SP,RP - Cincinnati Reds
- Age 23
- Wake Forest
- Bats: R
- Throws: R
2026 Outlook
- Draft Rank (ECR)
- P #45
- Best / Worst
- #32 / #110
- ADP
- #119
Eligibility
- Yahoo
- SP,RP
- ESPN
- SP
- CBS
- SP
Availability
Chase Burns flashed frontline bat-missing ability in his 2025 debut, posting a dominant 35.6% strikeout rate and 13.9 K/9 across 43.1 innings for Cincinnati. His 2.65 FIP sat nearly two runs below his 4.57 ERA, driven by a manageable 2.7% HR rate and elite swing-and-miss stuff, but a .364 BABIP and 45.7% hard-hit rate created volatility in the small sample. Burns' 8.5% walk rate was reasonable for a 22-year-old power arm, though his 0.56 GB/FB ratio suggests he'll need to sharpen command to limit damage in homer-friendly environments. Looking ahead to 2026, the projections lean into the strikeout upside while forecasting some ERA regression toward his underlying metrics as he secures a steadier rotation role. If the workload climbs into a full-season starter's range, Burns profiles as a high-K SP with ratios that may fluctuate week to week. In fantasy, he's best deployed as an upside SP3/SP4 in mixed leagues, with legitimate breakout potential if the command tightens and the batted-ball profile stabilizes.
