player, Devers has all of the skills managers would ask for in a third baseman. He mashes the ball, gets on base, and is a four-category player in a friendly ballpark. He also now has the security of an 11-year, $331 million contract to stay with the only team he's been on, though whether or not that impacts his performance remains to be seen. Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros | Paul Goldschmidt won the NL MVP in 2022, putting together a strong campaign that saw him hit 35 HR with 115 RBI and 105 runs while slashing .317/.404/.578 in his age-34 season. Strangely, all of his underlying metrics were actually worse in 2022 than in 2021 with the exception of his BB% bouncing from 9.9 to 12.1. One striking reason for this was a .368 BABIP, while another was facing a lot of atrocious pitching in the NL Central. His Statcast page reads like a warning when comparing his expected numbers with his actual ones. All of this adds up to that Goldy is due for some regression in 2023, which could be dramatic. The positives are his solid floor, and a good surrounding lineup will keep the numbers afloat. Just make sure you're not paying for his MVP iteration on draft day. Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros | |
